Zach Eflin
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
10-9
ERA
3.59
WHIP
1.15
K
134
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The Rays never spend on free agency. Their last big buy prior to Eflin was a three-year deal with James Loney, so when the Rays gave Eflin a 3 year deal for $40M, it should have gotten more attention. The front office, and pitching coach Kyle Snyder, clearly saw they could get more from him, and indeed they did. They tweaked his repertoire to use more of his cutter, added a sweeper, and encouraged him to visit different parts of the strikezone allowing Eflinl to finish as the sixth most valuable starting pitcher in fantasy baseball in 2023. The 16 wins and 177.2 innings, and 186 strikeouts were career highs as he remained more durable than he had been in recent years with Philadelphia. 2023 was also the third straight season he kept his walk rate below five percent. The risk with Eflin is always his health, but the peripherals are as rock solid as his knee has been unstable in recent years. Read Past Outlooks
Set to start Game 2
Eflin will start Wednesday in Game 2 of the American League Wild Card Series against the Royals, Danielle Allentuck of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Orioles dropped the first game of the series against the Royals on Tuesday, losing 1-0. Eflin did not have his strongest outing in his final start of the regular season Wednesday, giving up three runs on four hits and five walks across 4.2 innings. With a week of rest under his belt, the 30-year old will look to rebound in order to force Game 3.
The Orioles dropped the first game of the series against the Royals on Tuesday, losing 1-0. Eflin did not have his strongest outing in his final start of the regular season Wednesday, giving up three runs on four hits and five walks across 4.2 innings. With a week of rest under his belt, the 30-year old will look to rebound in order to force Game 3.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Zach Eflin generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Zach Eflin generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .228 | 183 | 38 | 178 | 24 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .259 | 202 | 25 | 216 | 25 | |||
2024vs Left | .225 | 74 | 16 | 71 | 11 | |||
2024vs Right | .281 | 60 | 8 | 95 | 11 | |||
2023vs Left | .210 | 80 | 13 | 69 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .259 | 106 | 11 | 89 | 10 | |||
2022vs Left | .277 | 29 | 9 | 38 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .209 | 36 | 6 | 32 | 4 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-38%
ERA at Home
2024
-37%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.79 | 1.00 | 213.0 | 9.1 | 1.1 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.51 | 1.19 | 205.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Home | 2.66 | 1.08 | 67.2 | 7.6 | 0.8 | ||||
2024Away | 4.24 | 1.20 | 97.2 | 7.1 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.04 | 103.2 | 10.4 | 1.2 | ||||
2023Away | 3.77 | 1.00 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | ||||
2022Home | 1.73 | 0.74 | 41.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | ||||
2022Away | 6.88 | 1.59 | 34.0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Zach Eflin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.58K/9
7.3BB/9
1.3HR/9
1.2Fastball
91.9 mphERA
3.59WHIP
1.15BABIP
.302GB/FB
1.24Left On Base
74.7%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2208 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.3%Swinging Strike
10.0%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
It was a nice moment when Eflin, who'd endured more of the Phillies' playoff drought than most, recorded his first career save in the game which clinched the the team's first playoff berth since 2011, but the fact that he was pitching in relief in the first place is unfortunately what fantasy managers should be primarily concerned with. Knee issues limited Eflin to 18 starts in 2021, and they didn't go away in 2022. He finished with 13 starts and seven relief appearances. When healthy, he was the same unexciting but capable pitcher he's been for the past several seasons, as his 4.04 ERA and 20.8 K% were both near matches for the 4.12 ERA and 21.4 K% he managed from 2019 through 2021. His 4.8 BB% was excellent, as usual, but while many low-whiff, low-walk pitchers become durable back-end starters, Eflin's injuries mean he lacks that reliability. The Rays are betting on some untapped potential and gambling on his health, as they gave him the richest free agent contract in team history (three years, $40 million). He should open the year in the middle of the rotation. Eflin's sinker and cutter show some intriguing movement qualities and he excelled at limiting hard contact last season (96th percentile average exit velocity), so perhaps the Rays can extract a career year with the aid of a massive home park upgrade.
More Fantasy News
Squanders chance at 11th win
Eflin came away with a no-decision in Wednesday's 9-7 win over the Yankees, giving up three runs on four hits and five walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start vs. Giants
Eflin allowed two runs on six hits and a walk across six innings in a no-decision Thursday against San Francisco. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in tough-luck loss
Eflin (10-9) took the loss Friday against the Tigers, allowing a run on five hits and a walk over 6.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two homers in loss
Eflin (10-8) took the loss against the Rays on Saturday, allowing three runs on eight hits and one walk with four strikeouts over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in win
Eflin (10-7) allowed one run on four hits and a walk over seven innings Sunday, striking out nine and earning a win over Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Houston, Atlanta, St. Louis in mix
Houston, Atlanta and St. Louis are among the clubs expected to have strong trade interest in Eflin, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The Rays are one of the few clubs with rotation depth from which they can trade, and it make senses that they'd entertain offers for Eflin given his salary will rise to $18 million in 2025. Eflin hasn't been as good this year as he was in 2023 when he finished sixth in the American League Cy Young voting, but he's still been servicable in 2024 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 87:13 K:BB over 110 innings covering 19 starts.
The Rays are one of the few clubs with rotation depth from which they can trade, and it make senses that they'd entertain offers for Eflin given his salary will rise to $18 million in 2025. Eflin hasn't been as good this year as he was in 2023 when he finished sixth in the American League Cy Young voting, but he's still been servicable in 2024 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 87:13 K:BB over 110 innings covering 19 starts.