This article is part of our The RotoWire 200 series.
The RotoWire 200
This list is based on projected value in a head-to-head points league that rewards goals, assists, plus-minus, power-play points, penalty minutes and shorthanded goals for skaters, and wins, saves (detracting for goals allowed) and shutouts for goalies.
In practical terms, that means this list heavily weights goaltenders who see a lot of playing time and goalies who face a lot of shots — meaning bad goaltenders on bad teams who are slated to see a lot of playing time have a lot of value compared to decent or even good goaltenders stuck in timeshares.
Rank | Player | Team | Pos. | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Steven Stamkos | TAM | C | Beats out the Kid thanks to health edge and near-guaranteed 50 goals |
2 | Sidney Crosby | PIT | C | Just stop getting hit so much, alright? |
3 | Erik Karlsson | OTT | D | The only defenseman you can count on to score like an elite forward |
4 | Evgeni Malkin | PIT | C | As with Crosby, injuries can be worrisome, but he's healthy now |
5 | Alexander Ovechkin | WAS | RW | Looked like old-time Ovi again last year; banking on that continuing |
6 | Patrick Kane | CHI | RW | Playoff MVP looked pretty sick in the regular season last year too |
7 | Henrik Lundqvist | NYR | G | Still the King |
8 | Daniel Sedin | VAN | LW | Coming off a down year, but look for a big bounce-back |
9 | John Tavares | NYI | C | Should challenge or surpass 40 goals |
10 | Braden Holtby | WAS | G | .923 save mark in his first 57 NHL games; ready to step |
The RotoWire 200
This list is based on projected value in a head-to-head points league that rewards goals, assists, plus-minus, power-play points, penalty minutes and shorthanded goals for skaters, and wins, saves (detracting for goals allowed) and shutouts for goalies.
In practical terms, that means this list heavily weights goaltenders who see a lot of playing time and goalies who face a lot of shots — meaning bad goaltenders on bad teams who are slated to see a lot of playing time have a lot of value compared to decent or even good goaltenders stuck in timeshares.
Rank | Player | Team | Pos. | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Steven Stamkos | TAM | C | Beats out the Kid thanks to health edge and near-guaranteed 50 goals |
2 | Sidney Crosby | PIT | C | Just stop getting hit so much, alright? |
3 | Erik Karlsson | OTT | D | The only defenseman you can count on to score like an elite forward |
4 | Evgeni Malkin | PIT | C | As with Crosby, injuries can be worrisome, but he's healthy now |
5 | Alexander Ovechkin | WAS | RW | Looked like old-time Ovi again last year; banking on that continuing |
6 | Patrick Kane | CHI | RW | Playoff MVP looked pretty sick in the regular season last year too |
7 | Henrik Lundqvist | NYR | G | Still the King |
8 | Daniel Sedin | VAN | LW | Coming off a down year, but look for a big bounce-back |
9 | John Tavares | NYI | C | Should challenge or surpass 40 goals |
10 | Braden Holtby | WAS | G | .923 save mark in his first 57 NHL games; ready to step up to elite status |
11 | Pekka Rinne | NAS | G | Coming off his worst season; expect a rebound |
12 | James Neal | PIT | RW | Goal-scoring machine, and not injury-prone like his fellow elite Penguins |
13 | Rick Nash | NYR | LW | Good first year in NY; second will be better |
14 | Phil Kessel | TOR | RW | Can be painfully streaky, but piles up points |
15 | Sergei Bobrovsky | CLM | G | Still kind of in shock over him winning the Vezina, but he deserved it |
16 | Kris Letang | PIT | D | Another Penguin who gets hurt, but puts up points when healthy |
17 | Anze Kopitar | LOS | C | One of my favorite players in the league |
18 | Henrik Sedin | VAN | C | Stats depressed last year thanks to Daniel not finishing enough |
19 | Tuukka Rask | BOSÂ | G | In categorical formats, I'd have him above Rinne and Bobrovsky |
20 | Claude Giroux | PHI | C | If he's as dominant as in '11-'12, he'll outperform this draft spot; still just 25 |
21 | Shea Weber | NAS | D | The most reliable blueliner in the game |
22 | Martin St. Louis | TAM | RW | We're still waiting for him to realize he's old; he still hasn't |
23 | Antti Niemi | SAN | G | Career-high save percentage last year probably not sustainable over 82 games |
