Zemgus Girgensons

Zemgus Girgensons

30-Year-Old CenterC
Tampa Bay Lightning
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Girgensons' 10th and final season in Buffalo was the least productive of his NHL career. He appeared in 63 games, managing just eight goals and 14 points, a new career-low. There was a time early in his career when Girgensons was good for roughly 15 goals and 30 points, but those days appear to be long gone. The veteran Latvian was forced to settle for a three-year, $2.55 million contract with the Lightning in free agency. The monetary commitment suggests Tampa Bay views Girgensons as nothing more than a bottom-of-the-lineup depth piece, meaning he's almost certain not to amass any fantasy value. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a three-year, $2.55 million contract with the Lightning in July of 2024.
Produces helper in big win
CTampa Bay Lightning
November 26, 2024
Girgensons notched an assist and four blocked shots in Monday's 8-2 win over the Avalanche.
ANALYSIS
Girgensons' helper was the 100th of his career. The 30-year-old forward has 189 points over 708 appearances, with much of his time in the NHL coming as a bottom-six player. This year, he's produced just the one assist in addition to 29 hits, 22 PIM, 17 shots on net, 13 blocked shots and a minus-2 rating over his first 20 outings with the Lightning after a 10-year tenure with the Sabres. Girgensons has finished between 14 and 19 points in each of the last eight years, but he'll have some work to do to get to that level in 2024-25.
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2024–25 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    10:55
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    0:00
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    1:47
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2022–23
12:59
0:04
1:28
2023–24
11:51
0:03
0:56
2024–25
10:55
0:00
1:47
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Lightning Power Play Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2012
Girgensons is a perfectly serviceable fourth-line forward. His 10 goals and 18 points in 80 contests last season is an acceptable offensive output when measured against his modest 12:59 of ice time per game. He also contributed 96 hits and 49 blocked shots, and was deployed regularly on the penalty kill, which adds an important amount of versatility to his game. None of that adds up to him being a standout player from a fantasy perspective, but if you are in a situation where you'd be interested in his future, you can feel relatively confident in the idea that he should finish with 15-20 points for an eighth consecutive campaign.
Girgensons was solid in a bottom-six role for the Sabres last season, picking up 12 goals and 19 points while averaging 13:48 of ice time in 69 appearances. However, he converted his shots at an unsustainable 14.1 percent clip, so he's due for some significant regression from a goal-scoring standpoint in 2020-21. The 26-year-old Latvian won't be a viable fantasy option this year.
Girgensons is consistent, but that doesn't mean he's good. The Latvian forward has scored between 15 and 18 points in each of the past four seasons, and his career rating is an ugly minus-52. That poor plus-minus can be chalked up in part to playing for what has largely been a lackluster Sabres team, but even if the club around him improves, Girgensons is unlikely to benefit much given his fourth-line role.
One more stagnant season and Girgensons' stint with the Sabres may end, so there's a lot of pressure for the former Latvian Olympian to get better. He scored just seven goals and 15 points last year, the third straight season he's failed to show any signs of improvement. His stagnant development is both frustrating and confusing since he had shown so much promise in his sophomore campaign when he scored 15 goals. Girgensons played better when the Sabres experimented with him in a top-six role, but he's destined to be a checking-line player given his skill set, and with young players being introduced every season, Girgenson's time with the Sabres is running out. He's not worth any fantasy consideration until he solidifies a role in the lineup.
Girgensons had his worst season last year, finishing with a career-low 16 points in 75 games while averaging a little more than 13 minutes of ice time. Through four seasons, the Latvian has failed to develop into the reliable checking center the Sabres thought he'd be when they claimed him with the 14th overall pick in 2012. Buffalo’s deployed him both at center and on the wing in an effort to get him going, to no avail. He did have a promising January with seven points in 14 games when he received more ice time, but that production quickly tailed off, sending him back to a limited role. Girgensons still has some potential at 23 years old, but his time is running out in Buffalo unless he makes significant improvements, and that may be difficult for him to do with no clear path to top-six minutes.
