2025 Stats
W-L
5-2
ERA
2.26
WHIP
0.79
K
99
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering. Read Past Outlooks
Next start likely to come Friday
Tigers manager A.J. Hinch suggested that Skubal is likely to get an extra day of rest ahead of his next start, which is expected to come Friday against the Cubs in Detroit, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Skubal had been lined up to start Thursday's series finale versus the White Sox, but he's started on four days' rest in just three of his first 12 outings, and at this stage of the season, the Tigers want to be cognizant about not overworking their staff ace when they don't have to. By pushing Skubal back a day, the Tigers will also be able to shield one of their bottom-of-rotation arms from a fearsome Cubs offense that has produced a 120 wRC+ on the season, good for third in the majors. Though Skubal will be missing out on a favorable matchup with the 18-40 White Sox, fantasy managers will still want to keep him in lineups this week, as the reigning American League Cy Young Award winner has been dominant even against formidable competition this season.
Skubal had been lined up to start Thursday's series finale versus the White Sox, but he's started on four days' rest in just three of his first 12 outings, and at this stage of the season, the Tigers want to be cognizant about not overworking their staff ace when they don't have to. By pushing Skubal back a day, the Tigers will also be able to shield one of their bottom-of-rotation arms from a fearsome Cubs offense that has produced a 120 wRC+ on the season, good for third in the majors. Though Skubal will be missing out on a favorable matchup with the 18-40 White Sox, fantasy managers will still want to keep him in lineups this week, as the reigning American League Cy Young Award winner has been dominant even against formidable competition this season.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-39%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .158 | 61 | 8 | 34 | 2 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .208 | 368 | 48 | 219 | 23 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .129 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .213 | 75 | 6 | 45 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .186 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .204 | 195 | 30 | 121 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .125 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .210 | 98 | 12 | 53 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-42%
ERA at Home
2025
-33%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 1.82 | 0.79 | 182.2 | 11.5 | 1.6 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.16 | 0.99 | 165.1 | 10.7 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.83 | 0.71 | 39.1 | 13.0 | 0.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.72 | 0.88 | 36.1 | 10.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.99 | 0.83 | 104.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 11.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 1.37 | 0.79 | 39.1 | 13.5 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.17 | 1.00 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
14.14K/9
11.8BB/9
0.8HR/9
0.7Fastball
97.7 mphERA
2.26WHIP
0.79BABIP
.291GB/FB
1.09Left On Base
79.5%Exit Velocity
80.0 mphBarrels/BBE
3.4%Spin Rate
2154 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
17.4%Swinging Strike
18.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal underwent left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022 and his rehab extended through the first three months of last season. He was on a limited pitch count initially upon his return and there were some bumps in the road early, but Skubal eventually rounded into form, going 4-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and 52:6 K:BB in his final six starts (36 innings). A ninth-round pick in 2018, Skubal changed up his formula last season, dialing back his slider usage significantly for more four-seam fastballs and changeups. The changeup proved to be a big swing-and-miss pitch for him (50.6 Whiff% per Statcast) -- he still threw his slider, but the changeup became his primary secondary pitch behind the four-seamer. In total, the southpaw pitched just 95 innings last season, but if healthy, he should approach his career high of 149.1 innings set in 2021. Entering his age-27 season, Skubal will face an uphill battle every time he takes the ball for Detroit, but his skills are enticing.
More Fantasy News
Punches out seven in no-decision
Skubal allowed two hits and no walks while striking out seven in seven scoreless innings against the Royals on Saturday. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fires complete-game shutout
Skubal (5-2) pitched a complete-game shutout Sunday against the Guardians, striking out 13 and allowing two hits and no walks across nine innings.
ANALYSIS
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Falls short of quality start
Skubal allowed three runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight in 5.2 innings Tuesday against the Cardinals. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 11, but yields five runs
Skubal allowed five runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out 11 over 6.1 innings, but he did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's 6-5 win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out 12 in dominant win
Skubal (4-2) earned the win against the Rangers on Friday, allowing one run on two hits while striking out 12 over seven innings. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks unsuccessful
The Tigers have tried to work out a contract extension with Skubal but didn't come close, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
It's not clear what kind of potential terms were discussed, but it would appear that talks didn't get far. Skubal, who was announced this week as the unanimous American League Cy Young winner, has two more years of arbitration eligibility remaining before becoming a free agent.
It's not clear what kind of potential terms were discussed, but it would appear that talks didn't get far. Skubal, who was announced this week as the unanimous American League Cy Young winner, has two more years of arbitration eligibility remaining before becoming a free agent.