24 | P.K. Subban | MON | D | Could reasonably outscore every defenseman but Karlsson |
25 | Jimmy Howard | DET | G | Goalie rankings are really like splitting hairs sometimes |
26 | Corey Perry | ANAÂ | RW | As points-and-PIM combos go, he's the best |
27 | Dustin Byfuglien | WPG | D | Down season last year, but expect another strong full-length campaign |
28 | Jonathan Toews | CHI | C | Two-way game is so good, it depresses his offense a little |
29 | Jordan Eberle | EDM | RW | Going to be a big star, in my view |
30 | Ryan Getzlaf | ANAÂ | C | Huge bounceback campaign last year, but he's lost Bobby Ryan |
31 | Tyler Seguin | DAL | C | Point-scoring explosion could come now that he's got top-dog status |
32 | Eric Staal | CAR | C | Could quite reasonably rank higher on this list, but can be inconsistent |
33 | Loui Eriksson | BOS | RW | Should return to 70-point status and get that Bruins plus-minus boost |
34 | Mike Green | WAS | D | Another injury-shortened campaign last year, but his offensive production returned |
35 | Thomas Vanek | BUF | LW | Arguably the league's best scorer in the first half last year |
36 | Jakub Voracek | PHI | RW | Super-consistent already, and hasn't reached his offensive ceiling |
37 | Zach Parise | MIN | LW | Good-but-not-awesome first year in Minnesota, but he gets a mulligan |
38 | Zdeno Chara | BOSÂ | D | Age and mediocre '12-'13 drop him, but still a good goals + PIM provider on D |
39 | Henrik Zetterberg | DET | LW | Still piles up points, but you can't count on him for more than 20-25 goals |
40 | Jamie Benn | DAL | RW | Stars' new captain enters this season with a clean slate and Seguin to feed him |
41 | Taylor Hall | EDM | LW | Could play some center; dual eligibility would help in some leagues, esp. Yahoo |
42 | Evander Kane | WPG | LW | Has the skills to pot 40; will this be the year he does it? |
43 | Pavel Datsyuk | DET | C | Maybe the NHL's best all-around player, but now he's 35 |
44 | Corey Crawford | CHI | G | Has never played more than 57 games; otherwise, he'd be up there with the elites |
45 | Nicklas Backstrom | WAS | C | Still one of the game's top assist men |
46 | Alex Pietrangelo | STL | D | Former top pick saw a dip last year, but should get back at it this season |
47 | Jonathan Quick | LOS | G | .902 save mark last year was ugly, but Bernier trade shows Kings are committed |
48 | Duncan Keith | CHI | D | A reliable blue-line presence, but not as exciting as we once hoped |
49 | Kevin Shattenkirk | STL | D | Huge, huge offensive upside, but his points tend to come in bunches or not at all |
50 | Derek Stepan | NYR | C | Holdout could affect early returns |
51 | Oliver Ekman-Larsson | PHO | D | Could have this year's Subban-style breakout |
52 | Bobby Ryan | OTT | RW | Alfie's replacement should find a happy home with Spezza & Co., deliver 30 goals |
53 | Logan Couture | SAN | C | A rising star; should continue to take on more scoring responsibility |
54 | Roberto Luongo | VAN | G | With Schneider gone, the job's finally all his again |
55 | Patrick Sharp | CHI | RW | One of the league's best finishers; should rebound after injury-shortened '12-'13 |
56 | Jason Spezza | OTT | C | A top-30 player if not for ongoing injury concerns |
57 | Keith Yandle | PHO | D | Provides reliably in all stat categories, and never gets hurt |
58 | Nazem Kadri | TOR | C | Point-per-game upside |
59 | Max Pacioretty | MON | LW | Has established himself as the Habs' go-to guy on offense |
60 | Dion Phaneuf | TOR | D | Year-to-year inconsistency can be a turnoff, but I like him this year |
61 | Joe Thornton | SAN | C | Keeps steadily declining offensively, but still good for a pile of assists |
62 | Matt Moulson | NYI | LW | Always scores goals, but added 29 helpers in 47 games last year |
63 | Patrice Bergeron | BOSÂ | C | Appears recovered from rib injuries suffered in the playoffs |
64 | Carey Price | MON | G | Inconsistent, but still a solid goaltending option with upside |
65 | Patrik Elias | NJD | LW | Not getting any younger, but still good for 50-60 points |
66 | Niklas Kronwall | DET | D | The promise of double-digit goals lands him here, but needs to collect more helpers |
67 | Mark Streit | PHI | D | He'll slot in as the Flyers' top D-man and QB the PP, which is quite valuable |
