Tyler Mahle

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

Texas Rangers

Out

Injury Shoulder

Est. Return 2/1/2025

2024 Stats

W-L

0-1

ERA

4.97

WHIP

1.42

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2024 Fantasy Outlook

Mahle made just five starts for the Twins before hurting his elbow and needing Tommy John surgery. He still landed a two-year, $22 million deal with the Rangers and could join that rotation late this season. Mahle was off to a strong start prior to the injury, producing a 3.16 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 28 strikeouts over 25.2 innings in five starts. He made just two starts for the Twins in 2022 after a trade from the Reds, missing the second half of the season with a shoulder injury. The Twins got just seven starts in return for Spencer Steer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Steven Hajjar. Mahle won't turn 30 until next September, and his 9.5 K/9 and 105 ERA+ over the last two seasons show he can still be a rotation staple. Joining the reigning World Series champions gives him an opportunity to compile wins with strong defense and run support, but first he has to make a full recovery. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Dynasty

From Preseason

#405

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 175

DOB 9/29/1994

Drafted 7th Rd 2013

Moves to 60-day IL

PTexas Rangers

Shoulder

September 24, 2024

The Rangers transferred Mahle (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.

ANALYSIS
Mahle was already ruled out for the rest of the season earlier in the month, so his move to the 60-day IL will simply create space on the 40-man roster for Matt Duffy, whose contract was selected from Triple-A on Tuesday. Mahle will celebrate his 30th birthday on Sunday, and he figures to be ready for the start of next season.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Tyler Mahle generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Tyler Mahle generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-29%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-8%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-56%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-28%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.192	322	86	30	55	11	3	7
Since 2022vs Right	.272	339	78	22	85	16	1	15
2024vs Left	.292	27	8	2	7	1	0	0
2024vs Right	.269	29	2	2	7	1	1	1
2023vs Left	.128	40	11	1	5	1	0	2
2023vs Right	.293	62	17	4	17	3	0	3
2022vs Left	.192	255	67	27	43	9	3	5
2022vs Right	.268	248	59	16	61	12	0	11
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-17%

ERA on Road

2024

-31%

ERA on Road

2023

-13%

ERA on Road

2022

-16%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.55	1.28	97.0	2	7	0	8.7	3.0	1.5
Since 2022Away	3.77	1.10	62.0	5	4	0	10.2	2.9	0.9
2024Home	5.63	1.50	8.0	0	1	0	3.4	1.1	1.1
2024Away	3.86	1.29	4.2	0	0	0	13.5	5.8	0.0
2023Home	3.31	0.86	16.1	0	1	0	8.8	0.6	1.7
2023Away	2.89	1.39	9.1	1	1	0	11.6	3.9	1.9
2022Home	4.71	1.35	72.2	2	5	0	9.3	3.7	1.5
2022Away	3.94	1.02	48.0	4	3	0	9.6	2.4	0.8
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Tyler Mahle compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.50

K/9

7.1

BB/9

2.8

HR/9

0.7

Fastball

91.5 mph

ERA

4.97

WHIP

1.42

BABIP

.336

GB/FB

1.06

Left On Base

66.3%

Exit Velocity

83.4 mph

Barrels/BBE

2.7%

Spin Rate

2240 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

21.3%

Swinging Strike

12.2%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Tyler Mahle Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler Mahle See More

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87 days ago

Slated to pitch in the Little League Classic, Tarik Skubal tops Todd Zola's pitcher rankings for the week of August 12 to August 18.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Mahle struggled with injuries and a poor start to the season to finish with an ugly 4.40 ERA, but most of his underlying metrics were similar to his previous seasons. Mahle got off to a terrible start with a 6.32 ERA through his first 10 outings, but righted the ship with a 3.03 ERA and 10.2 K/9 in his next six starts. He then missed three weeks with a sore shoulder but returned to make three starts before he was traded to the Twins at the deadline. He made two starts for Minnesota before going on the injured list for shoulder inflammation. He returned in late August but didn't even make it through one start before another setback to his shoulder (rotator cuff weakness) and was shut down for the year. When healthy, Mahle had similar strikeout rates (9.4 K/9) and walk rates (3.2 B/9) to the past few seasons. ERA estimators such as xERA (3.49) and FIP (3.87) show he may have been unlucky as he did have just a 69.5% LOB. Mahle could benefit from the move to Target Field as he struggled at Great America Ballpark at times (5.63 ERA in 2021). If his shoulder problems are not an issue, he'll be a mainstay of the Minnesota rotation.

2021 was a consolidation season for Mahle, building off the gains made in 2020's shortened campaign, marred a tiny bit by a rough final start against the Pirates. Mahle set a career-high in wins (13), innings (180) and strikeouts (210) while making all 33 starts. While Mahle's K% dropped from 29.6% to 27.7%, he compensated for that by walking fewer (10.1% to 8.7%) and inducing more ground balls (up to 42.2% from 30.9%). Mahle has one big red flag - his home park. He had a 5.63 ERA and hitters posted a .270/.344/.511 line with 19 homers in Great American Ballpark. As we've seen with Rockies pitchers, it's really difficult to manage pitching when you can't use a pitcher's home starts. He didn't have that extreme split in 2020, so there's some hope that it will not persist. Despite the workload increase, Mahle's velocity remained constant at 94.1 mph on average - with that and his ERA estimators in mind, a reprise seems likely.

