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Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

31-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Tampa Bay Rays
2025 Stats
AVG
.256
HR
31
RBI
83
R
79
SB
3
2026 Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe had his best overall season since that 2021 outlier season, but we should be more impressed with how he did. Conventional wisdom would lead you to believe he loved his temporary home park and took full advantage of its dimensions, yet Lowe was a better hitter on the road as he hit 35 points higher away from Tampa and had one more home run on the road in 62 games than he did at home in 72 games. Lowe still cannot hit lefties and is often benched for it, but hitting .280/.335/.538 with 26 homers against righties is what drove his overall value in 2025. Lowe has a $11.5 club option this year which is an easy pickup for the inconsistent offensive club, but this will also likely be the last season Lowe remains with the club because he will almost certainly be dealt somewhere by the deadline this season. The move back into Tropicana Field should not impact him as much a potential move away from it. Finally, his defense at second base may force a discussion about a position change with his next club. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
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Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
League Majors
Bats L
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 5'10"
Weight 185
DOB 7/6/1994
Born Suffolk, VA
College Maryland
Drafted 3rd Rd 2015 TB
The Rays exercised Lowe's $11.5 million option for 2026 in November of 2025.
Rays pick up $11.5 million option
2BTampa Bay Rays
November 6, 2025
The Rays exercised Lowe's $11.5 million option for 2026 on Thursday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Analysis
Lowe will stay put after he slashed .256/.307/.477 with 31 home runs and 83 RBI this season for the Rays. The 31-year-old will be entering his walk year in 2026, so he will be a trade candidate if the Rays are not in contention when the deadline arrives.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
67
34
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
12
10
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .616 282 34 10 33 0 .208 .262 .354
Since 2023vs Right .822 1132 159 63 176 15 .255 .328 .495
2025vs Left .548 147 19 5 9 0 .194 .231 .317
2025vs Right .873 406 60 26 74 3 .280 .335 .538
2024vs Left .835 72 8 4 16 0 .265 .306 .529
2024vs Right .772 353 48 17 42 5 .240 .312 .461
2023vs Left .512 63 7 1 8 0 .170 .286 .226
2023vs Right .814 373 51 20 60 7 .241 .335 .478
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits→ View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .756 700 91 33 106 8 .239 .310 .446
Since 2023Away .805 714 102 40 103 7 .251 .319 .485
2025Home .735 283 40 15 39 0 .240 .279 .456
2025Away .837 270 39 16 44 3 .275 .337 .500
2024Home .738 205 24 8 27 4 .235 .312 .426
2024Away .824 220 32 13 31 1 .252 .309 .515
2023Home .800 212 27 10 40 4 .242 .349 .451
2023Away .744 224 31 11 28 3 .221 .308 .436
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.26
 
