Juan Soto

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Free Agent

2024 Stats

AVG

.288

RBI

109

128

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

All's well that ends well? Soto was hitting .202 with five homers and 11 RBI as the calendar flipped to May, making many fantasy managers rather nervous watching their first round foundational pick get off to such a poor start. Soto went on to turn things around, hitting 30 homers, driving in 98, and hitting .290 for the rest of the season to finish as the 16th most valuable fantasy player in our standard rankings. He was one of three qualified hitters with more walks than strikeouts in 2023 and has still not fallen below the .400 mark for a season on-base percentage in his entire career. The batting average has taken a tumble since the 2020-2021 season but the volume is still in place for the other statistics. After getting traded to the Yankees for his final year before free agency, Soto will gain a massive home-park power boost, as Yankee Stadium rates as the second best park for lefty power, per Baseball Savant's park factors, while San Diego rated as the fifth-worst such park. There will be immense pressure on him to produce in pinstripes as his free agency looms next winter. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#10

ADP

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man No

Height 6'2"

Weight 232

DOB 10/25/1998

Born Santo Domingo, DR

College None

Drafted 2015 WSH

Receives qualifying offer

OFFree Agent

November 4, 2024

Soto received a qualifying offer from the Yankees on Monday, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
Soto is expected to decline the offer in what is simply a procedural move for the Yankees, who would receive draft compensation should the 26-year-old superstar sign with another team in free agency. Soto is the biggest name headed to the open market, and he's coming off his first season with the Yankees with a slash line of .288/.419/.569 with 41 home runs and 109 RBI across 713 plate appearances during the regular season.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

113

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+18%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+3%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+21%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+34%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.824	669	94	28	86	8	.247	.380	.444
Since 2022vs Right	.975	1415	224	75	194	17	.280	.425	.550
2024vs Left	.966	226	37	13	42	3	.278	.416	.550
2024vs Right	.999	487	91	28	67	4	.293	.421	.578
2023vs Left	.813	207	26	8	21	4	.256	.377	.436
2023vs Right	.980	501	71	27	88	8	.283	.424	.556
2022vs Left	.701	236	31	7	23	1	.210	.347	.354
2022vs Right	.942	427	62	20	39	5	.261	.431	.511
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+10%

OPS on Road

2024

+6%

OPS on Road

2023

+24%

OPS on Road

2022

+1%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.880	1020	144	46	132	7	.254	.397	.483
Since 2022Away	.971	1064	174	57	148	18	.284	.423	.547
2024Home	.960	347	60	20	59	2	.285	.401	.559
2024Away	1.017	366	68	21	50	5	.292	.437	.580
2023Home	.827	349	39	12	45	3	.240	.398	.429
2023Away	1.026	359	58	23	64	9	.307	.422	.604
2022Home	.847	324	45	14	28	2	.233	.392	.455
2022Away	.859	339	48	13	34	4	.251	.410	.449
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Juan Soto compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

1.08

BB Rate

18.1%

K Rate

16.7%

BABIP

.298

ISO

.281

AVG

.288

OBP

.419

SLG

.569

OPS

.989

wOBA

.426

Exit Velocity

94.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

43.1%

Barrels/PA

12.8%

Expected BA

.319

Expected SLG

.658

Sprint Speed

22.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

43.6%

Line Drive %

20.4%

Fly Ball %

36.0%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Juan Soto See More

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6 days ago

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Baseball is an incredibly difficult game, and even players with Hall of Fame skill sets will struggle for stretches. At the end of June, Soto was batting just .224. It leaked in the media that Soto had turned down the Nationals' 15-year, $440 million offer, setting the stage for a blockbuster trade that sent Soto out West for an all-time prospect haul. Batting average, as we know, has its limitations, and in Soto's case his .242 season mark is downright misleading. He still hit the ball with incredible authority and chased pitches outside of the zone at a lower rate than anyone. The Padres did not run much last season under manager Bob Melvin, but everything else sets up well for a big-time rebound in Soto's first full season in San Diego.

Soto, at 23 years old, is already arguably the best hitter in baseball. He has put up the type of stats from ages 19-22 that we expect to see from players in their prime years of 25-28, and a .301/.432/.550 career slash line is cheat-code worthy. He has improved his walk rate every year in the majors and has reduced his strikeout rate so much so that he has nearly a 50-50 chance to reach base every time he steps to the plate. A repeat of 110-plus runs should not be too much of a problem for him although there are more question marks than answers in the Nationals' current projected lineup. A rebound season from Cesar Hernandez and another solid Josh Bell season should lead to RBI chances for Soto, but the lack of talent behind him in the lineup could lead to more of what we saw after the trade deadline when the league walked Soto 29% of the time as he posted a .333/.525/.578 slash line.

