Lucas Giolito
30-Year-Old
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In 2022, Giolito registered a 4.90 ERA but a 3.66 xFIP and 3.79 SIERA portended a rebound last season. Things did not turn out as hoped for as Giolito recorded a 4.88 ERA pitching for three different teams. This time, the bloated ERA was mostly supported by its estimators as the righty's control and command suffered all season. Fanning 204 in 184.1 innings was solid, but a 9.2 percent walk rate and 41 homers surrendered were major reasons the White Sox and Angels gave up on Giolito before the pitching desperate Guardians picked him up to absorb innings down the stretch. Giolito's velocity and pitch mix was in sync with recent seasons, and after signing a two-year deal (with an opt-out after the first year) with Boston, there's hope that new pitching coach Andrew Bailey can help Giolito maximize a sweeper and return to the form he showed in the first half last year with Chicago (3.45 ERA). Giolito misses bats and hasn't missed more than a start or two every season since 2018, although he'll now be pitching in his most hitter-friendly home park to date. Read Past Outlooks
Exercises player option
Giolito (elbow) exercised his $19 million player option for 2025 on Thursday, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Giolito was unlikely to receive anything close to a $19 million salary in free agency after missing all of 2024 due to an elbow procedure he underwent in March, so it's unsurprising to see him opt into another year with the Red Sox. The 30-year-old right-hander started a throwing program in early August, though it remains unclear if he'll be ready to go for the start of spring training.
Giolito was unlikely to receive anything close to a $19 million salary in free agency after missing all of 2024 due to an elbow procedure he underwent in March, so it's unsurprising to see him opt into another year with the Red Sox. The 30-year-old right-hander started a throwing program in early August, though it remains unclear if he'll be ready to go for the start of spring training.
Pitching Stats
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2023
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .221 | 173 | 65 | 120 | 24 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .278 | 208 | 69 | 220 | 41 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .226 | 86 | 38 | 63 | 17 | |||
2023vs Right | .249 | 118 | 35 | 106 | 24 | |||
2022vs Left | .217 | 87 | 27 | 57 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .312 | 90 | 34 | 114 | 17 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.75 | 1.24 | 165.0 | 9.9 | 2.8 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.02 | 1.49 | 181.0 | 9.9 | 4.1 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.58 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 10.0 | 2.9 | ||||
2023Away | 6.07 | 1.57 | 96.1 | 9.9 | 4.2 | ||||
2022Home | 6.08 | 1.48 | 77.0 | 9.8 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Away | 3.83 | 1.39 | 84.2 | 9.9 | 3.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
The right-hander established himself as a reliable front-end starter with a 3.47 ERA from 2019 to 2021, but he cratered last season with an ERA that approached 5.00. Giolito lost a tick on his fastball and saw his strikeout rate drop over two percentage points to 25.2 percent, though his HR/9 improved slightly to 1.3. The White Sox's poor defense certainly did him no favors, which is reflected in his 3.66 xFIP. Still, the poor results can't be entirely blamed on the defense, as he also allowed a 39 percent hard-hit rate, which represents a full-season career high. Giolito will turn 29 years old in July and is entering his final season of arbitration eligibility, and he's a prime rebound candidate with every incentive to deliver in a contract year.
More Fantasy News
Throwing in outfield
Giolito (elbow) was throwing in the field at Fenway Park on Friday, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expects to play catch by month's end
Giolito (elbow) said in an interview last week that he expects to start playing catch by the end of the month, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports. "Working with the training staff, it's been fantastic," Giolito said of his recovery from the internal brace procedure he underwent March 12. "It's just making sure to stay motivated every day. Hitting each little goal and looking forward to the next major step, which will be beginning my throwing program."
ANALYSIS
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Goes on 60-day IL
The Red Sox placed Giolito (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoes internal brace procedure
Giolito underwent an internal brace procedure Tuesday to repair the UCL in his right elbow, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for elbow surgery Tuesday
Giolito will undergo surgery Tuesday to repair UCL damage in his right elbow, Sean McAdam of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Mets have strong interest
The Mets are "showing strong interest" in Giolito, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mets fell short in their bid for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but they're still in the market for rotation reinforcements. Giolito has some of the best upside of any free-agent starter still on the market and, at 29, is also one of the youngest. The right-hander collected a disappointing 4.88 ERA over 184.1 innings in 2023 but also struck out 200-plus batters for the third time in his career.
The Mets fell short in their bid for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but they're still in the market for rotation reinforcements. Giolito has some of the best upside of any free-agent starter still on the market and, at 29, is also one of the youngest. The right-hander collected a disappointing 4.88 ERA over 184.1 innings in 2023 but also struck out 200-plus batters for the third time in his career.