Manny Machado

32-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

San Diego Padres

2024 Stats

AVG

.275

RBI

105

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Only Giancarlo Stanton has more seasons with 25+ homers than Machado does. The Human Statue has 10 such seasons while Machado and Mike Trout are tied at nine. Machado continues to produce at a consistent level as 2024 was his 10th career season with at least 600 plate appearances, something only Carlos Santana and Freddie Freeman have done more frequently. 2024 offered a view of Machado's younger days with him stealing double-digit bases for the first time since the 2021 season and nearly swiping as many in 2024 (11) as he did the previous two seasons combined (12.) He pulled that off despite another season where his walk rate declined as it has now each of the past four seasons. He still makes excellent contact, but the lower walk rate means the batting avergae is going to be at the mercy of the batted ball luck dragons as is evident by the 40 points of batting average varieance the past three seasons. There is little reason why Machado should not continue to have another 600+ plate appearance season with the voluminous numbers that go along with that playing time. Consistent production such as what Machado offers is difficult to find in these volatile days. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 218

DOB 7/6/1992

Born Miami, FL

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2010 BAL

Absent from lineup

3BSan Diego Padres

September 29, 2024

Machado is not in the starting lineup for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks.

ANALYSIS
Machado will sit for the regular-season finale after going 1-for-10 with one RBI across the first two games of the series against Arizona. Unless he comes in to pinch hit, Machado will end the regular season having slashed .275/.325/.472 with 11 stolen bases, 29 home runs and 105 RBI across 643 plate appearances. Tyler Wade will start at third base Sunday and bat eighth.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+4%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+1%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+19%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+7%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.849	478	63	26	62	6	.274	.351	.498
Since 2022vs Right	.819	1410	189	65	236	17	.278	.333	.486
2024vs Left	.803	145	16	7	17	3	.256	.338	.465
2024vs Right	.795	498	61	22	88	8	.280	.321	.474
2023vs Left	.887	149	21	7	23	1	.308	.376	.511
2023vs Right	.747	452	54	23	68	2	.241	.301	.446
2022vs Left	.855	184	26	12	22	2	.259	.342	.512
2022vs Right	.915	460	74	20	80	7	.313	.376	.538
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+3%

OPS at Home

2024

+3%

OPS at Home

2023

+14%

OPS at Home

2022

+3%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.841	912	119	48	136	12	.280	.344	.496
Since 2022Away	.813	976	133	43	162	11	.274	.331	.482
2024Home	.811	312	36	14	43	5	.282	.333	.477
2024Away	.785	331	41	15	62	6	.268	.317	.467
2023Home	.832	306	41	17	53	2	.279	.343	.489
2023Away	.730	295	34	13	38	1	.236	.295	.435
2022Home	.882	294	42	17	40	5	.280	.357	.525
2022Away	.911	350	58	15	62	4	.312	.374	.536
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Stat Review

How does Manny Machado compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.36

BB Rate

7.0%

K Rate

19.3%

BABIP

.302

ISO

.197

AVG

.275

OBP

.325

SLG

.472

OPS

.797

wOBA

.344

Exit Velocity

92.5 mph

Hard Hit Rate

37.2%

Barrels/PA

8.1%

Expected BA

.272

Expected SLG

.461

Sprint Speed

19.8 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

43.9%

Line Drive %

18.0%

Fly Ball %

38.1%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Machado collected 30 homers and 91 RBI to go along with a .781 OPS -- his lowest since 2017 -- in 138 games last season. He played through an elbow injury for much of the campaign and made 33 appearances as a designated hitter before undergoing surgery to repair a tendon immediately after the regular season. The procedure carries a 4-to-6 month recovery timeline, which clouds his availability for the start of the 2024 campaign. He provided strong defense in his 105 games at the hot corner and still delivered plenty of power despite the injury with a second straight 30-homer season. Machado isn't likely to be at full strength for the start of spring training, but it's possible he's ready to go by Opening Day. He could also be limited to serving as the designated hitter early on to help ease him back into things at third base, but his true availability won't be known until he gets further into his recovery and rehab work. Even if he does end up missing some time in April, Machado is likely to be a strong fantasy producer in 2024.