68 | Chris Kunitz | PIT | LW | Repeat of point-per-game performance unlikely, but still a fine option |
69 | Milan Lucic | BOSÂ | LW | At age 25, gets a mulligan on last year; still a terrific points+PIM guy |
70 | Dan Boyle | SAN | D | Horrible regular season last year, but looked revived in the playoffs |
71 | Jarome Iginla | BOS | RW | Looked revived in Pittsburgh last year; at 36, will that continue in Boston? |
72 | Tobias Enstrom | WPG | D | When healthy, an elite producer on the blue line, especially on the PP |
73 | Slava Voynov | LOS | D | Big-time breakout coming |
74 | Andrew Ladd | WPG | LW | If the Jets are any good, he'll be a big part of why |
75 | Justin Schultz | EDM | D | No sophomore slump here; expect a big scoring bump in his second season |
76 | Patrick Marleau | SAN | LW | 14 points in first seven games last year; 17 points in next 41 |
77 | Alexander Semin | CAR | LW | Point-per-game pace last year could persist, but always an injury risk |
78 | Matt Duchene | COL | C | Made positive strides last year; star status awaits |
79 | Ryan Suter | MIN | D | Known more for his D, but finished third among defensemen in points last year |
80 | David Krejci | BOSÂ | C | Terrific player, but the depth at C keeps him ranked below his linemates |
81 | David Backes | STL | C | Just six goals last year, but we know he's better than that |
82 | Kari Lehtonen | DAL | G | An injury risk for sure, but he's been nothing but reliable when between the pipes |
83 | Marian Gaborik | CLM | RW | One of the league's biggest question marks, but this is a contract year |
84 | Ryan Kesler | VAN | C | Finally healthy again, a very high-upside fantasy selection |
85 | Drew Doughty | LOS | D | Others may rank him higher, but this is a results-oriented business |
86 | Devan Dubnyk | EDM | G | Looked great in '12-'13, and plenty of offensive talent in front of him; is this the year? |
87 | Mike Smith | PHO | G | Incredible '11-'12 campaign looking awful mirage-like, but still a starter |
88 | Joffrey Lupul | TOR | LW | Amazing when healthy, but never seems to stay on the ice for a full season |
89 | Gabriel Landeskog | COL | LW | Should return to '11-'12 scoring levels (50-some points), with upside for more |
90 | Marian Hossa | CHI | RW | Banged up already, which has to be concerning |
91 | Johan Franzen | DET | RW | Always a reliable contributor of PPG |
92 | Mike Ribeiro | PHO | C | Point-per-game performance unlikely to be repeated now that he's in Phoenix |
93 | Ryan Miller | BUF | G | Will he end the season in a Sabres uniform? Guessing no |
94 | Brad Richards | NYR | C | All offseason reports positive after disappointing 2012-'13; an upside pick |
95 | Alexandre Burrows | VAN | RW | May be pushed off the Sedins' line, which would hurt a lot |
96 | Cam Ward | CAR | G | Healthy and looking to prove that he's Carolina's long-term answer |
97 | Jiri Tlusty | CAR | LW | Stunning breakout last year; more to come for the super-talented winger |
98 | Brent Burns | SAN | LW | Gets a huge boost on this list in leagues where he still qualifies at D |
99 | Nail Yakupov | EDM | RW | 31 in 48 while playing just 14 minutes is pretty great; should take a step forward |
100 | Vladimir Tarasenko | STL | RW | Went stone-cold after hot start last year, but enormous upside |
101 | Alexander Edler | VAN | D | Double-digit goals likely for the Canucks' top defenseman |
102 | Blake Wheeler | WPG | RW | Looked awesome down the stretch last year |
103 | Alex Goligoski | DAL | D | Career-high scoring rate last year; can he build on it? |
104 | Wayne Simmonds | PHI | RW | A key cog in the Philadephia power play, which accounts for much of his value |
105 | Tyler Ennis | BUF | C | Much upside, and should have C/LW eligibility |
106 | Jack Johnson | CLM | D | Do the Jackets have enough around him to project a return to 40 points? |
107 | Derick Brassard | NYR | C | Looked electric after being traded to New York last year |
108 | Pierre Parenteau | COL | RW | One of the most underrated players in the league |
109 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | EDM | C | A world of upside, but shoulder injury and slight build are concerning |
110 | Brad Marchand | BOSÂ | LW | Good for solid points and great plus-minus, as usual, but never a PP producer |
111 | Teddy Purcell | TAM | RW | Averaging more than 60 points per 82 games over the last two seasons |
