Nathan Eovaldi

34-Year-Old PitcherSP

Free Agent

2024 Stats

W-L

12-8

ERA

3.80

WHIP

1.11

166

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Eovaldi was on pace for a career year in 2023 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.01 WHIP through 19 starts, but he went down with a forearm strain in late July that sidelined him for about six weeks. He returned in September but allowed 21 runs over 20.2 frames in his final six outings of the regular season, though he got back on track in the playoffs with a 2.95 ERA to help Texas win its first World Series. The right-hander finished with a 3.63 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 132:47 K:BB over 144 innings for the campaign, which was a minor improvement on his results from the previous three seasons. Eovaldi has established himself as a solid mid-rotation pitcher over the past few years but still has durability questions, having topped 150 innings just once since 2016. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#203

ADP

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man No

Height 6'2"

Weight 217

DOB 2/13/1990

Born Houston, TX

College None

Drafted 11th Rd 2008 LAD

Declines player option

PFree Agent

November 4, 2024

Eovaldi declined his $20 million player option for 2025, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.

ANALYSIS
While that means Eovaldi is now a free agent, Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young said Monday that the club has "great interest" in re-signing the veteran right-hander. Eovaldi, who turns 35 in February, holds a 3.72 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 298:89 K:BB over 314.2 innings covering 54 regular-season starts during his two seasons with the Rangers.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Nathan Eovaldi generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Nathan Eovaldi generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

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% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-7%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-18%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-18%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.228	779	176	47	165	42	0	27
Since 2022vs Right	.245	954	225	62	214	34	7	32
2024vs Left	.247	339	78	21	78	20	0	12
2024vs Right	.212	357	88	21	69	8	2	11
2023vs Left	.201	264	52	17	49	12	0	6
2023vs Right	.245	313	80	30	68	15	5	9
2022vs Left	.232	176	46	9	38	10	0	9
2022vs Right	.284	284	57	11	77	11	0	12
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-14%

ERA on Road

2024

-9%

ERA at Home

2023

-4%

ERA on Road

2022

-50%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.05	1.14	211.1	15	9	0	8.3	2.2	1.4
Since 2022Away	3.47	1.16	212.2	15	7	0	8.7	2.5	1.1
2024Home	3.63	0.98	94.1	7	3	0	8.9	1.7	1.3
2024Away	4.01	1.27	76.1	5	5	0	8.6	2.8	1.1
2023Home	3.70	1.11	65.2	6	3	0	8.5	2.9	1.2
2023Away	3.56	1.16	78.1	6	2	0	8.0	3.0	0.7
2022Home	5.26	1.48	51.1	2	3	0	7.2	2.1	1.9
2022Away	2.64	1.02	58.0	4	0	0	9.6	1.2	1.6
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Stat Review

How does Nathan Eovaldi compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

3.95

K/9

8.8

BB/9

2.2

HR/9

1.2

Fastball

95.5 mph

ERA

3.80

WHIP

1.11

BABIP

.282

GB/FB

1.78

Left On Base

73.3%

Exit Velocity

82.8 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.0%

Spin Rate

2002 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

25.5%

Swinging Strike

13.5%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

After making 32 starts the previous season, Eovaldi was limited to 20 outings as he lost time early with back inflammation and then down the stretch with shoulder tightness. His four-seam and cutter velocity dropped, perhaps explaining a 22.4% strikeout rate, the lowest level since 2017. Eovaldi's biggest issue was a return of gopheritis as he yielded 21 homers in only 109.1 innings. His cutter and slider were particularly ineffective as they accounted for 41% of his homers allowed despite being thrown a combined 22% of the time. In contrast, Eovaldi upped his split finger usage to 21% and he surrendered only one homer with the pitch. Other than 2021, Eovaldi has missed at least a quarter of each season, so durability is an issue. His miniscule walk rate keeps his WHIP in a fantasy friendly range but his dalliance with the long ball puts his ERA at risk. Eovaldi joined the Rangers on a two-year, $34 million contract, so he'll see a lot of the AL West and Globe Life Field, which ranks mostly as a neutral park for both hitters and pitchers.

