Aaron Civale
29-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
8-9
ERA
4.36
WHIP
1.30
K
149
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
Blanks Pirates for eighth win
Civale (8-9) earned the win Thursday over the Pirates, allowing three hits and a walk over six scoreless innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
It was a strong finish to the regular season for Civale, who went 6-1 with a 2.57 ERA over his final nine starts (49 innings). Overall, the right-hander posted a 4.36 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and 149:52 K:BB across a career-high 161 innings. Civale should continue to serve as Milwaukee's number-two starter behind Freddy Peralta when they open postseason play.
It was a strong finish to the regular season for Civale, who went 6-1 with a 2.57 ERA over his final nine starts (49 innings). Overall, the right-hander posted a 4.36 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and 149:52 K:BB across a career-high 161 innings. Civale should continue to serve as Milwaukee's number-two starter behind Freddy Peralta when they open postseason play.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-2%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .244 | 204 | 55 | 172 | 28 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .248 | 159 | 52 | 188 | 27 | |||
2024vs Left | .254 | 86 | 26 | 77 | 15 | |||
2024vs Right | .250 | 63 | 26 | 81 | 14 | |||
2023vs Left | .234 | 66 | 16 | 55 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .237 | 50 | 17 | 54 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .240 | 52 | 13 | 40 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .257 | 46 | 9 | 53 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-19%
ERA at Home
2024
-42%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.80 | 1.14 | 201.1 | 9.3 | 2.2 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.68 | 1.32 | 179.0 | 7.8 | 2.9 | ||||
2024Home | 3.35 | 1.17 | 94.0 | 8.8 | 2.3 | ||||
2024Away | 5.78 | 1.49 | 67.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | ||||
2023Home | 4.48 | 1.16 | 62.1 | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 2.40 | 1.17 | 60.0 | 7.5 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.80 | 1.07 | 45.0 | 9.8 | 1.8 | ||||
2022Away | 5.88 | 1.29 | 52.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.87K/9
8.3BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.6Fastball
92.5 mphERA
4.36WHIP
1.30BABIP
.297GB/FB
0.97Left On Base
75.6%Exit Velocity
81.7 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2615 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.2%Swinging Strike
9.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.
More Fantasy News
Goes just 4.1 innings in loss
Civale (7-9) took the loss against Arizona on Saturday, allowing three runs on three hits and three walks while striking out two batters over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out six in win
Civale (7-8) earned the win against the Phillies on Monday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk with six strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Does enough for sixth win
Civale (6-8) got the win over the Giants on Tuesday, allowing two runs on three hits and a walk while striking out two over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in no-decision
Civale did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's 7-4 loss to St. Louis, allowing three runs on six hits and no walks over five innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Shines in fifth win
Civale (5-8) allowed two hits and two walks over seven scoreless innings Thursday, striking out seven to get the win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to be non-tendered
According to Adam McCalvy of MLB.com, the Brewers could non-tender Civale during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander was acquired from Tampa Bay at the summer trade deadline and pitched well in 14 regular-season starts for Milwaukee with a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 65:25 K:BB across 74 innings. Civale is entering his final year of arbitration eligibility and will receive a sizable raise from last season's $4.9 million salary. Even if the Brewers tender him a contract for 2025, the organization could still offload him via trade this winter.
The right-hander was acquired from Tampa Bay at the summer trade deadline and pitched well in 14 regular-season starts for Milwaukee with a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 65:25 K:BB across 74 innings. Civale is entering his final year of arbitration eligibility and will receive a sizable raise from last season's $4.9 million salary. Even if the Brewers tender him a contract for 2025, the organization could still offload him via trade this winter.