Scary Terry has quietly been one of the most underrated players in the league since signing with Charlotte five years ago. With the Hornets going into rebuild mode, they decided to ship him off to Miami. The only issue is that Rozier had an injury-riddled second half after joining the Heat. In his 31 games with Miami, Rozier averaged 16.4 points, 4.2 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 1.0 steals and 2.1 threes per game. That's a falloff from the guy we saw in Charlotte when he averaged 19.7 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.2 steals and 2.9 threes in the four years prior. While we expect Rozier to take a small dip, we still see him landing between last year's averages and his Charlotte numbers. The reason we expect the drop is that he has to battle Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo for touches. There weren't many games when all four of those guys were healthy last year, and it's tough to get a grasp on how Rozier's role will look when all of these guys are out there. We're encouraged that Rozier has seen his shooting numbers rise over recent years, shooting at least 44 percent from the field and 36 percent from three-point range in three of the last four years. That used to kill his fantasy value in category leagues. Rozier could become even more efficient with how many playmakers are on this team, but that depends on his shot selection. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $96.26 million contract extension with the Hornets in August of 2021. Traded to the Heat in January of 2024.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary
Terry William Rozier III was born in 1994 in Youngstown, Ohio to Terry Rozier Sr. and Eugenia Tucker. He attended Shaker Heights High School and earned All-Lake Erie League honors in three seasons. Rozier averaged 18.2 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 3.2 assists as a junior and upped that to 25.6 points, 6.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 4.7 steals during his senior year. At the 2011 Nike Global Challenge, he posted 10 points and three steals as the USA Midwest team defeated Canada in the title game. Rozier founded the 12 Blessings non-profit organization that helps urban youth and kids with special needs. You can follow him on Twitter (@T_Rozzay3) and Instagram (@gmb_elchum3). Before Rozier arrived at Louisville, he spent a season with the Hargrave Military Academy to get his academic house in order. While at prep school, he averaged 29.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Meanwhile, the Cardinals won the National Championship, so the team was happy as he was coming on board. As a freshman, Rozier mostly came off the bench in support of Russ Smith. The 6-foot-1 guard averaged 7.0 points and 3.1 rebounds and started 10 games. He scored a season-high 19 points in a win over Temple and scored in double digits in 10 games. After Smith had moved on, the Cleveland native moved into the starting lineup and was only held to single-digit scoring thrice. The sophomore led the squad with 17.1 points and added 5.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He put up a career-high 32 points in a win over Western Kentucky as the Cardinals got out to a 11-0 start. Rozier played well in the 2015 NCAA Tournament to help Louisville reach the Elite Eight. He scored 25 points in a win over Northern Iowa, then added 17 points and 14 rebounds to help knock NC State out of the bracket. Following his sophomore season, Rozier declared his intention to play in the NBA and got his wish granted when he was selected with the 16th overall pick in the 2015 NBA Draft by the Boston Celtics.
ANALYSIS Rozier missed the final 11 games of 2023-24, including all five postseason games versus Boston, with a neck strain, but he'll have a full offseason with a clean bill of health to work on his game. Rozier made 31 appearances for the Heat last season, posting averages of 16.4 points, 4.6 assists, 4.2 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 2.1 three-pointers.
2023 NBA Per Game Split Stats - Starting/Off Bench
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2023 NBA Per Game Split Stats - Days Rest
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2023 NBA Per Game Split Stats - By Result
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Advanced Stats
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Stat Review
How does Terry Rozier compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
True Shooting %
An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
Effective Field Goal %
A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
3-Point Attempt Rate
Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
Free Throw Rate
Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
Offensive Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Defensive Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Total Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Assist %
An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
Steal %
An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
Block %
An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
Turnover %
An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
Usage %
An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
Fantasy Points Per Game
NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
Fantasy Points Per Minute
NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
53.1%
Effective Field Goal %
49.7%
3-Point Attempt Rate
39.6%
Free Throw Rate
15.4%
Offensive Rebound %
2.1%
Defensive Rebound %
13.1%
Total Rebound %
7.6%
Assist %
23.6%
Steal %
1.4%
Block %
0.9%
Turnover %
6.1%
Usage %
0.0%
Fantasy Points Per Game
31.0
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.0
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Total
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NBA Historical Fantasy Stats
How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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NBA Per Game Historical Fantasy Stats
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NBA Per 36 Historical Fantasy Stats
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Historical ADP
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Heat Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Terry Rozier was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
Minutes
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2015
Rozier is coming off another strong season, as he established new career-high averages of 21.1 points and 5.1 assists per game. Rozier played 63 games in his fourth season with Charlotte, missing a couple chunks of time, once early with an ankle injury and then again towards the end of the season with a foot injury. Nonetheless, the eight-year guard stepped up to lead the way for the Hornets in the absence of LaMelo Ball for a large portion of the season and Miles Bridges for the entire season, both of whom were expected to be offensive leaders for the team. Despite the Hornets' 27-55 record, Rozier was able to deliver a number of impressive performances, highlighted by a season-high 39-point effort on 15-of-29 shooting in a win over the Bucks in January. Rozier topped 30 points four times on the year and recorded at least 20 points in 42 of his 63 outings. He only notched one double-double, tallying 23 points and 11 assists in an early-season loss, but he did a good job distributing the ball and recorded 38 games with at least five assists. Rozier has a good opportunity to grow and thrive along with a young, talented Hornets' roster. However, he could end up taking a bit more of a back seat offensively with guys like LaMelo Ball, Miles Bridges, Gordon Hayward and rookie Brandon Miller all expected to be ready for action to kick off the 2023-24 season.