112 | Viktor Stalberg | NAS | LW | Finally out from under the shadow of 'Hawks stars, could have a big year |
113 | Christian Ehrhoff | BUF | D | Probably won't regain that 14-goal touch, but 10-11, sure |
114 | Tomas Fleischmann | FLA | LW | Safe, but not very exciting on Florida's top line |
115 | Justin Williams | LOS | RW | Drop in PP production is quite concerning |
116 | Brent Seabrook | CHI | D | Solid defender, but not a guy you want headlining your fantasy D corps |
117 | Ryan McDonagh | NYR | D | Already one of the best defenders, will his offense become more consistent? |
118 | John Carlson | WAS | D | Always like the upside of young defenders who get a lot of shots on goal |
119 | Jonathan Bernier | TOR | G | Expected timeshare with Reimer will damage his totals |
120 | Mike Richards | LOS | C | Practically useless at even strength, but all those PP points help |
121 | Jonathan Huberdeau | FLA | LW | Middling talent around him, but should keep developing; massive upside |
122 | Dustin Brown | LOS | RW | Huge value in leagues that count hits, but also a consistent 50-plus points |
123 | Jason Pominville | MIN | RW | Looked rejuvenated after being dealt to the Wild las year |
124 | Michael Del Zotto | NYR | D | Should once again see a lot of time on the Rangers' PP |
125 | Marc-Andre Fleury | PIT | G | If Vokoun is out long-term, Fleury goes way, way up; this rank assumes timeshare |
126 | Cody Hodgson | BUF | C | Last year's improvement was dramatic; things could be even better this year |
127 | Craig Anderson | OTT | G | Expect Robin Lehner to start displacing Anderson this year |
128 | Marcus Johansson | WAS | LW | First-line gig could lead to a huge year |
129 | Ryane Clowe | NJD | LW | Looked revived as a Ranger; a good fit for NJ's system, replacing Clarkson |
130 | Joe Pavelski | SAN | C | Third-line assignment will make it tough to average 19 minutes like last year |
131 | Pascal Dupuis | PIT | LW | A reliable source of secondary scoring for Pittsburgh even at ae 34 |
132 | Ondrej Pavelec | WPG | G | Has upside and plays a lot, but you can't count on the Jets to defend |
133 | Cam Fowler | ANA | D | Playing better on D, but at the cost of offense; can he find a balance? |
134 | Kimmo Timonen | PHI | D | A dependable producer his whole career, but 38 and coming off a fractured foot |
135 | Brendan Smith | DET | D | Should see more ice and provide more points this season |
136 | Brayden Schenn | PHI | C | Extra valuable in leagues that count hits, and lots of offensive upside |
137 | David Clarkson | TOR | RW | The Leafs' very own Bobby Holik? |
138 | Niklas Backstrom | MIN | G | Played a lot last year, and just a .909 save mark isn't awesome |
139 | Jakob Silfverberg | ANA | RW | Young Swede has incredible upside; could blow up if given a big role |
140 | Jaroslav Halak | STL | G | Only scheduled to see 60 percent of the starts for St. Louis |
141 | Cory Conacher | OTT | LW | Move to Ottawa was not the greatest for his fantasy value |
142 | Kyle Palmieri | ANA | RW | The better Palmieri |
143 | Ray Whitney | DAL | LW | Terribly old and brittle, but he can still score points |
144 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | First overall pick should have a fine rookie year if he can stay healthy |
145 | Tim Thomas | FLA | G | Betting on Thomas to not only make the roster, but also make majority of the starts |
146 | Milan Michalek | OTT | LW | A star when he's healthy, but almost never plays full seasons |
147 | Jeff Skinner | CAR | LW | Potential third-line job is murder to his value |
148 | Tomas Plekanec | MON | C | Well-rounded, but doesn't do anything extremely well |
149 | James van Riemsdyk | TOR | LW | Should build on last year's career-high scoring pace |
150 | Jeff Carter | LOS | C | One of the most bizarre seasons ever last year -- 26 goals and 7 assists |
151 | Vincent Lecavalier | PHI | C | It's a bad contract, but the first couple years should still be good |
152 | Valeri Nichushkin | DAL | LW | One of this year's most exciting rookies; could win a big role early on |
153 | Andrei Markov | MON | D | Slowed after big start last year, but still ended on 51-point pace; PP points for days |
154 | Jordan Staal | CAR | C | Should look better in his second Hurricanes season |
