Keith Mitchell

Keith Mitchell

33-Year-Old Golfer
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Out
Injury Undisclosed
Est. Return 2/27/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mitchell joined the PGA Tour in 2018 and since then, he's missed the top-70 just twice, in 2020 and 2024. Mitchell was a hit-or-miss guy early in his career, but he's shown more consistency over the past three years. His production in 2024 saw a steep drop from the previous year, however, as he failed to capture a top-5 until the fall portion of the season. Though Mitchell struggled to close the 2024 season, his salary cap number leaves him in a good spot for the upcoming season. Mitchell is still in his early-30s and should have plenty of prime years left. He posted a career-high in top-25s this past season and if he can continue that consistency and mix in some high-end finishes, he should have little problem improving his number from 2024. Read Past Outlooks
Out of Mexico Open
Undisclosed
February 16, 2025
Mitchell has withdrawn his name from next week's Mexico Open, Rob Bolton of PGATour.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Mitchell has opted to skip the Mexico Open for an undisclosed reason. Mitchell has finished T33-or-better in all four of his starts this season. This gets Norman Xiong into the field on his number and Vince Covello will take a sponsors exemption.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2020
2019
2018
2017
Elevated events help nearly everyone on the PGA Tour this past year, but Mitchell really took advantage of the higher purses as his play this past season was worse than the prior year, yet his earnings were about the same. Mitchell recorded only five top-10s in 30 starts and zero top-3s. Mitchell seems to have a lot of potential, but he rarely taps into it. Mitchell has just three top-3s in the past five seasons, so unless he figures out how to play at his peak level for more than a couple weeks per season, he'll likely remain in the same area on the money list.
When Mitchell won during his sophomore season on the PGA Tour in 2019, it appeared as though he was about to take off. That didn't happen however and he spent much of the following two season trying to recapture the magic. Although he failed to win this past season, he more than recaptured the magic as he posted a career highs in top-10s and top-25s on his way to a career best earnings number. Mitchell is not a straightforward case however as he's been quite erratic during his time on the PGA Tour. He's one of a handful of players with really high ceilings and really low floors. Since he's had just one sub-$1 million season out of five though, he's probably more likely to get better as the years go on instead of regressing. With that in mind, Mitchell deserves some consideration in salary cap leagues this season, even at this inflated price.
Mitchell was able to salvage what was mostly a disappointing campaign with a couple top-5s late in the season to make the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He continues to be one of the most dominant drivers on tour (ninth in strokes-gained off-the-tee this season) but the rest of his game leaves much to be desired. Mitchell's game certainly has upside, but unless he makes strides with his iron play, an inconsistent season is expected.
Mitchell had a break out 2019 season, but he failed to do much of anything this past season to back that up. Now the question is, was this past season simply a hangover from picking up his first win the year prior and having no pressure to retain his card? Considering Mitchell has two solid seasons under his belt vs. one poor season, a bounce-back would seem to be in order this year. At his current number, he deserves a lot of consideration in salary cap formats this season.
It took Mitchell some time to finally make it on the PGA Tour, but since joining two seasons ago, he's wasted no time in showing everyone what he's capable of. Mitchell earned over $1.6 million in his rookie season and finished 68th on the FedEx list. This past season, Mitchell took his game to the next level by winning the Honda Classic and taking in over $2.3 million in earnings. Mitchell set the bar pretty high last season, but he appears to have the game to go even higher on the money list this season. As such, he's coin-flip for the upcoming season. There are safer picks at this price, but Mitchell might have more upside than most in this range.
Mitchell finished runner-up at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship and 3rd at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but he probably earned more air time for crashing the top-70 while playing at the Dell Technologies Championship in early September. Lost in all of that perhaps was that Mitchell was a rookie this season...who finished inside the top-70 on the FedEx points list. Not a bad start to one's career. In addition to the runner up and 3rd-place finish, he posted two additional top-10s throughout the season and made 21 of 29 cuts. Mitchell is just 26 and he could be an elite player someday, but the fact remains that there's a lot unknown about him at this stage. As such, the bar is simply set too high to take him in a salary cap league this season.
After missing out on the top-25 on the Web.com Tour and automatic PGA Tour exemption by just one slot, Mitchell forged through the Web.com Tour Finals with a strong showing to earn his PGA Tour card for the first time. On the Web.com last year Mitchell posted six top-10s including his best finish, a third at the News Sentinel Open. Mitchell's clear strength is his immense length off the tee that affords him plenty of birdies or better on par-5s, but the rest of his game has room for improvement. Mitchell could surprise at some weaker-fielded events where length is advantageous, but otherwise shouldn't be on your radar this season.
More Fantasy News
Misses cut in Utah
October 13, 2024
Mitchell carded a two-day total of two-over at the Black Desert Championship to miss the cut by six strokes.
ANALYSIS
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Three putts 72nd hole to finish T3
October 6, 2024
Mitchell shot a two-under 70 on Sunday at the Sanderson Farms Championship to finish in a share of third place.
ANALYSIS
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Third in SG: OTT at Procore Championship
September 16, 2024
Mitchell carded a two-under 70 on Sunday at the Procore Championship to finish 10-under and alone in 12th place.
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Leads in SG: Approach at JDC
July 7, 2024
Mitchell posted a four-under 67 on Sunday at the John Deere Classic to finish tied for 18th place.
ANALYSIS
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MC at Rocket Mortgage Classic
July 1, 2024
Mitchell missed the cut by one shot at this past week's Rocket Mortgage Classic after playing two rounds in three-under-par.
ANALYSIS
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