Mahle entered 2020 without a rotation slot, but finished with a breakout season and a guaranteed starting job going into 2021. Injuries first to Anthony DeSclafani and then Wade Miley created the opportunities for Mahle, who turned his strikeout upside into a next-level performance, increasing his K% to 29.6 with a swinging strike rate of 14.7%. Mahle junked his cutter, a pitch that opponents slugged to the tune of .625 in 2019, adding more sliders and splitters instead. Both were plus pitches, and the batting average estimators like xBA support his overall .240 BABIP as a result. Of some concern is that his BB% climbed back up to 10.4%, and that he built his breakout season on the cushion of the Central Division schedule. Be aware that if you want to capitalize on his breakout season, you're not alone - his ADP was around 175 in the NFBC and climbing as of mid-January.

Pitching coach Derek Johnson helped several Reds turn a corner in his first year with the team and Mahle did take steps forward, but those improvements were not reflected in his W-L record or ERA. Mahle overhauled his pitch repertoire, bagging his slider in favor of a curveball while introducing a split-finger pitch for the first time. The curve was middling but the split finger had a positive run value when it was all said and done, and it helped Mahle add more than eight percentage points to his groundball rate. He showed improved control, shaving his walk rate from 10.5% to 6.1%, and the emerging stats that attempt to judge intent give him good marks for command. It's important to note that Mahle tried to hide an injury in 2018 and his numbers suffered greatly for it. Still just 25, Mahle is an interesting flier with upside, though he's on the outside looking in for a rotation spot entering spring training.

For a seven-game stretch last summer, Mahle was the Reds' best starter, compiling a 2.04 ERA over 39.2 innings while striking out 41 batters in the process. Unfortunately, baseball doesn't limit itself to seven-game stretches, and using selective endpoints doesn't even do Mahle that many favors -- he walked 19 batters and had a 1.36 WHIP over that span, but managed to avoid homer-fueled big innings. After that stretch ended on July 6, he made only five more big-league appearances and was shelled in each one of them, earning a trip to the minors after the fourth. He returned for one more bad outing in September before getting shut down with a sore shoulder. Mahle's hard-hit (40.3%) and barrel rates (9.1%) skyrocketed, leading to 22 homers allowed in only 112 innings. The culprits were his secondary pitches; opponents slugged .557 against his slider and .604 on his changeup. He's yet another young pitcher that could fall short for the Reds.

Upside should be the first, second and third thing fantasy owners look for in a pitching prospect, but in 15-team leagues, there is still a place for an innings eater who can locate his pitches without submarining a team's ratios. Enter Mahle, who already boasts plus command of four pitches. The 6-foot-3 righty's fastball isn't quite a plus offering based on velocity, as it sits at 93-94 mph, but the pitch plays up thanks to Mahle's pinpoint command. His slider is a quality second pitch, but his changeup and curveball lag behind as change-of-pace offerings. Mahle likely isn't ready to be much of a positive contributor in his rookie season, but he could be a Zach Davies or Mike Leake type of SP5 or SP6 down the road. He will be given a chance to compete for a rotation spot this spring, but will likely head back to Triple-A and wait for injury or poor performance to open up a spot in the big leagues.

Mahle got off to a scintillating start to the 2016 campaign at High-A Daytona. He features three pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup), and while none of them are superior on their own, his stuff played up due to his superb control and pitchability. A bump to Double-A Pensacola saw the 22-year-old righty come back down to earth a bit, though, as he struggled in 14 starts - chiefly because of the home run, surrendering 12 in 71.1 innings. Mahle works best when keeping the ball down in the zone, something he was able to do at the lower levels. He likely will return to Double-A to begin the 2017 season. Though he does not have true ace potential, his size, command and durability give him the ceiling of a No. 3 starter who can eat innings at the big league level.

A seventh-round pick in 2013 out of high school, Mahle has emerged as an extreme strike-thrower in the Reds organization. In 152 innings at Low-A Dayton, Mahle walked just 25 batters while striking out 135. He's added a couple ticks to his fastball and works around 92-93 mph. Scouting reports suggest that he still needs to improve his secondary offerings. The jump up to High-A will be an important level for Mahle to master.

More Fantasy News

Won't return in 2024

PTexas Rangers

Shoulder

September 3, 2024

Manager Bruce Bochy said Tuesday that Mahle (shoulder) will not make another start this season, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Officially placed on IL

PTexas Rangers

Shoulder

August 20, 2024

The Rangers placed Mahle on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with right shoulder tightness.

ANALYSIS
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Heading to IL

PTexas Rangers

Shoulder

August 20, 2024

Manager Bruce Bochy said Tuesday that the Rangers will place Mahle on the injured list with shoulder stiffness, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.

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Chased after three innings

PTexas Rangers

August 18, 2024

Mahle allowed four runs on six hits and struck out one without walking a batter over three innings in a no-decision versus the Twins on Sunday.

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Fans seven in no-decision

PTexas Rangers

August 12, 2024

Mahle did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to Boston, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out seven.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Working on new slider

PMinnesota Twins

February 21, 2023

Mahle is working on a new slider this spring after spending time at Driveline this offseason, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Mahle has had reverse splits the last two seasons in large part because he's had trouble finding a consistent breaking ball. The hope is that the new slider will solve that issue. "I've struggled with a breaking ball for so long," Mahle said. "I couldn't find a grip that worked for me, mindset on where I need to be, mechanically, stuff like that, where my hand needs to be. Driveline fixed it right up and tailored it to the kind of pitcher I am. It has looked great. Hitters haven't seen it yet, so we'll see what they think."

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