2025 Stats
W-L
3-9
ERA
5.65
WHIP
1.47
K
61
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams missed three-plus months of 2024 due to a right elbow flexor strain, but he was surprisingly dominant when healthy for the Nationals with a 2.03 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 59:18 K:BB over 66.2 innings. His average fastball velocity of 88.6 mph was the lowest of his career, but he used the four-seam fastball less and relied more on his sweeper, which helped produce a career-high 22.7 percent strikeout rate. He performed better than expected with a 3.82 xFIP and 3.13 xERA, so some regression is likely even if he pitches similarly in 2025, especially given the small sample size and waning velocity. Williams doesn't offer much strikeout upside and doesn't have a consistent history as a starter, so he seems unlikely to replicate that effectiveness in 2025 as a 33-year-old. He re-signed with Washington on a two-year contract this winter and is a likely bet to begin the season in the rotation, though he could also revert to more of a swingman role, in which he's had past success. Read Past Outlooks

Takes ninth loss
Williams (3-9) allowed four runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out three over five-plus innings to take the loss Tuesday versus the Padres.
ANALYSIS
The Nationals scored the first three runs of the game, but Williams couldn't fend off the Padres' comeback. He allowed two runs in the fourth inning and a game-tying solo shot to Martin Maldonado in the fifth before issuing two walks to begin the sixth. One of those runners came around to score, saddling Williams with his fourth loss in five starts in June, a month in which he has allowed 16 runs (15 earned) over 24.1 innings. That's in line with his 5.65 ERA for the year, which comes with a 1.47 WHIP and 61:20 K:BB through 79.2 innings across 16 starts. The right-hander is tentatively projected for a tough home start versus the Tigers early next week.
The Nationals scored the first three runs of the game, but Williams couldn't fend off the Padres' comeback. He allowed two runs in the fourth inning and a game-tying solo shot to Martin Maldonado in the fifth before issuing two walks to begin the sixth. One of those runners came around to score, saddling Williams with his fourth loss in five starts in June, a month in which he has allowed 16 runs (15 earned) over 24.1 innings. That's in line with his 5.65 ERA for the year, which comes with a 1.47 WHIP and 61:20 K:BB through 79.2 innings across 16 starts. The right-hander is tentatively projected for a tough home start versus the Tigers early next week.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2017
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Trevor Williams generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Williams generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-42%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .304 | 103 | 54 | 184 | 22 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .256 | 125 | 35 | 135 | 23 | |||
2025vs Left | .365 | 26 | 13 | 61 | 7 | |||
2025vs Right | .213 | 32 | 5 | 29 | 1 | |||
2024vs Left | .228 | 31 | 11 | 28 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .200 | 28 | 7 | 23 | 3 | |||
2023vs Left | .301 | 46 | 30 | 95 | 15 | |||
2023vs Right | .300 | 65 | 23 | 83 | 19 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-8%
ERA on Road
2025
-14%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 4.93 | 1.36 | 140.2 | 7.5 | 2.7 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 4.53 | 1.50 | 145.0 | 6.8 | 2.9 | ||||
2025Home | 5.89 | 1.44 | 44.1 | 7.7 | 2.4 | ||||
2025Away | 5.04 | 1.45 | 30.1 | 5.9 | 1.8 | ||||
2024Home | 1.37 | 0.76 | 26.1 | 10.3 | 1.4 | ||||
2024Away | 2.45 | 1.21 | 40.1 | 6.5 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Home | 5.66 | 1.53 | 70.0 | 6.4 | 3.3 | ||||
2023Away | 5.45 | 1.67 | 74.1 | 7.4 | 3.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.22K/9
7.0BB/9
2.2HR/9
1.0Fastball
87.5 mphERA
5.54WHIP
1.45BABIP
.350GB/FB
0.96Left On Base
62.0%Exit Velocity
81.5 mphBarrels/BBE
4.4%Spin Rate
2150 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.7%Swinging Strike
8.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams made 30 starts for the Nationals last season, which was just the second time in the 31-year-old's career that he's reached that plateau. It looked like the right-hander was going to be at least passable for the first two months of the season when he held a 3.93 ERA, but a 5.15 FIP was the better indicator of his performance and, sure enough, his ERA climbed to 6.55 the rest of the way (which included a 12.51 ERA in September). Williams is owed $7 million in 2024 and the Nats aren't exactly teeming with starting pitcher options, so he'll probably begin the year in the rotation. However, the odds that he'll end the year still in the rotation wouldn't appear high.
More Fantasy News

Limits damage against Rockies
Williams didn't factor into the decision Thursday against Colorado, allowing two runs on eight hits and a walk with six strikeouts over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Stuck with loss Saturday
Williams (3-8) took the loss Saturday as the Nationals were downed 4-3 by the Marlins, giving up two runs on six hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Texas
Williams (3-7) took the loss Sunday against the Rangers, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits over 4.1 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged with five runs
Williams (3-6) yielded five runs on five hits and a walk over 4.1 innings Tuesday, striking out four and taking a loss against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts down Mariners in victory
Williams (3-5) earned the win over Seattle on Wednesday, tossing six scoreless innings during which he allowed three hits and struck out two batters without issuing any walks.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Potential target for Cubs
Williams could be a trade target for the Cubs ahead of the deadline, Jim Bowden of The Athletic speculates.
ANALYSIS
There's no question the Cubs need to bolster their rotation if they want to make a deep playoff run in October. With that in mind, Williams is an arm they should target in the coming weeks. Williams' numbers aren't eye-popping by any means, but he could benefit from a change of scenery while playing in front of better defense. The 10-year veteran owns a 5.91 ERA across 13 starts with the Nationals this season.
There's no question the Cubs need to bolster their rotation if they want to make a deep playoff run in October. With that in mind, Williams is an arm they should target in the coming weeks. Williams' numbers aren't eye-popping by any means, but he could benefit from a change of scenery while playing in front of better defense. The 10-year veteran owns a 5.91 ERA across 13 starts with the Nationals this season.