Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda

26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Tampa Bay Rays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Aranda has done nothing but rake since advancing to the advanced levels of the minor leagues. .330/.426/.495 in High A ball, .325/.410/.540 in Double-A, and .328/.421/.565 in Tirple-A ball over nearly 900 plate appearances. However, none of that has translated into major league success as he owns a career .212/.311/.346 line in 190 major league plate appearances sprinkled over the past two seasons. Aranda is a patient hitter who is very accepting of his walks and made solid contact s a minor leaguer but the contact has been an issue as a big leaguer with a 28% strikeout rate and and 78% contact rate at the big league level. Aranda is nearly undraftable until the reserves for a few reasons, primarily because he is DH-only on draft day. Secondly, he is a terrible defender with poor range and has trouble with lefties so he loses playing time due to both deficiencies. