Sonny Gray
34-Year-Old
15-Day IL
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
13-9
ERA
3.84
WHIP
1.09
K
203
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Gray was the runner up for the AL Cy Young award after posting a 2.69 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. He was largely the same pitcher as in 2022 (3.64 FIP compared to 3.66 FIP in 2022) with a similar strikeout rate (24.3% K%) and walk rate (7.3% BB%), but he was able to stay healthy and pitch more innings (32 starts compared to 24 in 2022) and more innings per outing (5.75 IP per game, compared to 4.96 IP per game in 2022). He may have been a bit luckier with a low 5.2% HR/FB, but he also had a low 9.4% HR/FB in 2022 as his home runs allowed numbers declined sharply in his move to Target Field from Great American Ball Park. His .295 BABIP was also his highest in five seasons, which shows his outstanding season wasn't all luck. At age 34, Gray has above-average control, limits hard contact (77th percentile in Barrel rate) and induces ground balls (47.3%) despite below average velocity (92.9 mph average fastball). He'll work at the top of the St. Louis rotation after signing a three-year, $70 free agent deal. Read Past Outlooks
Placed on injured list
The Cardinals placed Gray on the 15-day injured list Saturday with right forearm flexor tendinitis.
ANALYSIS
Gray previously said that he pitched through soreness during his most recent start Wednesday, and he'll now be sidelined for the rest of the season due to his forearm issue. He will finish his first season in St. Louis with a 3.84 ERA and 1.09 WHIP alongside a 203:39 K:BB across 28 starts. Kyle Leahy was recalled from Triple-A Memphis to replenish St. Louis' pitching depth.
Gray previously said that he pitched through soreness during his most recent start Wednesday, and he'll now be sidelined for the rest of the season due to his forearm issue. He will finish his first season in St. Louis with a 3.84 ERA and 1.09 WHIP alongside a 203:39 K:BB across 28 starts. Kyle Leahy was recalled from Triple-A Memphis to replenish St. Louis' pitching depth.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Sonny Gray generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Sonny Gray generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .231 | 226 | 61 | 189 | 19 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .223 | 277 | 69 | 208 | 21 | |||
2024vs Left | .248 | 87 | 22 | 72 | 11 | |||
2024vs Right | .210 | 116 | 17 | 70 | 10 | |||
2023vs Left | .233 | 81 | 28 | 76 | 4 | |||
2023vs Right | .220 | 102 | 27 | 80 | 4 | |||
2022vs Left | .202 | 58 | 11 | 41 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .244 | 59 | 25 | 58 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-30%
ERA at Home
2024
-46%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.71 | 1.07 | 259.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.88 | 1.18 | 211.0 | 9.1 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 2.79 | 0.99 | 93.2 | 10.7 | 2.0 | ||||
2024Away | 5.20 | 1.21 | 72.2 | 11.4 | 2.2 | ||||
2023Home | 2.67 | 1.11 | 97.2 | 9.2 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 2.92 | 1.19 | 86.1 | 8.7 | 3.1 | ||||
2022Home | 2.66 | 1.14 | 67.2 | 10.4 | 3.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.63 | 1.12 | 52.0 | 6.8 | 1.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Sonny Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.21K/9
11.0BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.1Fastball
92.6 mphERA
3.84WHIP
1.09BABIP
.313GB/FB
1.46Left On Base
67.3%Exit Velocity
81.8 mphBarrels/BBE
5.8%Spin Rate
2524 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.2%Swinging Strike
13.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Gray's trade to Minnesota delivered a needed steady option at the top of the rotation as he bounced back from a subpar season to post a 3.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Gray benefited from the move to Target Field with a 2.66 ERA and 10.5 K/9 at home (he had a 3.38 ERA in three seasons at Great American Ball Park). Gray has below average velocity, but his four-seam fastball has among the highest spin rates in the league (98th percentile per Baseball Savant). He also gets high spin rates on his off-speed pitches, making his slider and curve ball plus pitches. A slight decline in velocity and strikeout rate (8.8 K/9) were offset by improved control (2.7 BB/9). His durability is becoming a concern as he threw just 119.2 IP, having IL stints twice for a hamstring strain and another for a pectoral strain. He also averaged just 4.96 IP per start with the Twins rarely allowing him to go deep into games. Assuming he can stay healthy, however, he'll be counted on to lead Minnesota's rotation again.
More Fantasy News
Final start iffy due to soreness
Gray said he pitched through some "lingering" soreness during Wednesday's start against the Pirates, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in no-decision
Gray did not factor into the decision in a win over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing four runs on nine hits and no walks over 5.2 innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up 13th win
Gray (13-9) earned the win Thursday over the Reds, allowing one run on two hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Excellent in no-decision
Gray allowed one run on four hits and one walk while striking out seven batters over seven innings in a no-decision against Milwaukee on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Back in win column
Gray (12-9) earned the win Thursday over the Padres, allowing one run on three hits over six innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Done in St. Louis?
According to Katie Woo of The Athletic, the Cardinals could be inclined to move Gray during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
After a second straight year of missing the playoffs, the Cardinals are planning to put a focus on player development while reducing payroll for 2025. Gray joined the organization last November on a three-year, $75 million contract that includes a $30 million club option for 2027 and a full no-trade clause. The 34-year-old reached 200 strikeouts for the second time in his career in 2024 and finished the campaign with a 3.84 ERA and 1.09 WHIP across 166.1 innings, so he should generate interest on the trade market.
After a second straight year of missing the playoffs, the Cardinals are planning to put a focus on player development while reducing payroll for 2025. Gray joined the organization last November on a three-year, $75 million contract that includes a $30 million club option for 2027 and a full no-trade clause. The 34-year-old reached 200 strikeouts for the second time in his career in 2024 and finished the campaign with a 3.84 ERA and 1.09 WHIP across 166.1 innings, so he should generate interest on the trade market.