Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 5/2/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
7.00
WHIP
1.67
K
12
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Strider's 2024 season lasted all of nine innings when a bone fragment cut into his UCL and attempted to undo the repairs done by his 2019 Tommy John surgery. The good news is that this injury was not a complete tear, so Dr. Keith Meister was able to use the internal brace procedure to repair it in mid-April. The most recent pitcher to come back from this procedure was Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen who had his surgery in late July 2023 and returned in 2024 to pitch rather effectively, albeit for just 36 innings between Triple-A and the big leagues. Bryan Woo had the surgery in early April of 2021 and worked just under 60 innings at the lower levels of the minor leagues in 2022. The simple fact is we do not know how much Strider will be able to pitch in 2025. The internal brace procedure has a shorter recovery time than full Tommy John surgery, but someone being back on the mound and being back to their presurgery level of performance are two different matters. The risk/reward here is tremendous, but drafting Strider as a staff ace and then potentially seeing him work below 100 innings in 2025 would have trickle-down effects to many fantasy rosters. We've yet to see a starting pitcher have this surgery and resume a presurgery workload the following season. Perhaps Strider will be the first, but don't count on it. Read Past Outlooks
Could see Grapefruit League action
Strider (elbow) could see action in at least one spring training game, Justin Toscano of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is recovering from an internal brace procedure performed on his elbow last April, and after he threw another bullpen session Friday, general manager Alex Anthopoulos seemed optimistic that Strider could make his regular-season debut a little earlier than anticipated. "He's throwing bullpens, he looks good. Live [batting practice] will definitely happen in spring training, assuming no setbacks or things like that," Anthopoulos said Friday. The GM indicated that while Atlanta has an internal timeline for Strider, he wouldn't make it public just yet other than to say the 26-year-old ace would begin the campaign on the IL. "We have a calendar for him, but I think if we start saying, 'Hey, on this date he's doing this' and for whatever reason we decide to move it back a day or two, then it's a story and it's viewed as a setback or [that] we weren't forthcoming," Anthopoulos said. "So, what I can tell you is he will not be on the Opening Day roster, that has been decided."
The right-hander is recovering from an internal brace procedure performed on his elbow last April, and after he threw another bullpen session Friday, general manager Alex Anthopoulos seemed optimistic that Strider could make his regular-season debut a little earlier than anticipated. "He's throwing bullpens, he looks good. Live [batting practice] will definitely happen in spring training, assuming no setbacks or things like that," Anthopoulos said Friday. The GM indicated that while Atlanta has an internal timeline for Strider, he wouldn't make it public just yet other than to say the 26-year-old ace would begin the campaign on the IL. "We have a calendar for him, but I think if we start saying, 'Hey, on this date he's doing this' and for whatever reason we decide to move it back a day or two, then it's a story and it's viewed as a setback or [that] we weren't forthcoming," Anthopoulos said. "So, what I can tell you is he will not be on the Opening Day roster, that has been decided."
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Spencer Strider generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Spencer Strider generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-30%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .211 | 237 | 66 | 132 | 15 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .188 | 258 | 42 | 110 | 16 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .316 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .222 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .211 | 141 | 44 | 75 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .208 | 140 | 14 | 71 | 12 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .202 | 91 | 20 | 51 | 3 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .156 | 111 | 25 | 35 | 4 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-8%
ERA on Road
2024
-68%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.60 | 1.03 | 167.2 | 14.5 | 2.6 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.33 | 1.11 | 159.2 | 12.6 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 11.25 | 2.50 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.60 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 14.4 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.35 | 1.03 | 93.0 | 14.8 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.36 | 1.15 | 93.2 | 12.3 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.17 | 0.93 | 70.2 | 14.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.25 | 1.07 | 61.0 | 13.0 | 3.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Spencer Strider compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.40K/9
12.0BB/9
5.0HR/9
2.0Fastball
96.3 mphERA
7.00WHIP
1.67BABIP
.374GB/FB
1.11Left On Base
65.6%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
7.1%Spin Rate
1778 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.6%Swinging Strike
16.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Strider led the National League in wins, strikeouts, and FIP, and would have won the NL Cy Young Award if not for that meddling lefty in San Diego. It was an incredible season of work for the talented pitcher out of Clemson, so when things are *this* good, we should look at how things could go in a different direction because it is more likely to happen than Strider continuing to ascent at such a rapid rate given there isn't much else he can do better than what he has done thus far. Strider just saw his workload increase 49% year over year when you factor in his postseason work from each of the past two seasons, and that happened at the age of 24. Recent names who threw at least 180 innings at such a young age include McKenzie and Manoah in 2022 and Urias in 2021. Urias did just fine the next season but the other two certainly had issues. The list is longer than space permits in this recap, but the odds lean to Strider backsliding a bit in fantasy value for 2024.
More Fantasy News
Late-April return possible
Strider (elbow) could make at least one Grapefruit League appearance this spring and be ready for his season debut by late April, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Making progress
Strider (elbow) has completed four bullpen sessions and is on track to have a mostly normal spring training, Lindsay Crosby of AthlonSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not expected by Opening Day
Atlanta president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos said Tuesday it's unlikely Strider (elbow) will be ready for Opening Day, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Team not setting timeline yet
Atlanta president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos said Friday that the club will proceed deliberately with Strider's (elbow) rehab and are not setting a timeline for the pitcher's return yet, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moves to 60-day IL
Atlanta transferred Strider (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Using slider more this season
Strider, who is scheduled to start Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader against the Mets after two straight postponements, has increased the usage of his slider to 34.9 percent through his first five outings of 2023, per David O'Brien of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander's fastball usage is down slightly to 59.1 percent, but he remains reliant on those two pitches. A two-pitch mix is usually a major limitation for starting pitchers, but Strider continues to dominate with a 1.80 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 49:11 K:BB over 30 innings after he finished 2022 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in just 131.2 frames. The 24-year-old also has a changeup he throws 4.3 percent of the time, but there's no real need to further rely on the tertiary pitch while his first two offerings are so dominant.
The right-hander's fastball usage is down slightly to 59.1 percent, but he remains reliant on those two pitches. A two-pitch mix is usually a major limitation for starting pitchers, but Strider continues to dominate with a 1.80 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 49:11 K:BB over 30 innings after he finished 2022 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in just 131.2 frames. The 24-year-old also has a changeup he throws 4.3 percent of the time, but there's no real need to further rely on the tertiary pitch while his first two offerings are so dominant.