Justin Verlander
41-Year-Old
Free Agent
2024 Stats
W-L
5-6
ERA
5.48
WHIP
1.38
K
74
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Verlander was not as awesome as he was in 2022, but 2023 was still a solid season for the 40 year old pitcher who became the first pitcher age 40 or older to have both 12 wins and an ERA below 3.25 since Bartolo Colon last did that in 2013. Even though Verlander split the season between the Mets and the Astros, his indicators and outcomes were not that dissimilar as he walked fewer batters with Houston but allowed more homers thanks to the change in home park dimensions. The list of pitchers doing well past the age of 40 also includes the likes of Clemens, Johnson, Smoltz, and Ryan. Smoltz faded at age 41 while Johnson and Clemens had their last good seasons at 42. Verlander turns 41 before the start of the season and even has a player option he can exercise for 2025 if he reaches 140 innings in 2024. You should anticipate statistical decline as Verlander continue to age like a fine wine while also considering 2024 may be the final year we see this future Hall of Famer pitch. Read Past Outlooks
Plans to continue pitching in 2025
Verlander said Wednesday that he plans to continue his major-league career in 2025, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
Verlander -- who will turn 42 in February -- battled through a disappointing 2024 season, finishing with a 5.48 ERA and 74:27 K:BB over 90.1 innings covering 17 starts before being left off the Astros wild-card roster. He began the year on the injured list with a shoulder problem and also missed substantial time with a neck issue, an injury which he has indicated he might have come back too soon from and could have affected his performance. Given his age and the season he just had, Verlander will enter free agency with question marks, but he shouldn't have trouble finding a team willing to take a shot on a bounce-back showing in 2025.
Verlander -- who will turn 42 in February -- battled through a disappointing 2024 season, finishing with a 5.48 ERA and 74:27 K:BB over 90.1 innings covering 17 starts before being left off the Astros wild-card roster. He began the year on the injured list with a shoulder problem and also missed substantial time with a neck issue, an injury which he has indicated he might have come back too soon from and could have affected his performance. Given his age and the season he just had, Verlander will enter free agency with question marks, but he shouldn't have trouble finding a team willing to take a shot on a bounce-back showing in 2025.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Justin Verlander generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Justin Verlander generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-19%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .201 | 213 | 50 | 155 | 19 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .240 | 190 | 51 | 198 | 26 | |||
2024vs Left | .244 | 42 | 15 | 44 | 10 | |||
2024vs Right | .303 | 32 | 12 | 54 | 5 | |||
2023vs Left | .214 | 68 | 18 | 60 | 5 | |||
2023vs Right | .237 | 76 | 27 | 79 | 13 | |||
2022vs Left | .163 | 103 | 17 | 51 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .208 | 82 | 12 | 65 | 8 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-8%
ERA on Road
2024
-46%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.23 | 1.07 | 203.2 | 9.3 | 1.8 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 2.97 | 1.06 | 224.0 | 7.8 | 2.4 | ||||
2024Home | 7.98 | 1.60 | 29.1 | 5.8 | 3.1 | ||||
2024Away | 4.28 | 1.28 | 61.0 | 8.1 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Home | 3.23 | 1.08 | 86.1 | 8.5 | 2.0 | ||||
2023Away | 3.20 | 1.20 | 76.0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | ||||
2022Home | 1.64 | 0.88 | 88.0 | 11.1 | 1.2 | ||||
2022Away | 1.86 | 0.78 | 87.0 | 7.9 | 1.8 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Justin Verlander compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.74K/9
7.4BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.5Fastball
93.5 mphERA
5.48WHIP
1.38BABIP
.315GB/FB
0.66Left On Base
66.3%Exit Velocity
81.8 mphBarrels/BBE
3.9%Spin Rate
2380 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
20.0%Swinging Strike
9.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Verlander See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
After undergoing Tommy John surgery in October of 2020, Verlander missed all of 2021. Most tempered expectations, citing no one this late in his career has come back from the procedure to immediately regain previous form. A few suggested if anyone could do it, it was Verlander. They were right. At 39, Verlander captured his third Cy Young award, posting a 1.75 ERA over 175 frames. He benefited from a .240 BABIP and 80.5% LOB mark, but Verlander's 23.4 K-BB% ranked eighth among qualified pitchers and a 2.49 FIP, 3.23 xFIP and 3.09 SIERA are representative of an outstanding campaign. However, they also portend an ERA correction. It's hard not to give Verlander SP1 status. It's also fair to be leery of a repeat. The early market comes with an injury discount, but it still boils down to your risk aversion and willingness to invest in a 40-year-old as your staff anchor. His team context remains strong after he agreed to a two-year pact with the Mets this winter.
More Fantasy News
Excluded from wild-card roster
Verlander is not on the Astros' roster for the American League Wild Card Series versus the Tigers, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Grabs win in Cleveland
Verlander (5-6) picked up the win Saturday against the Guardians, allowing three runs on seven hits while striking out five over six innings. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky in no-decision
Verlander came away with a no-decision in Friday's 9-7 win over the Angels, surrendering six runs on eight hits and a walk over 4.2 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win since May
Verlander (4-6) picked up the win over the Angels on Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks over five innings while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged for eight runs
Verlander (3-5) took the loss Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing eight runs on eight hits and a walk over three innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to leave Houston
Verlander isn't likely to re-sign with the Astros during the offseason, reports Brian McTaggart of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
The 41-year-old has spent most of the past seven years in Houston, but he suffered through the worst season of his career in 2024 with a 5.48 ERA over 90.1 innings. Verlander was limited to 17 starts due to neck and shoulder issues but plans to continue his big-league career in 2025. He should be able to land a contract somewhere, though it likely won't come close to the two-year, $86.67 million deal he inked with the Mets in 2022.
The 41-year-old has spent most of the past seven years in Houston, but he suffered through the worst season of his career in 2024 with a 5.48 ERA over 90.1 innings. Verlander was limited to 17 starts due to neck and shoulder issues but plans to continue his big-league career in 2025. He should be able to land a contract somewhere, though it likely won't come close to the two-year, $86.67 million deal he inked with the Mets in 2022.