This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Lance Lynn | Nathan Eovaldi | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 1:05 PM | ||
Miles Mikolas | Cole Hamels | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 1:05 PM | ||
Justin Verlander | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 8.5 | 205 | 4:05 PM |
Clayton Kershaw | Dereck Rodriguez | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 7.0 | 225 |
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Lance Lynn | Nathan Eovaldi | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 1:05 PM | ||
Miles Mikolas | Cole Hamels | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 1:05 PM | ||
Justin Verlander | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 8.5 | 205 | 4:05 PM |
Clayton Kershaw | Dereck Rodriguez | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 7.0 | 225 | 4:05 PM |
Jameson Taillon | Michael Lorenzen | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 8.5 | 120 | 4:10 PM |
Ryan Borucki | Blake Snell | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.0 | -255 | 6:10 PM |
Anibal Sanchez | Aaron Nola | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 7.5 | -170 | 7:05 PM |
Daniel Norris | Wade Miley | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 8.5 | -270 | 7:10 PM |
Carlos Rodon | Kyle Gibson | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 8.0 | -140 | 7:10 PM |
Trevor Richards | Steven Matz | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 7.5 | -185 | 7:10 PM |
Corey Kluber | Jakob Junis | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 8.0 | 195 | 7:15 PM |
Dallas Keuchel | Yefry Ramirez | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 7:35 PM | ||
Stephen Strasburg | Jon Gray | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 9.5 | -130 | 8:10 PM |
Zack Godley | Jacob Nix | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 8.0 | 115 | 8:40 PM |
Trevor Cahill | Tyler Skaggs | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 9:07 PM | ||
Adrian Sampson | James Paxton | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.0 | -250 | 9:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Borucki (L) | at TB | 91.0 | 16.5 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 0.49 | 3.76 | 1.31 | $5,000 | $7,800 | 105 | 24.4 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v HOU | 335.3 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 15.8 | 1.74 | 4.86 | 1.31 | $5,200 | $6,600 | 105 | 18.8 |
Trevor Cahill (R) | at LAA | 190.0 | 22.7 | 10.4 | 12.3 | 1.14 | 4.36 | 1.39 | $6,800 | $5,900 | 111 | 20.9 |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v NYY | 109.0 | 21.7 | 4.5 | 17.2 | 1.16 | 3.88 | 1.14 | $6,600 | $7,100 | 107 | 22.1 |
Kyle Gibson (R) | v CWS | 348.7 | 19.6 | 9.1 | 10.5 | 1.21 | 4.31 | 1.41 | $8,100 | $7,500 | 95 | 25.8 |
Zack Godley (R) | at SD | 327.3 | 24.8 | 9.5 | 15.3 | 0.85 | 4.10 | 1.31 | $6,200 | $7,200 | 89 | 25.1 |
Jon Gray (R) | v WAS | 280.7 | 24.7 | 6.9 | 17.8 | 1.15 | 4.43 | 1.31 | $8,400 | $6,800 | 103 | 19.8 |
Cole Hamels (L) | v STL | 331.7 | 20.5 | 8.3 | 12.1 | 1.28 | 4.02 | 1.25 | $8,800 | $8,700 | 105 | 22.5 |
Jakob Junis (R) | v CLE | 269.3 | 20.6 | 5.8 | 14.8 | 1.57 | 4.38 | 1.27 | $7,200 | $7,900 | 109 | 18.8 |
