2025 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.60
K
3
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez's second year in Minnesota went much like his first, though he was a bit less effective overall with a 4.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 198:41 K:BB across 185.1 innings. He set a career high with 15 wins, but a 1.3 HR/9 was also the worst of his career. The right-hander isn't as dominant as a true ace with a 3.83 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across the past three seasons, though he's made 32 starts in each of those campaigns and has a 9.8 K/9. Lopez is a reliable fantasy asset but isn't likely to anchor most league-winning staffs unless he's able to produce closer to the 3.07 ERA he posted for Miami in 2021, which is the lone season in which he's produced an ERA below 3.60 through seven big-league campaigns. He'll turn 29 years old in March and just posted a career high average fastball velocity of 95 mph, so there shouldn't be major concerns for regression. Read Past Outlooks

Takes Opening Day loss
Lopez (0-1) gave up four runs (two earned) on eight hits and no walks over five innings Thursday in taking the loss against the Cardinals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Lopez didn't help himself with a key balk and error that led to runs, but manager Rocco Baldelli after the game said he thought the right-hander improved as the game went on. Lopez wasn't sharp this spring with a 6.62 ERA in five starts, and those struggles carried over into his season debut.
Lopez didn't help himself with a key balk and error that led to runs, but manager Rocco Baldelli after the game said he thought the right-hander improved as the game went on. Lopez wasn't sharp this spring with a 6.62 ERA in five starts, and those struggles carried over into his season debut.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-50%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .272 | 192 | 47 | 200 | 27 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .222 | 243 | 42 | 164 | 24 | |||
2025vs Left | .500 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |||
2025vs Right | .250 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | .267 | 87 | 20 | 94 | 13 | |||
2024vs Right | .237 | 111 | 21 | 86 | 13 | |||
2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-3%
ERA on Road
2025
-100%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.93 | 1.18 | 185.2 | 10.4 | 1.9 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 3.81 | 1.18 | 198.2 | 10.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2025Away | 3.60 | 1.60 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 0.0 | ||||
2024Home | 3.61 | 1.19 | 87.1 | 9.4 | 1.4 | ||||
2024Away | 4.50 | 1.19 | 98.0 | 9.8 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
0.00K/9
5.4BB/9
0.0HR/9
1.8Fastball
94.5 mphERA
3.60WHIP
1.60BABIP
.387GB/FB
12.00Left On Base
60.6%Exit Velocity
0.0 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
0 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%Swinging Strike
12.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance.
More Fantasy News

Not worried about spring struggles
Lopez gave up four runs with two strikeouts and three walks over three innings in Monday's loss to Philadelphia. "Despite those long, taxing innings, my stuff was still there," Lopez told the Minnesota Star Tribune.
ANALYSIS
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Named Opening Day starter
Twins manager Rocco Baldelli named Lopez the team's Opening Day starter Wednesday, Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to O's
Lopez (15-10) took the loss Friday as the Twins were downed 7-2 by the Orioles, giving up two runs on six hits and three walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up in defeat
Lopez (15-9) took the loss against Boston in the first game of Sunday's doubleheader, allowing seven earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out three in four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Twins-Red Sox postponed
Lopez and the Twins won't face the Red Sox on Saturday, as the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Minnesota listening to offers
The Twins have listened to trade inquiries on Lopez, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
It remains a long shot that the Twins will trade Lopez, who is under contract for a reasonable $65.2 million over the next three years. However, it's possible the sky-high cost of free-agent starting pitching could lead to a team offering the Twins a boatload in exchange for Lopez. The righty held a 4.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 198:41 K:BB over 185.1 innings in 2024.
It remains a long shot that the Twins will trade Lopez, who is under contract for a reasonable $65.2 million over the next three years. However, it's possible the sky-high cost of free-agent starting pitching could lead to a team offering the Twins a boatload in exchange for Lopez. The righty held a 4.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 198:41 K:BB over 185.1 innings in 2024.