Mick Abel

Mick Abel

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025. The Phillies added him to the 40-man roster, which is the natural thing to do with a pitcher you've invested this much in, but Abel's name value and pedigree are doing all of the lifting with regards to any remaining perceived dynasty value. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#361
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2025. Traded to the Twins in July of 2025.
Poised to make Twins debut
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
August 22, 2025
Abel traveled with the Twins to Chicago for this weekend's series against the White Sox and appears in line to start Saturday's game, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Picked up from the Phillies at the trade deadline in a deal that sent Jhoan Duran to Philadelphia, Abel has posted a 1.76 ERA and 23:6 K:BB over 15.1 innings in his first three outings with Triple-A St. Paul. The 24-year-old has made six starts at the big-league level, collecting a 5.04 ERA and 21:9 K:BB across 25 frames. The Twins hope to get Pablo Lopez (shoulder) and Simeon Woods Richardson (illness) back before long, but Abel could get the chance to stick in the big-league rotation for the rest of the season if he pitches well.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2025 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
76
Last 10 Games
76
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Mick Abel generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Mick Abel generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .263 61 13 4 15 0 1 6
Since 2023vs Right .244 47 8 5 10 1 1 1
2025vs Left .263 61 13 4 15 0 1 6
2025vs Right .244 47 8 5 10 1 1 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-76%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-76%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 7.36 1.84 14.2 1 2 0 9.8 4.9 4.3
Since 2023Away 1.74 0.68 10.1 1 0 0 4.4 0.9 0.0
2025Home 7.36 1.84 14.2 1 2 0 9.8 4.9 4.3
2025Away 1.74 0.68 10.1 1 0 0 4.4 0.9 0.0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-57%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .232 485 124 69 95 21 7 10
Since 2023vs Right .254 415 103 50 90 22 1 11
2025vs Left .199 195 59 19 35 8 1 4
2025vs Right .181 166 45 19 26 4 1 2
2024vs Left .259 274 61 48 57 12 5 6
2024vs Right .301 241 56 30 62 18 0 9
2023vs Left .214 16 4 2 3 1 1 0
2023vs Right .500 8 2 1 2 0 0 0
Stat Review
How does Mick Abel compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
7.6
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
2.5
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
5.04
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.267
 
GB/FB
0.72
 
Left On Base
82.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.8%
 
Spin Rate
2515 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
Abel may have been passed by Andrew Painter as the most exciting pitching prospect in the Phillies' organization, but he got to spend 2023 as the team's most exciting healthy pitching prospect after Painter suffered an elbow injury in March which wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. In some circumstances, that status would have led Abel to a potentially premature MLB debut, but the Phillies didn't wind up needing to reach into their minor-league system for additional depth, and Abel's numbers in 22 outings for Double-A Reading meant he wasn't forcing his way in. Abel's 27.5% strikeout rate was strong and was nearly an exact match for his 27.6% mark from 2022, but his already worrisome 10.6% walk rate jumped all the way to 13.5%. The result was a rather ordinary 4.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Abel won't turn 23 until August, so he has plenty of time to get his 6-foot-5 frame under control and learn to find the zone on a more regular basis. If he does, his stuff will make him a frontline arm, but each season in which he continues to walk too many batters increases the likelihood that he tops out as an unreliable back-end starter or a reliever.
The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline.
The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.
More Fantasy News
Could join Twins this weekend
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
August 22, 2025
Abel could join the Twins' rotation as soon as this weekend against the White Sox, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Will remain at Triple-A
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
August 1, 2025
Abel will stay at Triple-A St. Paul after he was acquired from the Phillies, as the Twins want him to continue to work on tweaking his pitches, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
Analysis
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Dealt to Twins for Duran
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
July 30, 2025
Abel and Eduardo Tait were acquired by the Twins from the Phillies on Wednesday in exchange for Jhoan Duran, Francys Romero of BeisbolFR.com reports.
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Demoted to Triple-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
July 4, 2025
The Phillies optioned Abel to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Friday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Flummoxed by Friars
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
July 2, 2025
Abel (2-2) took the loss in the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Padres, coughing up five runs on two hits and five walks over 1.2 innings as the Phillies fell 6-4. He struck out three.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
June 12, 2024
The Phillies could consider trading Abel to improve the major-league roster this summer, reports Adam Aaronson of The Philly Voice.
Analysis
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.
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