2024 Stats
W-L
10-6
ERA
4.24
WHIP
1.25
K
126
SV
1
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson worked as a back-end starter for Arizona in 2023, but it was an underwhelming rookie campaign with a 5.31 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 96:46 K:BB across 144 innings. His 7.4 percent walk rate was solid and consistent with his time in the minors, but he had a 15.5 percent strikeout rate and a 1.5 HR/9. He still made the postseason roster and had a minimal role prior to the World Series, when he allowed just one run over 5.1 frames of valuable long relief in Game 4. Despite that strong finish, Nelson likely won't enter 2024 with any guarantee for a rotation spot, especially since Arizona made additions in free agency. However, the right-hander still has plenty of upside and was encouragingly less reliant on his fastball last season, and he could be a solid back-end piece in 2024 if he's able to better utilize his secondary offerings. Read Past Outlooks
Reinstated from IL
The Diamondbacks reinstated Nelson (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list Thursday, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports
ANALYSIS
Nelson threw 28 pitches in his second bullpen session Tuesday following his first session of 16 pitches. With his return coming near the close of the season, it seems Nelson will be used as a multi-inning reliever, but it is possible he will return as a starter. Yilber Diaz and Blake Walston were both optioned to Triple-A Reno on Thursday as part of a corresponding move.
Nelson threw 28 pitches in his second bullpen session Tuesday following his first session of 16 pitches. With his return coming near the close of the season, it seems Nelson will be used as a multi-inning reliever, but it is possible he will return as a starter. Yilber Diaz and Blake Walston were both optioned to Triple-A Reno on Thursday as part of a corresponding move.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-16%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .261 | 109 | 55 | 152 | 20 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .275 | 129 | 31 | 171 | 23 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .243 | 58 | 20 | 70 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .288 | 68 | 14 | 85 | 7 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .294 | 42 | 33 | 77 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 54 | 13 | 82 | 15 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .156 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .133 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-39%
ERA on Road
2024
-11%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 5.90 | 1.52 | 132.2 | 6.3 | 2.7 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.59 | 1.15 | 180.1 | 7.2 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.52 | 1.26 | 65.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.02 | 1.25 | 85.0 | 7.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 8.25 | 1.92 | 55.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.46 | 1.11 | 88.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.38 | 0.97 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0.00 | 0.57 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.71K/9
7.5BB/9
2.0HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.2 mphERA
4.24WHIP
1.25BABIP
.316GB/FB
1.40Left On Base
70.2%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.4%Spin Rate
2224 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.2%Swinging Strike
8.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity.
More Fantasy News
Throws side session
Nelson (shoulder) threw 28 pitches in a bullpen session Tuesday, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing another bullpen
Nelson (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a 25-pitch bullpen session Tuesday, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing bullpen Saturday
Nelson (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Saturday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on injured list
The Diamondbacks placed Nelson on the 15-day injured list Saturday with right shoulder inflammation, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fades in fifth frame
Nelson did not factor into the decision in Sunday's win over the Astros, allowing five runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Should have rotation chances
According to Aaron Hughes of SI.com, Nelson is expected to be a factor in Arizona's starting rotation in 2025.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander technically finished the 2024 campaign as a reliever, but that's only because the Diamondbacks expedited his rehab from shoulder inflammation in order to get him back before the end of the regular season. Nelson posted a 5.69 ERA in his first 14 outings of the year, but he went 5-0 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 80:16 K:BB in 82.2 innings over the final three months of the season. Arizona has all of Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Brandon Pfaadt, Eduardo Rodriguez and Jordan Montgomery likely to be back for 2025, but Nelson should be able to secure a place in the rotation if he can carry his strong form into spring training.
The right-hander technically finished the 2024 campaign as a reliever, but that's only because the Diamondbacks expedited his rehab from shoulder inflammation in order to get him back before the end of the regular season. Nelson posted a 5.69 ERA in his first 14 outings of the year, but he went 5-0 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 80:16 K:BB in 82.2 innings over the final three months of the season. Arizona has all of Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Brandon Pfaadt, Eduardo Rodriguez and Jordan Montgomery likely to be back for 2025, but Nelson should be able to secure a place in the rotation if he can carry his strong form into spring training.