Clayton Kershaw (L) | at SF | 331.3 | 27.0 | 4.5 | 22.5 | 1.09 | 2.42 | 0.98 | $9,200 | $11,200 | 74 | 23.0 |
Dallas Keuchel (L) | at BAL | 347.3 | 19.1 | 7.2 | 11.9 | 0.86 | 3.39 | 1.23 | $8,000 | $8,300 | 70 | 25.4 |
Corey Kluber (R) | at KC | 413.7 | 30.2 | 4.3 | 25.9 | 1.00 | 2.55 | 0.92 | $11,000 | $12,200 | 92 | 22.0 |
Michael Lorenzen (R) | v PIT | 158.3 | 19.4 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.85 | 3.92 | 1.37 | $4,500 | $5,500 | 99 | 19.2 |
Lance Lynn (R) | at BOS | 340.0 | 21.2 | 10.5 | 10.7 | 1.09 | 4.05 | 1.37 | $6,000 | $6,900 | 116 | 18.5 |
Steven Matz (L) | v MIA | 214.7 | 20.6 | 8.2 | 12.5 | 1.55 | 4.74 | 1.35 | $6,700 | $7,700 | 80 | 22.4 |
Miles Mikolas (R) | at CHC | 192.7 | 17.9 | 3.7 | 14.2 | 0.75 | 2.94 | 1.09 | $9,100 | $8,500 | 101 | 21.2 |
Wade Miley (L) | v DET | 235.0 | 18.1 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 1.07 | 4.52 | 1.55 | $6,000 | $6,400 | 98 | 20.2 |
Jacob Nix (R) | v ARI | 38.3 | 12.3 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 1.64 | 6.81 | 1.49 | $4,200 | $6,000 | 86 | 23.6 |
Aaron Nola (R) | v ATL | 373.3 | 26.7 | 6.9 | 19.8 | 0.84 | 2.94 | 1.08 | $10,500 | $10,200 | 98 | 21.1 |
Daniel Norris (L) | at MIL | 141.3 | 20.2 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 1.21 | 5.29 | 1.56 | $5,300 | $6,300 | 92 | 20.3 |
James Paxton (L) | v TEX | 290.3 | 30.2 | 6.7 | 23.5 | 0.99 | 3.44 | 1.10 | $10,000 | $8,900 | 90 | 22.7 |
Yefry Ramirez (R) | v HOU | 59.3 | 21.6 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 1.37 | 6.07 | 1.55 | $4,800 | $5,900 | 105 | 18.8 |
Trevor Richards (R) | at NYM | 119.7 | 23.5 | 10.0 | 13.5 | 1.13 | 4.66 | 1.40 | $7,700 | $6,700 | 97 | 22.5 |
Carlos Rodon (L) | at MIN | 189.0 | 20.6 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 1.29 | 3.81 | 1.25 | $7,000 | $7,300 | 85 | 22.9 |
Dereck Rodriguez (R) | v LAD | 115.3 | 18.7 | 7.0 | 11.7 | 0.55 | 2.50 | 1.08 | $6,200 | $8,100 | 119 | 22.2 |
Adrian Sampson (R) | at SEA | 16.3 | 15.9 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.31 | 4.96 | 1.29 | $5,000 | $5,700 | 103 | 19.9 |
Anibal Sanchez (R) | at PHI | 236.0 | 22.9 | 6.7 | 16.2 | 1.56 | 4.50 | 1.31 | $8,300 | $8,200 | 99 | 24.4 |
Tyler Skaggs (L) | v OAK | 207.0 | 22.9 | 7.5 | 15.4 | 1.13 | 4.17 | 1.35 | $6,400 | $6,200 | 106 | 22.8 |
Blake Snell (L) | v TOR | 305.0 | 26.9 | 9.7 | 17.2 | 0.91 | 2.80 | 1.12 | $10,500 | $12,000 | 87 | 21.5 |
Stephen Strasburg (R) | at COL | 299.3 | 28.9 | 6.8 | 22.1 | 0.87 | 3.04 | 1.09 | $8,900 | $9,500 | 80 | 23.5 |
Jameson Taillon (R) | at CIN | 318.7 | 22.0 | 6.8 | 15.2 | 0.85 | 3.70 | 1.31 | $8,800 | $9,800 | 98 | 21.0 |
Justin Verlander (R) | at BAL | 414.0 | 30.0 | 6.5 | 23.5 | 1.20 | 2.98 | 1.04 | $11,900 | $12,400 | 85 | 24.8 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
Ryan Borucki (L) | at TB | 16.3 | 3.8 | 12.5 | 0.47 | 0.289 | 15.7 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 0.55 | 0.312 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v HOU | 17.7 | 7.9 | 9.9 | 1.59 | 0.355 | 27.8 | 7.3 | 20.4 | 1.74 | 0.314 |
Trevor Cahill (R) | at LAA | 22.3 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 0.80 | 0.307 | 23.0 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 1.29 | 0.321 |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v NYY | 18.6 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 1.66 | 0.355 | 19.9 | 4.0 | 15.9 | 1.29 | 0.287 |
