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Age seems to be getting the better of 42-year-old Rose, who has now gone two straight seasons without a top-3 finish. While he's unlikely to ever find his top form again, there's still plenty of reason to think he could turn in a bounce back campaign in 2022-23. His SG: Total and scoring averages last season were his best mark since the 2018-19 season.
Rose isn't a name you'd expect to see miss out on the playoffs, but the results don't lie. He failed to record a top-5 finish in 17 starts, but he did record a top-10 in two of the majors. His standing on the career money list means he'll still have full status this season, and his ability to elevate in the bigger events still makes him a presence. Rose has lost a bit off the tee, however -- he was 90th in driving distance last season after ranking 28th in 2018-19.
Rose is coming off his worst season in over a decade, which while concerning, is also an opportunity. Yes, he did turn 40 this past season and golfers tend to see a dramatic drop in production after the age of 40, but Rose's drop was so dramatic, it's hard to believe that age was the only factor. This past season was that craziest we've ever witnessed and there's no way to gauge how each player handled it. Perhaps Rose struggle more with the changes than the rest, but whatever the reason for his drop in his production, a bounce-back is almost inevitable this year.
Two years ago, Rose finished the season atop the World Golf Rankings and it looked like a big year was on the horizon. It didn't actually play-out that way however as Rose never found the form that he often displayed the year prior. That's not to say that it was a bad season, it's just that more was expected of Rose after the way he finished the previous season. His "down" season makes him an intriguing prospect for salary cap purposes this season though. Rose's number is large, but he's proven capable of topping $8 million in one season. With that said, he's landed in the $4-$5 million range more often than not over the past decade, which makes him a sketchy salary cap pick this season.
Rose was the FedEx champion last season and deservedly so. Rose played at a high-level the entire season, something that nobody else can claim. The numbers are amazing, 17 starts, 15 top-25s, 11 top-10s, six top-3s, three runner-ups and two wins. More than $8 million in earnings and a $10 million FedEx bonus. Prior to last season, Rose was long considered as a very good golfer, yet he was normally excused from the "elite" conversation, but that should change now. Rose is undoubtedly a first-round draft choice and is likely a top-5 pick, but he's nearly undraftable in salary cap leagues. He'd have to crack $10 million next season to be a decent value in a salary cap format.
Rose posted two top-5s prior to the Masters last season, so it wasn't a shock to see him in contention at Augusta. He failed to hold-off Sergio Garcia that week and although he posted a runner-up finish, it seemed to throw him off his game for a spell. Rose found his game late in the season, however, and the result was yet another impressive season. Rose finished 15th on the money list, but on a per start basis, he ranked 7th. Unfortunately, Rose has a schedule that's not likely to change, so he's always going to be between 15 and 20 starts. With that in mind, he'll have a tough time improving significantly on his number from last season, but when you consider that he didn't win last season, it's certainly possible for Rose to get into the $6 million range with a win or two. It's simply a tough call for salary cap purposes.
Rose finished 44th on the PGA Tour money list last season and as such, he becomes the first "must-have" in salary cap leagues for the upcoming season. Rose wasn't derailed so much by injuries last season, but he was definitely side-tracked. As such, once healthy again, he'll get back to the numbers he was posted prior to this season. In drafts, he could go as early as the first round, but more likely will fall to round two.
Justin Rose and Adam Scott are essentially the same player. Both have all the talent in the world, both have one major to their credit, yet neither can seem to get over that final hurdle and make their way into the elite class. Rose has shown flashes over the years, but for some reason he's failed to reach the mountain top. As always though, he's a threat to get their, so his ceiling remains as high as just about anyone on the PGA Tour. With that said, he's a decent salary cap pick and could go as early as the first round in draft leagues.
After years of flashing greatness, Rose finally hit pay dirt with his first major victory at last year's U.S. Open. Yes, the U.S. Open that will go down in history as the one Phil Mickelson should have won. None the less, Rose picked up his first major win and like Adam Scott, the sky appears to be the limit. Rose however doesn't have quite the track record of others in his class, but the upside remains. Like many foreign players however, Rose will be limited by his schedule. With that said, he's a top-10 pick in drafts and a 50/50 proposition in salary cap formats.