Girgensons’ ice time was cut back by four minutes despite scoring 15 goals the previous season, mostly due to the result of an influx of new players. As a result, his production dropped, scoring just seven goals and 18 points in 71 games this past season. His offensive ceiling was never part of his intrigue, but he remains a reliable defensive center and occasional winger on a team bursting with offensive talent. Girgensons should be a key part of the Sabres' lineup, but his usual duties won’t often involve scoring.
At 21 years old, Girgensons has already seen a lot in his young career. He developed a cult following in his native Latvia that got him voted into the NHL All-Star Game as a starter this past season. And the hard-hitting center even has a rap song named after him. On the ice, his reputation as a power center is growing steadily. He delivered 15 goals and 127 hits in just 61 games last season, and will benefit significantly from the insulation that now comes with the improvements of the Sabres’ forward group. In 2015-16, he’ll likely slot into the third-line center role, where he should form a formidable line with Marcus Foligno and Johan Larsson. The former will bring grit; the latter will bring skill. And that combination should allow Girgensons to repeat -- and perhaps incrementally increase -- his production from 2014-15.
At just 20 years old, Girgensons is seen as one of the league’s best young two-way players. A complete player who can skate, hit and contribute offensively, he is slated to be one of Buffalo’s top centers and could become the team’s best player by the end of the season. The 14th overall pick from 2012, Girgensons should only improve upon his 22-point rookie campaign. Buffalo is short on NHL-caliber centers, which means the burden on Girgensons could be even greater. Having performed admirably for Latvia at the Winter Olympics, he doesn’t seem to be the type to shirk extra responsibility. What Girgensons lacks in high-end skill, he more than makes up for with a hard work ethic.
Girgensons played in the AHL as a teenager last season, scoring 17 points in 61 games with the Sabres’ affiliate in Rochester. The 2012 first-round pick took some time to adjust to pro hockey, but really turned a corner near the end of the season, leading Rochester with three goals in three playoff games. After a strong summer development camp, he heads to training camp attempting to win a roster spot with the big club. Those in keeper leagues should keep an eye on the 19-year old Latvian, as his combination of size and skill make him a tantalizing prospect. If he doesn’t break camp with the Sabres, he’ll likely be called up to show his stuff at some point during the season.
Girgensons spurned a college career with the University of Vermont to sign an entry-level deal with the Sabres. He was the 14th overall selection in June's entry draft and will certainly have a shot at breaking camp with the Sabres. Have a close look at him in keeper leagues, but the Latvian pivot will likely benefit from some seasoning with the Sabres' AHL affiliate in Rochester. Girgensons put 55 points in 49 with Dubuque of the USHL. The Sabres will have to decide whether it's better to have him on the NHL roster or playing regularly in the AHL.
More Fantasy News
Seeing fourth-line minutes
CTampa Bay Lightning
October 31, 2024
Girgensons has no points through his first 10 appearances this season.
ANALYSIS
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Lands three-year deal
CTampa Bay Lightning
July 1, 2024
Girgensons signed a three-year, $2.55 million contract with Tampa Bay on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to return
CBuffalo Sabres
April 9, 2024
Girgensons (illness) is expected to return to the lineup Tuesday versus Dallas, Lance Lysowski of The Buffalo News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not playing Sunday
CBuffalo Sabres
Illness
April 7, 2024
Girgensons (illness) won't play Sunday against Detroit, Paul Hamilton of WGR Sports Radio 550 reports.
ANALYSIS
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Provides pair of helpers
CBuffalo Sabres
March 18, 2024
Girgensons notched two assists, three hits, two blocked shots, two PIM and a plus-2 rating in Monday's 6-2 win over the Kraken.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Headed for free agency
CBuffalo Sabres
May 15, 2024
Girgensons is expected to test the open market this offseason, per The Fourth Period on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Previous reports indicated that Girgensons would be offered a new deal by the Sabres, but it seems the two sides have not been able to come to an agreement. Although the 30-year-old center has spent his entire 10-year NHL career with Buffalo, he hasn't reached the 20-point threshold since 2014-15, when he notched a career-best 15 goals and 15 helpers.
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