Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw

23-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Chicago Cubs
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Shaw's game was built for standard 5x5 fantasy, as he could be a 25-homer/25-steal infielder who hits for a high average during his prime years. A sturdy, athletic 5-foot-9 second baseman who has spent a signifiant amount of time at third base over the past year, Shaw figures to debut at the hot corner on Opening Day after Isaac Paredes was shipped to Houston as part of the return for Kyle Tucker. Shaw slashed .284/.379/.488 with 21 homers, 31 steals and strong hard-hit data (29.7 Hard%, 13.4 Soft%) in 121 games at Double-A and Triple-A, and his command of the zone didn't lessen after his promotion to Triple-A. If Shaw embraced pulling the ball more regularly (Oppo% over 40% at both stops) he could reach another level as a power hitter, but he already has a high floor and high ceiling in our game and is ready for primetime. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#220
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2025.
Scores three times Thursday
3BChicago Cubs
March 28, 2025
Shaw went 1-for-4 with a walk and three runs scored in Thursday's 10-6 win over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
Shaw was making his third straight start for the Cubs, and the rookie put together his best performance to date during the team's domestic opener. There may be some growing pains for the 23-year-old, but Chicago seems committed to him at third base, and Shaw did manage a robust .867 OPS across Double-A and Triple-A last year. The 13th overall pick in the 2023 First-Year Player Draft has the talent to make an impact in the majors right away.
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Batting Stats
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2025
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+197%
OPS vs LHP
2025
 
 
+61%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2023
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .571 7 2 0 0 0 .286 .286 .286
Since 2023vs Right .192 16 3 0 0 0 .067 .125 .067
2025vs Left .500 4 1 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
2025vs Right .311 10 3 0 0 0 .111 .200 .111
2024vs Left .667 3 1 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333
2024vs Right .000 6 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+193%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+193%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2023
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .222 18 2 0 0 0 .111 .111 .111
Since 2023Away .650 5 3 0 0 0 .250 .400 .250
2025Home .222 9 1 0 0 0 .111 .111 .111
2025Away .650 5 3 0 0 0 .250 .400 .250
2024Home .222 9 1 0 0 0 .111 .111 .111
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Shaw compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.20
 
BB Rate
7.1%
 
K Rate
35.7%
 
BABIP
.250
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.154
 
OBP
.214
 
SLG
.154
 
OPS
.368
 
wOBA
.176
 
Exit Velocity
76.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.0%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Expected BA
.124
 
Expected SLG
.140
 
Sprint Speed
0.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
75.0%
 
Line Drive %
12.5%
 
Fly Ball %
12.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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2024 Fantasy Outlook
Shaw didn't face great competition while playing three years for Maryland, but he mashed with a wood bat (1.006 OPS) in the Cape Cod League in 2022 and excelled in his pro debut after the Cubs selected him with the 13th overall pick. He hit .500 with one home run in three Arizona Complex League games before a quick promotion to High-A. The 5-foot-11 infielder slashed .393/.427/.655 with four home runs, seven steals and 12 strikeouts in 20 games in the Midwest League before getting promoted again to Double-A. Shaw fared well again, hitting .292 with three home runs, six steals and a 17.1 K% in 15 games in the Southern League to close the year. He makes consistent contact and hits the ball to all fields. Shaw has a chance to hit 20-plus home runs while stealing 20-plus bases and hitting for a high average during his prime years. His defensive home is unclear, as he fits best at second base, but that's Nico Hoerner's spot. Neither Shaw or Hoerner have an ideal arm for the left side of the infield, which complicates matters. Nonetheless, Shaw's bat will likely look big-league ready by the middle of the summer.
More Fantasy News
Quiet debut in Tokyo
3BChicago Cubs
March 18, 2025
Shaw went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts during Tuesday's 4-1 loss to the Dodgers in Tokyo.
ANALYSIS
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Batting fifth in MLB debut
3BChicago Cubs
March 18, 2025
Shaw is in the lineup Tuesday against the Dodgers for the first game of the 2025 Tokyo Series, manning third base and batting fifth.
ANALYSIS
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Added to 40-man roster
3BChicago Cubs
March 17, 2025
The Cubs selected Shaw's contract from Triple-A Iowa on Monday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Traveling with CHC for Tokyo series
3BChicago Cubs
March 11, 2025
Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Tuesday that Shaw will travel with the team for their two-game series against the Dodgers in Tokyo on March 18 and 19, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Team undecided on Tokyo series
3BChicago Cubs
March 7, 2025
The Cubs have not yet made a decision as to whether to carry Shaw on the roster for their two-game series versus the Dodgers in Tokyo from March 18-19, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Offseason trade unlikely
3BChicago Cubs
November 11, 2024
Tony Andracki of Marquee Sports Network doesn't expect Shaw to be traded by the Cubs during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
Shaw is the organization's top prospect but doesn't have a path to playing time in the immediate future, so it could make some sense for Chicago to consider a trade this winter. However, the 23-year-old has only 35 games under his belt at the Triple-A level, and the Cubs could also lose a handful of key players to free agency over the next two years. Nico Hoerner also underwent elbow surgery in mid-October and isn't guaranteed to be healthy for Opening Day.
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