Eovaldi continues to be one of the best success stories among pitchers with multiple Tommy John surgeries under their belt. Eovaldi had the ugly hiccup in 2019, but has otherwise been effective since recovering from his second TJ surgery in 2017. Last season, he shouldered a workload he had not seen since 2014, leading the Boston staff in stability and most performance categories. He now has a polished five-pitch repertoire that keeps hitters guessing, and he needs the wide arsenal as his fastball is still quite hittable as a high-velo, low-spin offering. The biggest concern for the veteran hurler in 2022 is how his body will bounce back from working 203 innings from April through October, given that is nearly equal to his workload from the prior three seasons combined. Last season marked the first time since 2014 Eovaldi avoided the injured list, so that career track record looms large. He's not the workhorse you're looking for.

Eovaldi was been an interesting pitcher the past few seasons since recovering from his second Tommy John surgery in 2017. He has come back throwing harder, and added a cutter to his fastball/splitter combo to give him enough of a repertoire to effectively handle a lineup two times through. Durability is always an issue as he and the injured list go together like biscuits and gravy. This past season was no different as he in the IL with a calf strain, but otherwise was a bright spot in a terrible season in Boston. He nearly doubled his K-BB% from 2019 by greatly reducing his walks and pounding the strike zone. Ultimately, he may end up in a closer role given his lack of durability, but until then he is someone to roster with the expectation he is going to miss a quarter to a third of the season with some injury. One has to hope the bullpen in Boston is better in 2021 to protect his leads.

For the second straight season, Eovaldi was shelved for more than two months after needing surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow. Though he became one of Boston's top arms in its run to the 2018 World Series following the first procedure, Eovaldi was unable to replicate the magic in 2019. Whether he was used in the rotation (12 starts) or bullpen (11 appearances), Eovaldi found little success, finishing with a 5.99 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and an ugly 11.6 BB%. The fact that Eovaldi maintained his elite velocity and missed bats (10.6 SwSt%) were silver linings, but even if he enters 2020 in better health and with improved control, he'll be difficult to rely on for innings. With two Tommy John surgeries on his record along with the arthroscopic procedures in back-to-back years, Eovaldi may have more durability concerns than any pitcher in the game.

Returning from his second Tommy John surgery, Eovaldi posted his lowest ERA since 2013 while churning out several career bests, including an 8.2 K/9, 4.4 BB% and 10.7% swinging-strike rate. Earlier in his career, the right-hander failed to pair Ks with high-end velocity, but he tapped into a greater strikeout punch in 2018 as the Rays helped him embrace his cutter and he started throwing four-seamers higher in the zone. Plus, he synced up his release points for better tunneling. Even after his pristine 1.61 postseason ERA, the 29-year-old's fantasy draft price won't likely climb too much due to concerns with season-long durability. He returned to the Red Sox on a four-year, $67.5 million deal and projects to open the season as the team's No. 3 starter.

Tommy John surgery in August of 2016 knocked Eovaldi out for the entirety of 2017. He did make a couple rehab appearances late in the year in the International League championship series, putting him on track to compete for a spot in the Rays' rotation in spring training. Any pitcher coming back from reconstructive elbow surgery is an unknown, but that's especially true with Eovaldi, whose calling card has always been premium velocity. He hadn't been able to generate many whiffs before going down with the injury despite the impressive velo -- Eovaldi has never posted a K/9 over 7.0 at the big-league level. Eovaldi will need to not only return to form, but find a new level to his game, in order to become a trustworthy option in standard fantasy leagues. That seems unlikely coming off TJS considering many pitchers struggle with control and command in their first year back.