Machado delivered a career-best 152 wRC+ with 37 doubles, 32 home runs, 102 RBI and 100 runs to power the Padres offense in 2022. It's the second straight season the third baseman has cracked 100 RBI, and it's the sixth time in his career he's topped 30 homers. He surprisingly produced his worst strikeout rate at 20.7 percent, but a .337 BABIP helped him to a .298 average despite a .264 xBA. Machado will turn 31 years old in July and should continue to be a major producer near the top of San Diego's lineup in 2023, though his numbers could fall a bit if he's unable to again significantly outperform his expected figures.

Machado unsurprisingly fell off his incredible home run pace of the shortened 2020 season, but he managed more than 90 runs for the first time since 2016 while also tallying his second season with more than 100 RBI. His skills profile otherwise remained largely in line with his career norms, so it's tempting to say that we've seen the best of Machado given that he will turn 30 during the 2022 campaign. While he is almost certain to maintain a quality floor of five-category production, there may be some hidden ceiling in Machado's skillset. Despite failing to hit 30 home runs in a full season for the first time since 2013, Machado logged career-high marks in average exit velocity, max exit velocity and barrel rate -- both relative to his past marks and league average. Heading into 2022, Machado will be locked into an everyday role at third base and projects to hit primarily third or fourth in the Padres lineup.

San Diego's huge investment in Machado paid off in his second season with the club as the veteran finished third in NL MVP voting and led the Padres to their first playoff appearance since 2006. While his hard-contact numbers stayed relatively constant, Machado notched 16 homers in 254 PA by pulling the ball more than ever before (45.0 Pull%). In addition, he increased his batting average nearly 50 points, in part by upping one of the league's lowest line-drive rates (17.4%) in 2019 to a career-high 22.0% last season. The adjusted approach led to career-best marks in a number of key categories, including SLG (.580), ISO (.277) and wRC+ (148). To boot, Machado notched the best walk (10.2%) and strikeout (14.6%) rates of his career. The six-time All Star's finest overall campaign should create lofty expectations for 2021, making him a top-three fantasy third baseman off the board.

Machado has 300 million reasons not to regret leaving Baltimore, but he no doubt misses the dimensions there. The fun ball helped Machado get back to the 30-homer mark for a fifth consecutive season, but he hit the fewest doubles in a full season for his career, which ultimately cut into his overall run production. He tied for the lowest runs scored in his full-season career, and drove in 22 fewer runners than he did in 2018. His exit velocity and launch angles held up, but Petco isn't Camden, and that is ultimately what is to blame here. Machado is a compiler and has missed a total of 17 games over the past five seasons. As long as he stays healthy, he will produce, but San Diego sets a ceiling on his run production numbers, and the batting average roller coaster is tough to ignore. There is still a ton of name value here, but the fantasy value has not equaled the name value in two of the last three years.

It’s rare a superstar hits free agency entering his age-26 season, but that’s what happens when you debut at 19. Machado is coming off arguably his best year as he exhibited above-average-to-elite skills across the board. He set new career best levels in contact and walk rate, contributing to new personal highs in average, homers and RBI. Plus, Machado returned to swiping double-digit bases with his best ever success rate. Much has been made of Machado’s “Johnny Hustle” comment and the ensuing backtrack clarification, but missing only 11 games over the past four campaigns, including playing all 162 in 2015 and 2018, speaks volumes. It’s no secret the defensive metrics rank him as one of the best at the hot corner but below average at shortstop. For fantasy, it doesn’t matter, though he’s lost dual eligibility, entering 2019 as shortstop only. Machado has it all: durability, elite skills and youth. Ignore the rest. He’s one of the top players in the game.

Machado got off to a dismal start to 2017, batting .205/.286/.405 over the first two months of the campaign. However, all the underlying numbers said a rebound was imminent, and sure enough, he came on strong down the stretch. While his walk rate fell to just 5.8 percent after the All-Star break, Machado made more consistent contact (13.2 percent strikeout rate) and that helped him hit .290 and slug .500 in the second half. He slashed just .229/.268/.398 away from Camden Yards for the year, but Machado hit on the road the previous two seasons (.289/.345/.523 in 2016 and .282/.351/.465 in 2015), so it seems likely that 2017 will end up being the outlier with that particular split. While the 25-year-old has lost shortstop eligibility, he could regain it in-season. His price will likely be depressed more than it should coming off a down season. Buy in bulk.