Kyle Gibson (R) | v CWS | 16.5 | 9.1 | 7.4 | 1.01 | 0.350 | 20.6 | 8.6 | 12.0 | 1.40 | 0.326 |
Zack Godley (R) | at SD | 22.6 | 10.4 | 12.2 | 0.81 | 0.322 | 24.3 | 7.7 | 16.5 | 1.16 | 0.312 |
Jon Gray (R) | v WAS | 24.8 | 7.8 | 16.9 | 1.24 | 0.321 | 25.6 | 6.8 | 18.8 | 0.90 | 0.313 |
Cole Hamels (L) | v STL | 20.0 | 9.2 | 10.8 | 0.69 | 0.267 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 13.5 | 1.32 | 0.326 |
Jakob Junis (R) | v CLE | 18.4 | 6.9 | 11.5 | 1.40 | 0.337 | 23.0 | 4.8 | 18.2 | 1.81 | 0.329 |
Clayton Kershaw (L) | at SF | 29.3 | 2.9 | 26.4 | 1.08 | 0.249 | 28.2 | 4.0 | 24.1 | 0.84 | 0.245 |
Dallas Keuchel (L) | at BAL | 24.2 | 4.2 | 20.0 | 0.67 | 0.261 | 18.4 | 7.7 | 10.7 | 0.98 | 0.309 |
Corey Kluber (R) | at KC | 27.3 | 6.0 | 21.3 | 1.08 | 0.278 | 30.0 | 4.3 | 25.7 | 0.90 | 0.250 |
Michael Lorenzen (R) | v PIT | 19.0 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 0.98 | 0.314 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 16.0 | 0.72 | 0.282 |
Lance Lynn (R) | at BOS | 15.5 | 13.7 | 1.8 | 1.44 | 0.356 | 26.2 | 7.6 | 18.5 | 0.85 | 0.283 |
Steven Matz (L) | v MIA | 17.8 | 7.7 | 10.1 | 0.47 | 0.310 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 15.9 | 1.54 | 0.324 |
Miles Mikolas (R) | at CHC | 16.1 | 3.6 | 12.5 | 1.02 | 0.325 | 19.1 | 4.1 | 15.0 | 0.40 | 0.231 |
Wade Miley (L) | v DET | 17.9 | 11.2 | 6.6 | 0.44 | 0.296 | 18.9 | 9.2 | 9.7 | 1.40 | 0.352 |
Jacob Nix (R) | v ARI | 14.0 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 1.93 | 0.382 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.52 | 0.329 |
Aaron Nola (R) | v ATL | 24.6 | 8.8 | 15.8 | 0.91 | 0.291 | 27.9 | 4.7 | 23.2 | 0.76 | 0.272 |
Daniel Norris (L) | at MIL | 25.6 | 9.4 | 16.1 | 1.61 | 0.342 | 20.1 | 8.6 | 11.5 | 1.10 | 0.343 |
James Paxton (L) | v TEX | 24.5 | 6.5 | 18.0 | 0.57 | 0.310 | 28.7 | 6.1 | 22.6 | 0.92 | 0.281 |
Yefry Ramirez (R) | v HOU | 22.8 | 20.6 | 2.2 | 1.35 | 0.403 | 20.5 | 3.8 | 16.7 | 1.38 | 0.299 |
Trevor Richards (R) | at NYM | 23.1 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 0.49 | 0.297 | 22.6 | 9.2 | 13.4 | 1.88 | 0.379 |
Carlos Rodon (L) | at MIN | 24.6 | 7.9 | 16.7 | 1.11 | 0.296 | 21.4 | 9.4 | 12.0 | 1.29 | 0.321 |
Dereck Rodriguez (R) | v LAD | 19.5 | 6.0 | 13.5 | 0.52 | 0.294 | 19.0 | 8.2 | 10.8 | 0.47 | 0.257 |
Adrian Sampson (R) | at SEA | 12.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 3.86 | 0.414 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 2.08 | 0.395 |
Anibal Sanchez (R) | at PHI | 23.4 | 8.9 | 14.5 | 1.26 | 0.319 | 20.7 | 5.6 | 15.0 | 2.03 | 0.361 |
Tyler Skaggs (L) | v OAK | 23.1 | 5.2 | 17.9 | 0.73 | 0.306 | 23.2 | 9.0 | 14.2 | 1.17 | 0.330 |
Blake Snell (L) | v TOR | 28.9 | 9.9 | 19.0 | 0.24 | 0.235 | 25.4 | 10.6 | 14.8 | 0.98 | 0.301 |
Stephen Strasburg (R) | at COL | 28.3 | 8.1 | 20.2 | 0.94 | 0.275 | 30.7 | 5.6 | 25.2 | 0.85 | 0.277 |
Jameson Taillon (R) | at CIN | 17.9 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 0.87 | 0.332 | 25.5 | 4.0 | 21.5 | 0.94 | 0.290 |
Justin Verlander (R) | at BAL | 32.9 | 7.9 | 25.0 | 1.33 | 0.276 | 25.7 | 5.2 | 20.5 | 1.09 | 0.275 |