Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

27-Year-Old PitcherRP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's improved strike-throwing ability in spring training earned him a spot in the Diamondbacks' rotation in 2024. He maintained that skill into the regular season and finished with 10 wins and the second-most innings among Arizona starters. The 26-year-old right-hander upped his strikeout rate to 20.0 percent (from 15.5 in 2023), moving from the sixth percentile to the 26th. An already good walk rate got better, while he shaved one run off his ERA (5.31 to 4.24) and cut down on home runs. In a promising sign, Nelson's performance improved deeper into the season, posting a 3.23 ERA and 28.7 K% over the second half. Still very much a two-pitch pitcher (fastballs and cutters), developing a third pitch might continue the righty's upward trajectory. There was enough development in his performance last year that he should not need to compete for a rotation spot in 2025, but Arizona signed free agent Corbin Burnes, which could push Nelson to the bullpen. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#380
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Diamondbacks in March of 2024.
Long arm in bullpen
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 26, 2025
Nelson will remain stretched out as a reliever, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports. "(Nelson) is going to be able to provide us some length," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said. "We feel like we've got some solid backup there just in case the starter doesn't give us what he needs to."
ANALYSIS
Nelson, who fell short in his bid to be the No. 5 starter, became the top long option out the bullpen following the news that Jordan Montgomery will undergo Tommy John elbow surgery. The Montgomery news also suggests that Nelson could be in line to start should a current member of the rotation require extended downtime due to injury. Nelson was a valued part of the rotation in 2024, when he improved in several underlying metrics (K:BB, K/9, BB/9, HR/9) compared to 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
50
Last 10 Games
50
Last 5 Games
50
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .269 623 101 54 149 37 12 19
Since 2023vs Right .284 637 124 27 170 37 7 22
2025vs Left .500 5 1 1 2 0 0 0
2025vs Right .429 7 2 0 3 1 0 0
2024vs Left .243 314 58 20 70 18 4 10
2024vs Right .288 316 68 14 85 18 5 7
2023vs Left .294 304 42 33 77 19 8 9
2023vs Right .276 314 54 13 82 18 2 15
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-58%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 6.44 1.59 123.0 6 8 1 6.4 2.6 1.2
Since 2023Away 3.74 1.18 173.1 12 6 0 7.2 2.4 1.2
2025Home 21.60 3.60 1.2 0 0 0 16.2 5.4 0.0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.52 1.26 65.2 4 3 1 7.3 1.5 0.7
2024Away 4.02 1.25 85.0 6 3 0 7.7 2.4 1.3
2023Home 8.25 1.92 55.2 2 5 0 5.0 3.7 1.9
2023Away 3.46 1.11 88.1 6 3 0 6.6 2.3 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
16.2
 
BB/9
5.4
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
21.60
 
WHIP
3.60
 
BABIP
.746
 
GB/FB
0.00
 
Left On Base
33.3%
 
Exit Velocity
0.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
0 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%
 
Swinging Strike
14.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ryne Nelson See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Nelson worked as a back-end starter for Arizona in 2023, but it was an underwhelming rookie campaign with a 5.31 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 96:46 K:BB across 144 innings. His 7.4 percent walk rate was solid and consistent with his time in the minors, but he had a 15.5 percent strikeout rate and a 1.5 HR/9. He still made the postseason roster and had a minimal role prior to the World Series, when he allowed just one run over 5.1 frames of valuable long relief in Game 4. Despite that strong finish, Nelson likely won't enter 2024 with any guarantee for a rotation spot, especially since Arizona made additions in free agency. However, the right-hander still has plenty of upside and was encouragingly less reliant on his fastball last season, and he could be a solid back-end piece in 2024 if he's able to better utilize his secondary offerings.
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity.
More Fantasy News
Rotation bid falls short
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 23, 2025
Nelson will begin the season working out of the bullpen, as Brandon Pfaadt was named Arizona's No. 5 starter Sunday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Calm spring no longer
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 18, 2025
Nelson allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 11 hits while striking out one over three-plus innings in Monday's Cactus League start against Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Makes second spring start
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 7, 2025
Nelson allowed one run on three hits while striking out three over 2.1 innings in Thursday's spring start against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Logs two innings Friday
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 1, 2025
Nelson allowed one hit and two walks while striking out one over two scoreless innings in Friday's spring game against Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Has minor-league options
PArizona Diamondbacks
February 28, 2025
Nelson still has minor-league options remaining and could open the season at Triple-A Reno, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports. Arizona has seven legitimate starters in camp competing for five spots.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential trade chip?
PArizona Diamondbacks
November 17, 2024
Nelson could be a trade target this offseason, reports Will Sammon and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Diamondbacks have a bevy of starting pitching, and Nelson could be a fit for teams looking to trade for a cost-controlled starter. The right-hander had a 4.24 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 126:34 K:BB across 150.2 innings during 2024 and is under team control for four more seasons.
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