Machado set career highs in home runs, RBI, runs, and batting average, cementing his first-round status despite not stealing a single base. Such $30 players have to be good across the board or great in a few things, and luckily for Machado owners, he is excellent in the other categories. Sure, it would be nice if he stole bases again, but the rest of his excellence will do just fine. Picking faults in Machado is like saying your Lamborghini is only getting up to 220 mph on the Autobahn. While he is split-neutral in terms of batting average, 86 of the 105 homers he has hit in his career have come against right-handed pitching. Machado has good bats in front of him and behind him, which puts him in an ideal spot of the lineup to continue to be a top-shelf run producer. The team hits like a softball team, but Machado could be even better if the Orioles add a true table-setter to the leadoff spot.

Machado suffered his second serious leg injury in August of 2014, so his 2015 season was a complete shock to even his most ardent supporters. He swiped 20 bases, scored 102 times and hit 35 home runs while driving in 86 runners, setting career highs across the board in his age-23 season. One can look long and hard at his skills without finding a flaw. He is a patient hitter at the plate, makes contact above the league-average rate and his Isolated Power figure has risen three consecutive seasons. He could move down another spot in the lineup if Chris Davis goes elsewhere in free agency, and though a move down the lineup will likely reduce his stolen base total, it should bump up his RBI count. A 40-homer season isn’t impossible as he’s still filling out physically. In a 15-team mixed league, Machado shouldn’t make it out of the first round.

Machado is exhibit 1,527,106 in the Never Believe The Player Theory. As the theory goes, whatever return date a player tells the media or how said player will avoid the disabled list, throw the story in the trash can because it is useless. There were many stories about how Machado felt like he would be ready to start the season, but he did not make his season debut until May 1. His season started late and ended early, as yet another knee injury ended his season in mid-August. Machado has already had three major injuries and two surgeries in just four professional seasons of baseball. Some of those 51 doubles he hit in 2013 became homers in 2014, but a combination of injuries and a line-drive swing make it unlikely that Machado hits 20 homers in 2015. He remains a better real player than a fantasy one.

It was thought that Machado would take time to mature as a hitter, but instead he hit .310 in the first half and was on pace to break the MLB record for doubles. He's still not a finished product as shown with his 4.1% walk rate, a clear sign that Machado needs to develop more patience at the plate. Machado suffered an ugly knee injury in the final week of the season and needed surgery to repair a torn medial patellar ligament. Although he had the procedure in mid-October and there was no reported damage to his ACL or MCL, Machado is facing a six-month rehab window. As a result, he is in danger of missing Opening Day. Once Machado is ready to take the field again, he will be one of the more attractive options at third base, and over the next few years some of those doubles should begin to turn into home runs as he reaches his power peak.

With a lack of production at third base, the Orioles shocked many by calling up Machado, who had just turned 20 years old, having him bypass Triple-A altogether. While he was a bit overaggressive at the plate (9:39 BB:K), Machado held his own considering his age. Machado is still developing both his eye at the plate and his power, but he is expected to blossom into a star. With J.J. Hardy's contract extended through 2014, Machado should remain at third base for the time being. Machado may take some time to develop, so his value is far greater in keeper formats.

Machado effectively played his first professional season after playing just nine games in 2010 as the Orioles' first-round draft pick. The 19-year-old tore up Low-A, hitting .276/.376/.483 with six home runs in just 170 plate appearances, showing good plate discipline as well before a dislocated knee cap sent him to the disabled list. He then hit a bit of a road block in High-A, where he couldn't draw as many walks nor hit for as much power (five homers in 260 plate appearances). Look for the youngster to get another crack at High-A and hopefully move up to Double-A next season.

Machado, the third overall selection in the 2010 draft, went 11-for-36 with one home run and just three strikeouts in a brief professional debut. He projects as a very good hitter at the MLB level and he should develop power as he continues to grow. Keeper and dynasty league owners should be prepared to invest here, however, as he's drawn legitimate comparisons to Alex Rodriguez. Even if Machado fails to become next A-Rod (fail is a strong word), he should hit for average and double-digit (think 20-homer) power down the road. Just don't expect to see him at the big league level before 2013.

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Reaches 10-steal mark

3BSan Diego Padres

September 20, 2024

Machado went 1-for-4 with a stolen base and a run scored in Friday's 3-2 extra-inning win over the White Sox.