Mick Abel

Mick Abel

23-Year-Old PitcherP
Philadelphia Phillies AAA
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Abel may have been passed by Andrew Painter as the most exciting pitching prospect in the Phillies' organization, but he got to spend 2023 as the team's most exciting healthy pitching prospect after Painter suffered an elbow injury in March which wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. In some circumstances, that status would have led Abel to a potentially premature MLB debut, but the Phillies didn't wind up needing to reach into their minor-league system for additional depth, and Abel's numbers in 22 outings for Double-A Reading meant he wasn't forcing his way in. Abel's 27.5% strikeout rate was strong and was nearly an exact match for his 27.6% mark from 2022, but his already worrisome 10.6% walk rate jumped all the way to 13.5%. The result was a rather ordinary 4.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Abel won't turn 23 until August, so he has plenty of time to get his 6-foot-5 frame under control and learn to find the zone on a more regular basis. If he does, his stuff will make him a frontline arm, but each season in which he continues to walk too many batters increases the likelihood that he tops out as an unreliable back-end starter or a reliever. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#381
ADP
$Signed a $4.08 million contract with the Phillies in June of 2020.
Added to 40-man roster
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
November 19, 2024
The Phillies added Abel to the 40-man roster Tuesday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
157 days ago
Injuries have hindered the progress of a few notable prospects in Jesse Siegel's latest column.
Farm Futures: Rookie Pitcher Rankings 2.0
281 days ago
James Anderson updates his Rookie Pitcher Rankings for 2024 value only, in which Giants southpaw Kyle Harrison remains in a tier by himself.
Farm Futures: Rookie Pitcher Rankings 1.0
358 days ago
James Anderson shares version 1.0 of his rookie pitcher rankings for redraft leagues, in which Giants southpaw Kyle Harrison is in a tier of his own.
Mound Musings: The 2023 Futures Game
July 20, 2023
Brad Johnson highlights pitchers who showed serious talent at the Futures Game, including promising Phillies prospect Mick Abel.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
April 10, 2023
Jesse Siegel provides his latest prospect review, with a look at another potential future star in Detroit.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline.
The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.
More Fantasy News
Covers 1.2 innings Monday
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
March 11, 2024
Abel (illness) struck out two over 1.2 perfect innings of relief in Monday's 2-1 loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Battling illness
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
Illness
March 2, 2024
Abel was scratched from his scheduled start Saturday against Minnesota due to an illness, Corey Seidman of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
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Down time before/after Futures Game
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
July 18, 2023
Abel has not pitched for Double-A Reading since June 29, but he struck out two over a scoreless inning in the Futures Game on July 8.
ANALYSIS
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Joining big-league camp
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
January 24, 2023
Abel will attend the Phillies' big-league camp this spring.
ANALYSIS
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Receives bump to Double-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
August 14, 2022
The Phillies are promoting Abel from High-A Jersey Shore to Double-A Reading on Sunday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
June 12, 2024
The Phillies could consider trading Abel to improve the major-league roster this summer, reports Adam Aaronson of The Philly Voice.
ANALYSIS
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.
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