Rozier enters his fourth season in Charlotte coming off back-to-back stout offensive campaigns. He's recorded similar production in each season, combining to average 19.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.3 steals across 142 contests. Last season his three-point percentage dropped to 37.4 percent, but that's a healthy clip, above the league average and alongside a hearty 8.1 attempts per game. His consistency should be valued heading into his age-28 campaign. With a lengthy suspension presumably looming for Miles Bridges, regardless of his future destination, Rozier will be relied on for additional offensive production. An emergence from James Bouknight is the only factor that could detract from Rozier filling the majority of that void. It's a sizable hole, as Bridges was one of Charlotte's highest usage players. Combined with his versatile stats and turnover-averse production, Rozier is a high-floor asset with a boosted ceiling.
Despite LaMelo Ball's impressive debut, Rozier actually managed to increase his usage last season and was one of the biggest fantasy surprises. The expectation was that Rozier's role would take a massive hit, but it ended up being Devonte' Graham who suffered. Rozier posted career highs in points (20.4), assists (4.2) and steals (1.3) per game, in addition to field-goal percentage (45.0%). The result was a rank of 48th in fantasy on a per-game basis, and his clean bill of health (69 of 72 games played) allowed him to rank a shocking 22nd overall in total value. The biggest difference in Rozier's offensive repertoire was his increased finishing ability near the basket. He upped his shooting percentage at the rim by six percent and his percentage on short-mid-rangers (mostly floaters) by nine percent. Heading into 2021-22, Rozier's role shouldn't change. Graham was shipped to New Orleans, and while Charlotte brought in Kelly Oubre and James Bouknight, the team has a myriad of lineup combinations to employ. It would be shocking if Rozier finished as second-round value again, but fantasy managers probably shouldn't let him slip past the fifth round, simply given his per-game production.
Rozier's offseason move from Boston to Charlotte prior to the 2019-20 campaign turned out to be a major boon for him and the Hornets alike. Handed a full-time starting role for the first time in his five NBA seasons, Rozier responded with a major breakout, doubling his scoring average from the year before to 18.0 points per game along with 2.7 threes, 4.4 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 1.0 steals. Perhaps most remarkably, he shot 40.7 percent from long range -- a figure that was not only a career high in that category, but was in fact higher than any field-goal percentage he'd ever posted before last season. He ultimately made 172 threes, tying for 20th in the league. Rozier's free-throw percentage also spiked to a shiny 87.4 to accompany a 42.3 field-goal percentage, reflecting an all-around improvement in his shooting ability. However, it's possible he'll remain stagnant this season or take a step back. The Hornets selected guard LaMelo Ball with the third overall pick in the draft, and the team also signed Gordon Hayward to a huge contract. That could mean fewer minutes and less usage for Rozier overall. He'll still be safe to draft inside the top 100, but fantasy managers need to be weary of the situation.
Rozier saw his workload decrease last season as the Celtics were healthier compared to 2017-18. Still, he drew 14 starts and garnered a solid 22.7 minutes per contest. But Boston was not ready to commit to Rozier as their point guard of the future and instead acquired Kemba Walker in a sign-and-trade that sent Rozier to Charlotte. With the Hornets, Rozier figures to be the focal point of the rebuilding franchise. In 30 career games as a starter, the 25-year-old has averaged 14.4 points, 5.9 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 1.4 steals. His 40.1 FG% in those starts leaves something to be desired, but he managed an impressive 39.6 3P% on 192 attempts. It's reasonable to think Rozier could play above those numbers, as he'll have less talent surrounding him on the Hornets than he did with the Celtics. While he likely won't turn into a great passer or dynamic scorer overnight, fantasy owners can look toward Rozier as an above-average rebounder at the point guard spot, plus a solid source of threes and steals.
