Justin Topa

Justin Topa

34-Year-Old PitcherRP
Minnesota Twins
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Topa will look to re-establish himself as a key setup man after essentially a lost season. He began 2024 on the injured list due to left patellar tendinitis and then suffered a small tear in his left patellar tendon while rehabbing in late May. Topa finally returned to throw 2.1 innings in September. He throws a bowling-ball sinker that can reach the high 90-mph range and his slider can be a swing-and-miss weapon. He generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile in 2023. He still holds some promise as a setup man if he can shake his injury woes from last year. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in November of 2024.
Returns to action
PMinnesota Twins
March 17, 2025
Topa (shoulder) worked one inning of relief in Monday's 4-2 Grapefruit League loss to the Pirates, striking out two while giving up an earned run on one hit.
ANALYSIS
Topa made his first Grapefruit League appearance since March 6, when he exited that game due to shoulder tightness. He made an appearance in a minor-league game Friday and checked out fine, prompting the Twins to include him back on the Grapefruit League pitching schedule. Topa will look to re-establish himself as a key setup man for Minnesota in 2025 after throwing just 2.1 innings last season due to a left knee injury.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
17
Last 10 Games
17
Last 5 Games
17
How many pitches does Justin Topa generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Justin Topa generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .213 107 24 10 20 2 2 2
Since 2023vs Right .249 182 39 9 42 4 0 2
2025vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right .000 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .200 5 1 0 1 0 0 0
2024vs Right .000 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .216 101 23 10 19 2 2 2
2023vs Right .253 178 38 8 42 4 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 2.70 1.29 33.1 2 1 2 9.5 2.7 0.3
Since 2023Away 2.35 0.99 38.1 3 3 1 6.6 2.1 0.7
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0.00 3.00 .333333 0 0 0 0.0 27.0 0.0
2024Home 0.00 0.43 2.1 0 0 0 7.7 0.0 0.0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.90 1.35 31.0 2 1 2 9.6 2.9 0.3
2023Away 2.37 0.97 38.0 3 3 1 6.6 1.9 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Justin Topa compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
0.0
 
BB/9
27.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
3.00
 
BABIP
.000
 
GB/FB
0.00
 
Left On Base
100.0%
 
Exit Velocity
0.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
0 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%
 
Swinging Strike
0.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Topa See More
The Z Files: Normalizing the ATC Pitching Projections
17 days ago
Todd Zola tries to remove volume from the equation when determining the value of pitchers, and finds that the market may have over-corrected on Logan Webb.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL Central
22 days ago
Brad Johnson tackles the American League Central, and in Detroit ace Tarik Skubal flashed his massive upside in 2024 and will be at the top of the rotation for the Tigers.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL Central
February 29, 2024
Brad Johnson looks at the American League Central, and in Cleveland, he's been won over by Shane Bieber, whose once rather-average stuff has improved significantly.
Closer Encounters: 2024 Closer Rankings 2.0
February 1, 2024
Several key reliever signings have shaken up Ryan Rufe's closer rankings, allowing Jhoan Duran to move into the top three.
The Z Files: Projecting Pitcher's BABIP
January 13, 2024
Todd Zola considers a new approach to regressing a pitcher's BABIP, which suggests better days should be ahead for Hunter Greene.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2021
With two Tommy John surgeries and only 18.1 major league innings on his resume, Topa looked healthy during spring training after Seattle acquired him via trade last January. The 32-year-old didn't break camp with the Mariners, but he was recalled early in the season and given opportunities to pitch in a setup role. With health prevailing, Topa pitched a career-high 69 innings across 75 appearances (T-2nd among relievers) and finished with 5 wins, 3 saves and 24 holds (T-11th). With a sinker-heavy approach (-8 degree launch angle on batted balls), the right-hander generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile. He also implemented a successful cutter against left-handed batters. Topa figures to open 2024 as one of Minnesota's primary setup men after a January trade from Seattle and is a solid target in leagues that count holds, but don't dismiss the health risks that come along with clicking his name in the draft room.
While it was only 7.2 innings, Topa opened eyes with his performance in 2020. A 17th-round pick by the Pirates in 2013, Topa was out of affiliated ball a couple years later. He spent time in the independent Can-Am league and a year in the Rangers organization before the Brewers took a chance on him late in 2019. Topa spent the first month of the 2020 season at the alternate site, ultimately debuting Sept. 1. The right-hander went on to rack up 12 strikeouts without a walk and only one homer allowed. He throws a bowling-ball sinker that is routinely up at 97-98 and generates a good number of groundballs, and his slider is a real swing-and-miss weapon. Devin Williams has received a lot of attention and deservedly so, but don't sleep on Topa in this Milwaukee bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Slated to pitch Monday
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 16, 2025
Topa (shoulder) is scheduled to pitch in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates, Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws bullpen session
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 12, 2025
Topa (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, the Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't need MRI on shoulder
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 8, 2025
Topa is dealing with right shoulder tightness, but he has not needed an MRI, the Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with shoulder discomfort
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 6, 2025
Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said that Topa was removed from Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Orioles due to right shoulder tightness, Bobby Nightengale of The Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves with apparent injury
PMinnesota Twins
Undisclosed
March 5, 2025
Topa was removed from Wednesday's Cactus League appearance against the Orioles with an apparent injury, Bobby Nightengale of The Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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