BB Rate
6.9%
 
K Rate
26.9%
 
BABIP
.297
 
ISO
.221
 
AVG
.256
 
OBP
.307
 
SLG
.477
 
OPS
.785
 
wOBA
.339
 
Exit Velocity
91.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.5%
 
Expected BA
.258
 
Expected SLG
.475
 
Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
38.2%
 
Line Drive %
23.1%
 
Fly Ball %
38.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Brandon Lowe Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Rays Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brandon Lowe See More
Leaderboard of the Week: Fastball Swinging Strike Rate
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Leaderboard of the Week: Fastball Swinging Strike Rate
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Jeff Zimmerman
20 days ago
Leaderboard of the Week: A Barrel of Breakouts
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Leaderboard of the Week: A Barrel of Breakouts
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Jeff Zimmerman
27 days ago
Super Early Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Rankings for 2026
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Super Early Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Rankings for 2026
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James Anderson
37 days ago
2025 All-Value Fantasy Team: Position Players
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2025 All-Value Fantasy Team: Position Players
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Ryan Boyer
41 days ago
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Todd Zola
53 days ago
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brandon Lowe See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lowe's 2021 season happened, but boy howdy does it look like quite the outlier against his other seasons. That season, Lowe showed what he is capable of when his body can remain healthy, something it has not done since that season. 2022 was derailed by troubles in his back, and those resurfaced in 2023, albeit in a different form. Those struggled led to him hitting .209/.307/.401 in the first half of the season with 9 homers and 31 RBIs before the rest at the break was just was the doctor ordered. Lowe went on to hit .253/.348/.484 in the second half with 12 homers and 37 RBIs before a foul ball fractured his knee cap and ended his season. Beyond his health limitations, Lowe still struggles to hit lefties (1 HR, .170) and continues to strike out below the league average rate. He has the ability to hit 30 homers, but given we have seen just one full season from him as he enters his age 29 season, this is not a player you should be reaching for in drafts.
Lowe took hold of an everyday role in 2021 and delivered an .863 OPS and 39 homers in 149 games, but a nagging back injury limited him to only 65 games last year. He batted .221 but finished 2022 with a slightly-above-average 104 wRC+, and he also cut his strikeout rate nearly five percentage points to 22.9 percent. It's unclear exactly how much the back injury affected the second baseman's production, and it's worth keeping an eye on whether the issue resurfaces again during 2023. He fared better against left-handed pitching with a .793 OPS, though that success may not indicate much since it covered only 48 plate appearances. A return to his 2021 form shouldn't be expected, but Lowe should be in store for a bounceback season in 2023.
Lowe was finally given his chance to function as an everyday player, and he rewarded the club's faith in him by having a career year at the plate despite his flaws. He fell just shy of joining Marcus Semien last season, and historically Rogers Hornsby and Ryne Sandberg, as the only second basemen to ever hit 40 or more homers while scoring 100 runs and driving in 100. Around the excellent run production, Lowe still has too much swing-and-miss in his game (bottom seventh percentile), but the strikeout rate has improved over the ugly rate from the 2019 season. The full-time playing time also meant increased exposure to lefties, and while he did hit 10 of his 39 homers against lefties, his .198 average and 34.0% strikeout rate against them in 188 plate appearances explain why his batting average tumbled from the prior two seasons. His 2022 should be another above-average offense campaign, but it will be tough for him to hit even .250 against southpaws.
Lowe is 5-foot-10 and 185 pounds, yet continues to barrel the baseball like few others in the game. Lowe hits what the local radio team calls "Helium Balls" because they tend to just stay in the air longer than most flyballs until they find the seats. For the first six weeks of the 2020 season, Lowe was a leading candidate for the AL MVP as he had a .273/.371/.612 slash line with 10 homers, 26 runs, and 27 RBI heading into September. He cooled off a bit with a .264/.345/.458 line the rest of the way, but then was downright abysmal in the playoffs, hitting .118/.183/.276 around the two-homer game in the World Series with a 34% strikeout rate. He hit .300 with six homers against lefties in 2020, somewhat quieting the concerns of him being platooned, but the postseason slump is definitely concerning. The strikeouts limit his batting average upside, but he does accept his walks and hits with power to all fields.
Lowe inked a six-year, $24 million extension last March, ensuring he would hold a vital role for the Rays right away after a strong 43-game cameo in 2018. Injuries effectively kept Lowe out of the mix after the All-Star break, but his big first half still made his season an unequivocal success. Initially tabbed for a utility role, the 25-year-old settled at the keystone and was among the top fantasy options at the position when healthy, slashing .276/.339/.523 with 16 homers and five steals before the break. If injuries hadn't intervened, Lowe may have been headed for a drop-off, as his 33.9 K% and .381 BABIP loomed as major signs that the .276 average would fall. Lowe's ability to rack up counting stats appears more repeatable based on his Statcast metrics, so as long as fantasy managers can deal with a sub-.250 average and the Rays benching him versus lefties, there's still value to be had.
It's difficult to make heads or tails of Lowe. He totaled 28 homers and posted wRC+ marks of 156 and 178 at Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, last season. Lowe was also 13% better than league average, offensively, in his first foray into the major leagues. However, he was relatively old for those levels in the minors and had a 25.7% strikeout rate in the big leagues. Statcast suggests he was a .220-ish hitter. His 77.4% zone-contact rate was way below league average and is a red flag looking ahead to 2019 and beyond. There is some speed here to go along with the pop, and Lowe has shown that he will accept his walks. After the Rays traded Mallex Smith, general manager Erik Neander said publicly that Lowe will be in the mix for a spot on the Opening Day roster, but a starting spot seems unlikely barring multiple injuries in front of him on the depth chart.
More Fantasy News
Idle Sunday
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 28, 2025
Lowe is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Blue Jays.
Analysis
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Day off Thursday
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2025
Lowe is absent from the lineup for Thursday's contest in Baltimore.
Analysis
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Reaches 30-homer mark
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2025
Lowe went 1-for-3 with a solo home run, a walk and a second run scored in Sunday's 7-3 win over the Red Sox.
Analysis
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Taking seat
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 19, 2025
Lowe is out of the lineup for Friday's game against Boston.
Analysis
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Idle Wednesday
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2025
Lowe is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
On his way out of Tampa Bay?
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 27, 2025
Executives around the league view Lowe as one of the most likely players to be traded during the offseason, according to Jim Bowden of The Athletic.
Analysis
Lowe has played his entire eight-year career with the Rays and has a career slash line of .247/.326/.481 with 157 home runs in 745 major-league games. He's going to play for Tampa Bay in 2026 if he doesn't get traded, as the Rays are widely expected to pick up their team option for the upcoming campaign, but the team could field offers for him. Lowe is set to become a free agent after the 2026 season, and the Rays rarely let players walk for nothing. Lowe co-led the majors in homers among second basemen along with Jazz Chisholm with 31.
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