Rozier proved in 2018 that he’s a more than capable NBA starting point guard. When Kyrie Irving went down with a knee injury in March, Rozier responded with 15 points, five assists and five rebounds per game over 34 regular season and playoff contests. Unfortunately, Rozier’s end-of-season run was marred by a dud performance in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The silver lining of that miserable Game 7 is it reminded everyone that Rozier is still a far cry from a star of Irving's caliber, who is expected to return, fully healthy for the 2018-19 season. That means Rozier will sink back into his reserve role, though he’s leapfrogged fellow-reserve Marcus Smart on the point guard depth chart. Assuming Irving can stay healthy, expect Rozier’s workload to hover in the 20-25 minutes per game range as Boston’s first guard off the bench. Between the Celtics' championship aspirations and Rozier’s upcoming restricted free agency next summer, the 2018-19 campaign will be one that holds major implications for Rozier's future in the league.
Rozier showed nice, steady improvement during his sophomore season in Boston, increasing his playing time from 8.0 minutes per game his rookie season to 17.0 minutes per game last year. Rozier’s tight defense and combo-guard skills also earned him key minutes during the Celtics’ playoff run, proving that coach Brad Stevens trusts Rozier. And now that long time Celtic Avery Bradley has been dealt to Detroit, the door is open for Rozier to see even more minutes in 2017-18. Expect Rozier to see key minutes backing up Kyrie Irving at the point and the combination of Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown at shooting guard. Considering Irving’s lack of defensive skills, Rozier will certainly be called on to slow down opposing star point guards. Rozier’s name was mentioned in a few trade rumors last year, in particular as part of a package that might have landed Boston a second-half rental of Serge Ibaka. The fact that GM Danny Ainge wouldn’t part with Rozier demonstrates that Boston is committed to further developing their 2015 first-round pick. Expect continued improvement and minutes for Rozier during his third year in Celtic green.
Rozier, a first-round pick out of Louisville, appeared in only 39 games for the Celtics last season, spending much of his rookie year glued to the bench behind Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Smart and Evan Turner. He also made 14 appearances for the Maine Red Claws of the D-League, averaging 19.4 points, 8.0 assists, 6.4 rebounds and 1.9 steals in just under 34 minutes per game. It's difficult to draw any conclusions from his modest per-game averages with the Celtics -- 1.8 points, 1.6 rebounds, 0.9 rebounds -- but the most glaring takeaway is that Rozier, already an excellent defender, must improve as a shooter. The 22-year-old converted only 27.4 percent of his field-goal and 22.2 percent of his three-point attempts last season. His D-League percentages were more respectable, but he still failed to reach 40 percent shooting, while converting less than 34 percent of his 5.3 three-point attempts per game. Looking ahead, Rozier remains on more of a long-term development trajectory, though he'll likely see a slightly increased role as the Celtics' third point guard in 2016-17.
Some were surprised when Boston selected Rozier with the 16th overall pick in the 2015 draft. The diminutive 6-2 guard seems to be entering a backcourt logjam, entrenched behind 2014 first-round pick Marcus Smart and offensive sparkplug Isaiah Thomas. One must wonder how many minutes at point guard will be available for Rozier, barring injuries to Smart or Thomas. As occurred last year with James Young, Rozier seems destined for a year of lots of bench time in Boston while occasionally playing with the D-League Red Claws. That said, Rozier held his own in summer league, starting all five matches for the Celtics with averages of 12.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 1.0 steal over 28 minutes per game. Those numbers don't leap of the screen but do offer hope for the future. Rozier will most likely begin the season buried on the depth chart.
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Considered week-to-week
GMiami Heat
Neck
April 20, 2024
Rozier (neck) is not considered healthy enough to return for Game 1 of the Heat's opening-round series versus the Celtics on Sunday and is considered week-to-week, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reports.
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ANALYSIS The veteran guard is owed about $25 million for 2024-25 and has a partial guarantee on his $26.6 million for 2025-26, but Rozier's numbers have been good enough to justify that investment. Miami is said to be the team he'd prefer to end up with if he gets moved.