Already a fantasy first-rounder before his 22nd birthday, Soto's 2020 exploits cemented him as a top-five pick, just a handful of steals away from No. 1 overall consideration. His biggest fans will take him there regardless. Soto's .351/.490/.695 slash line is even more remarkable considering he had a positive COVID-19 test the last week of summer camp and missed the first eight games of the season, catching a break that some of the Nationals' schedule was postponed in early August. The scary thing is Soto's production is fully supported by most Statcast metrics falling 90th percentile and higher. The exception is sprint speed, but he's a heady runner so maintaining double-digit steals is plausible. With an advanced eye, Soto is even better for OBP and points leagues, though some of his walk rate emanated from the Barry Bonds treatment in September. Even with batted-ball regression, Soto is a Triple Crown candidate.

Given what we saw from Soto at ages 19 and 20, it seems reasonable to say a Hall of Fame foundation is being laid. Soto was a top-12 rate contributor in the game by wRC+ in 2019, and he continued to shine on the biggest stage with a .277/.373/.554 line and five homers in the postseason. His K% and BB% were nearly identical to his marks from 2018 at 20.0% and 16.4%, respectively, and his xSLG, xwOBA and xwOBA on contact all ranked within the top 5% of the league. Soto also chipped in 12 steals in just 13 attempts. With that, he finished as the No. 13 roto hitter despite making a trip to the IL in May with back spasms. This profile is truly special and there aren't really any holes in his game. Not having Anthony Rendon ahead of him to drive in may hurt Soto's RBI count and we should probably expect a return to single-digit steals, but regardless the bat is good enough to warrant a first-round pick.

Simply put, Soto had one of the best seasons for a teenager of all time. His talent has never been in question, but the fact he even made his debut in 2018 came as a huge surprise considering he opened the year at Low-A. Soto arrived in the majors May 20 and made an immediate impact, homering in his first career start. He never looked back after that, posting a stellar .923 OPS and missing out on the Rookie of the Year award only because of an equally impressive season from Ronald Acuna. Among MLB hitters with at least 450 PA, Soto ranked sixth in BB% (16.0), 10th in wRC+ (146) and 12th in BB/K (0.80). Again, he was 19 when he did this. He handled righties (152 wRC+) and lefties (128 wRC+) just fine, so don't worry about a platoon. The loss of Bryce Harper may cost him some RBI and runs, but it also likely locks him in as the cleanup hitter indefinitely.

A fractured right ankle, hamate bone surgery and hamstring strain combined to limit one of the game's most exciting young prospects to just 32 games in 2017. That didn't stop him from reminding dynasty-league owners of his extreme upside when he was on the field. Soto's 172 wRC+ ranked third among Sally League hitters with at least 80 plate appearances. He walked more than he struck out, despite being the third youngest hitter to spend the majority of his season in that league. In addition to an elite approach and hit tool, Soto projects to provide 30-plus homer power in his prime seasons, but he won't generate much value with his legs. Given how advanced his bat is, it would not be surprising if he were aggressively assigned to the Carolina League after just 23 games at Low-A. The ankle and hamate injuries seem flukey, so while it's obviously concerning that he couldn't stay healthy in his first full season, it would be a mistake to discount him too much. All the tools are here for Soto to finish the season as a top-five prospect.

While he has not yet played above short-season ball, Soto made too much noise with his bat last year to qualify as an under-the-radar target in dynasty league drafts. He was seen as an advanced hitter with above-average power potential when the Nationals signed him out of the Dominican Republic for $1.5 million in 2015. So far, Soto has delivered on that promise and then some. He slashed .368/.420/.553 with five home runs, five steals and a 29:17 K:BB in 51 games across stops in the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn leagues, all before turning 18. It is quite rare for a player with the potential for plus power to be showing off an excellent approach and a plus hit tool against professional pitching at an age when most players are between their junior and senior years of high school. Soto should be valued similarly to the top prospects from the 2016 draft class and could follow the same aggressive promotion pattern as organizational mate Victor Robles.

More Fantasy News

Sitting for regular-season finale

OFNew York Yankees

September 29, 2024

Soto is absent from Sunday's lineup against the Pirates, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
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Clubs 41st homer

OFNew York Yankees

September 26, 2024

Soto went 2-for-4 with a walk, a home run, two runs scored and three RBI in Wednesday's 9-7 loss to the Orioles.

ANALYSIS
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Returns to lineup

OFNew York Yankees

September 21, 2024

Soto (knee) will start in right field and bat second Saturday against the Athletics.

ANALYSIS
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Scratched from lineup

OFNew York Yankees

Knee

September 20, 2024

Soto (knee) was removed from Friday's lineup against Oakland, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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In Friday's lineup

OFNew York Yankees

September 20, 2024

Soto (knee) will start in right field and bat second Friday against the Athletics.

ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Qualifying offer will be extended

OFFree Agent

November 4, 2024

The Yankees are expected to extend Soto a $21.05 million qualifying offer, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.

ANALYSIS
It would be among the easiest decisions general manager Brian Cashman has made. Soto, of course, will reject the offer, as he is in line to receiving a massive, long-term deal this winter. The Yankees will be among those in the thick of the bidding for the outfielder, with the Mets and Dodgers also among those expected to be in the mix.

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