155 | Scott Hartnell | PHI | LW | Should bounce back, but 60 points again? No way |
156 | David Desharnais | MON | C | Impressive playmaker, but the Habs don't have a lot of finishers |
157 | Tyler Myers | BUF | D | Just another guy for the "Great Rookie Season, Steadily Worse Since" category |
158 | Michael Ryder | NJD | RW | Playing time should be there, but New Jersey's offense doesn't project to be great |
159 | Stephen Weiss | DET | C | Should see a nice boost with this change of scenery |
160 | Adam Henrique | NJD | C | Coming off an atrocious year, but young and put up 51 points two years ago |
161 | Kyle Turris | OTT | C | 60-point upside, 30-point downside -- show me some consistency, kid |
162 | Cody Franson | TOR | D | Having trouble coming together with the Leafs on a contract |
163 | Mikko Koivu | MIN | C | Very consistent assist man, but not known for putting many pucks home |
164 | Evgeni Nabokov | NYI | G | At 38 years old, still the man in goal for the Isles |
165 | Jason Garrison | VAN | D | Should tally double-digit goals, but doesn't get many assists |
166 | Dougie Hamilton | BOSÂ | D | Great scoring rate as a rook despite limited ice time; should see more this season |
167 | Brendan Gallagher | MON | RW | Surprisingly productive as a rookie, but lack of size hurts his upside |
168 | Sven Baertschi | CGY | LW | Just about the only good thing the Flames have going for them |
169 | Alex Galchenyuk | MON | C | Great to own in keeper leagues, but probably inconsistent again this year |
170 | Patric Hornqvist | NAS | RW | Healthy, signed long-term; should be a big factor in the offense |
171 | Drew Stafford | BUF | RW | Consecutive 50-point seasons before last year's disaster, and he's just 27 |
172 | Ryan Callahan | NYR | RW | Could miss about the first 10 games of the year |
173 | T.J. Oshie | STL | RW | Not for the first time, we ask: Can he stay healthy? |
174 | David Perron | EDM | LW | Has been very inconsistent, but still room to grow at age 25 |
175 | Cory Schneider | NJD | G | Outplays Martin Brodeur and takes the big end of the timeshare |
176 | Brandon Saad | CHI | LW | Huge offensive potential and second-line ice time -- 50-plus points doable |
177 | Dennis Wideman | CGY | D | A good player, but not a No. 1 defenseman; hard to expect much |
178 | Semyon Varlamov | COL | G | Well, he'll play a lot |
179 | Karri Ramo | CGY | G | Like Varlamov, a lot of playing time, but ugly stats |
180 | Zach Bogosian | WPG | D | Upside in points and PIM, rare on the blue line, but health always an issue |
181 | Radim Vrbata | PHO | RW | Always misses some time, but a steady contributor who'll see big minutes |
182 | Anders Lindback | TAM | G | Will have to fight off Ben Bishop for PT |
183 | Zack Kassian | VAN | RW | Upside power forward who could play alongside the Sedins -- enticing |
184 | Shane Doan | PHO | RW | Could benefit from being paired with Ribeiro |
185 | Jiri Hudler | CGY | LW | Another of the few bright spots in the Calgary gulag |
186 | Steve Ott | BUF | C | Ever-steady -- a near-lock for 2-plus PIM and 0.5 points per game |
187 | Mikhail Grabovski | WAS | C | Has the upside to step into the gap left by Ribeiro |
188 | Valtteri Filppula | TAM | C | Fell off badly last year, but has looked great in camp with the Bolts |
189 | Daniel Alfredsson | DET | RW | It's gonna be weird to see him in a Wings jersey |
190 | Alexander Killorn | TAM | LW | Ice time + Stamkos = yes |
191 | Gustav Nyquist | DET | C | One of the higher-upside third-liners; could well be a star one day |
192 | Sam Gagner | EDM | C | Had a big opportunity, but a broken jaw has him out indefinitely |
193 | Mats Zuccarello | NYR | RW | Norwegian Hobbit Wizard! |
194 | Cam Atkinson | CLM | RW | Someone's gotta score for Columbus, and he's penciled in as the first-line LW |
195 | Jonathan Drouin | TAM | LW | Already penciled into a second-line spot, and could rise to the first |
196 | Nathan Horton | CLM | RW | Will miss the first couple months with a shoulder injury |
197 | Ryan Strome | NYI | C | Ready to make the jump; not much talent standing in his way |
198 | Alex Tanguay | COL | LW | Still a steady producer |
199 | Paul Stastny | COL | C | Health always an issue, and it's seemingly sapped some of his skill |
200 | Travis Zajac | NJD | C | The Devils' top-line center... for now |