It took him a few years – well, actually, more than a decade - but it looks like Justin Rose has finally figured it out. In 2012, Rose captured his biggest victory when he won the WGC Cadillac Championship in March. He didn't stop there, however. He also carded a top-10 at the Masters in April and then a top-3 at the PGA Championship in August. To cap it all off, he finished runner-up at the Tour Championship in September. Rose played well throughout the season, which is another sign that he has his game together. The next step, of course, is winning a major, something he's certainly capable of. To improve on his 2012 number, he'll likely have to win a major. Even if he does capture that major, it will still be difficult to significantly top his 2012, which makes him a poor option in salary cap leagues. In draft leagues, he should be considered near the end of round one.
It looks like Justin Rose is finally living up to his potential. Rose first flashed his enormous talent as an amateur at the 1998 British Open and from there, the sky was the limit. Rose struggled to meet expectations, though, and it's only been in the last couple years that he's really asserted himself. Rose is one of the few PGA Tour players who has the potential to be the best in the world. That's quite a step for someone who's only won three times on the PGA Tour, but the potential is still there. Rose played some of his best golf late in the 2011 season, so there's a chance he starts 2012 on a high note. If so, he could set a few personal records this season.
Here's a classic case on why it's so hard to give up on a player who shows any kind of talent on the PGA TOUR. Rose appeared to be heading to the next level in 2007 when he earned nearly $3 million, but the two years that followed were unquestionably disappointments. Injuries played a role in the disappointing seasons of 2008 and 2009, but that didn't explain the entire reason behind his drop in play those two years. Whether it was a return to full health or a change in his game, 2010 was a complete reversal of the previous two seasons, and Rose again looks to be the player many expected just a few years ago. Rose's two wins came at upper-tier events last season, which should boost his confidence even further. Expect continued improvement in 2011. Rose is middle of the pack in most statistical measures, but he can sometimes light it up on the greens.
2009 was a strange season for Justin Rose.
Returning from an injury filled 2008 season, it was thought that Rose
would hit the ground running in 2009. That did not happen. Questions
lingered about his health, but later in the year, his game as a whole
became the concern. Now he enters the 2010 season with a lot of
questions to answer. The first being, is he healthy? The second, is he
really that good? A slight uptick in his game should produce much
better results, even if he doesn't turn out to be the next superstar.
Rose missed time to injury last season and didn't regain his form until June. He played only 15 times on the PGA Tour last year, but managed to do better than others who played 20+. If Rose is healthy, which by all accounts he is, then he is a must have at this price.
In 2008 he is expected to do very well with a PGA Tour win at last. He finished in the top-10 in the 2007 PGA Tour majors which bodes well for his performance under pressure. He's approaching the time when the last 72-holes won't be his downfall.
Talk about saving your best golf for late in the year. Rose was well on his way to Q-School and then something happened. The leaves began to change colors. Rose's success in the fall season could mean better things are to come in 2007. Rose came over from England as a highly touted youngster who had proven he can hang with the big boys. Well, he could hang with the big boys in Europe, and until late in 2006 he showed little signs that he could play well in the States on a regular basis. Rose should take the confidence gained in the last couple months of 2006 and carry it over to a more productive 2007 season.
Another player like Charles Howell who was a large disappointment in 2005. Rose's problem was he could not putt for most of the year. He finally got his game together toward year's end and salvaged what would have been a disaster. In his last seven events of 2005 he finished in the top-6 three times. Rose has proven he can hang with the big boys, so it's safe to assume his success had more to do with his skills than with a lack of competition. As with Howell, Rose justifies a selection.
Rose is a rising star on the European Tour at just 23. He could challenge for a major this season, especially the British Open. He even plans on playing a bit more in the States in 2004, committing to roughly 11 events in the U.S. Perhaps if he does well he'll even add a few more.