After a rough first half of the season, Eovaldi moved to the bullpen for a brief period in July. He found a good deal of success in the new role, tossing 7.2 scoreless innings, but that success was short lived. He was diagnosed a partially torn UCL and fully torn flexor tendon in his right arm in August, which required season-ending Tommy John surgery. As a result, Eovaldi will miss the entirety of the 2017 season. He was non-tendered by the Yankees in the offseason, and given his lackluster results as a starter so far in his career, it seems like he'll move to the bullpen full-time once he's healthy if the Rays decide to hang onto him for another season.

Eovaldi improved in 2015, but it didn’t really show up in his results. Actually, it kind of did as he somehow posted a 14-3 record, but no one is looking at his ERA or WHIP and thinking that he took steps forward. The big change was the development of his splitter, which helped him neutralize lefties over the second half. Through his first 13 starts he had a 5.12 ERA, due in large part to the fact that lefties mangled him for a 1.008 OPS. In his final 14 starts, he had a 3.43 ERA and cut that lefty OPS down to .587 as the splitter turned into a weapon and was key to a 56 percent groundball rate. Unfortunately, his season ended in early September with elbow concerns, but with health this is still a budding profile primed for a surge: insane velocity, a quality breaking ball, and now a way to stifle lefties. He doesn’t allow homers, he’s gotten his walks in check the last two years, and he has strikeout upside. Buy.

An up-and-down ride in 2014 saw Eovaldi on the verge of a breakout campaign before an increased workload appeared to wear on him down the stretch. Eovaldi tossed a career-high 199.2 innings pitched, but his September struggles (0-4, 5.53 ERA, 1.63 WHIP) dragged his overall line to a mediocre 4.37 ERA and 1.33 WHIP to go along with a 4-16 record. The 25-year-old right-handed hurler improved his control in 2014, slicing his walk rate down to just 5.0% after posting a 8.9 BB% in the previous year. Still, Eovaldi was unable to translate his powerful, upper-90s fastball into a significant strikeout total. A career-best 142:43 K:BB ratio that translated a solid 3.37 FIP presents plenty of reason for optimism as Eovaldi looks to break through 200-inning threshold in 2015. He'll have less margin for error this time around after being traded to the Yankees in December.

After missing the first two-and-a-half months of the season with a shoulder injury, Eovaldi cobbled together a solid campaign for Miami, tossing 106.1 innings with a 3.39 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Eovaldi works primarily off of his 96-mph fastball, mixing in a two-seamer, slider, curveball and the occasional changeup. His strikeout totals are regularly underwhelming despite the plus velocity, but he did an excellent job keeping the ball in the yard last season, allowing just seven home runs in 18 starts. Entering his age-24 season, there is plenty of reason to think that Eovaldi still has room to grow, but unless he can pick up that strikeout rate, he figures to be little more than a middle-of-the-road option.

After a short stint in the big leagues in 2011, Eovaldi got his first real chance to be a major league starter in 2012 with the Dodgers, replacing an injured Ted Lilly in the starting rotation in late May. He posted medicore results including a 4.15 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over his first 56.1 innings pitched before being shipped to Miami in the Hanley Ramirez trade. Eovaldi showed flashes over the second half with the Marlins, but struggled with his command to the tune of a 44:27 K:BB that accompanied a 4.43 ERA and 1.54 WHIP for his new club. Working with a nice 94 mph fastball, Eovaldi will need to improve on the 3.5 BB/9 that he posted last season if he is to find success in the middle of the Marlins' rotation in 2013.

It was a breakout season of sorts for Eovaldi in 2011, as after 103 Double-A innings (2.62 ERA, 8.65 K/9IP), injuries led to his big league debut in August. He fared well in five of his six starts, ultimately posting a 3.63 ERA to go with a below-average 23:20 K:BB in 34.2 innings. With the Dodgers having filled out their rotation in free agency this winter, Eovaldi will open the season in the minors, but he's on the short list once an injury strikes.

Contract purchased by the Dodgers in August 2011.

More Fantasy News

Tosses seven shutout innings

PTexas Rangers

September 29, 2024

Eovaldi (12-8) allowed four hits and a walk over seven scoreless innings Sunday, striking out five and earning a win over the Angels.