2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
While it seems as if Baz is a major-league vet getting ready for free agency, the fact remains he has pitched fewer than 120 innings at the big-league level and is 7-5 with a 3.38 ERA over 23 career starts. Baz missed all of 2023 recovering from Tommy John surgery and worked nearly 40 innings in Triple-A trying to regain his velocity before finally returning to the major-league roster in early July. Baz never did fully regain his velocity as his average fastball was roughly half a click below where things were in 2022, but his other pitches performed extremely well as the league hit below .170 off all his non-fastball offerings. It was also encouraging to see Baz work six or more innings in six of his final eight starts as he got closer to the full two-year mark from his surgery and his command improved. Baz should be all systems go for 2025, but this is still a pitcher whose 108.2 innings last year between Durham and Tampa Bay is a career high. Read Past Outlooks
Encouraged despite tough results
Baz was happy with his outing Thursday against the Nationals despite allowing four earned runs on five hits with two strikeouts and no walks across 4.1 innings, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Baz was hit hard early, as he allowed two singles and a homer to the first three batters he faced. He managed to settle in from there, and more importantly, both he and manager Kevin Cash were happy with the shape and execution of his pitches. Baz has allowed 10 earned runs with a 4:5 K:BB across 9.1 innings this spring, though his rotation spot seems secure given there haven't been signs of panic from either he or the team.
Baz was hit hard early, as he allowed two singles and a homer to the first three batters he faced. He managed to settle in from there, and more importantly, both he and manager Kevin Cash were happy with the shape and execution of his pitches. Baz has allowed 10 earned runs with a 4:5 K:BB across 9.1 innings this spring, though his rotation spot seems secure given there haven't been signs of panic from either he or the team.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .164 | 33 | 18 | 24 | 6 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .237 | 36 | 9 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .164 | 33 | 18 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .237 | 36 | 9 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-14%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.31 | 0.93 | 35.1 | 8.9 | 2.5 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 2.86 | 1.16 | 44.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.31 | 0.93 | 35.1 | 8.9 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.16 | 44.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Baz underwent Tommy John surgery in late September of 2022 and did not pitch in 2023. That was the culmination of a journey which saw him reach the big leagues for good in June of 2022 before going down with an injury just one month and six starts later. The pitcher and the club had hoped to avoid surgery, but succumbed two months later. The 2024 season will see Baz make just his 10th career start at the big league level, and even dating back to his minor league days, has never pitched more than 82 innings in any one season. His career 21.7% K-BB rate and .216 opponents batting average is very enticing, but a 24-year old with zero track record of durability coming back from a major surgery makes him a significant gamble for fantasy managers playing the risk/reward game in drafts. Baz has SP3 upside, but it is highly unlikely he wlll provide enough workload to justify drafting him as such. Set expectations for 100 innings and you should be fine.
More Fantasy News
Throws 50 pitches in spring debut
Baz threw three scoreless innings while striking out two, walking one and allowing two hits in Sunday's Grapefruit League game.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches deal with Tampa Bay
Baz and the Rays avoided arbitration Thursday by agreeing to a one-year, $1.45 million deal, Ari Alexander of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up fourth win
Baz (4-3) got the win Saturday against the Red Sox. He allowed two runs on three hits and one walk while striking out seven over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Six strong innings
Baz allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out six across six innings Sunday against the Blue Jays. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Breezes to third win
Baz (3-3) earned the win Tuesday against the Red Sox, allowing two runs on two hits and one walk over seven innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Return unlikely
Baz is out with a right elbow sprain and is unlikely to return for the Rays before the end of the season, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times.
ANALYSIS
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.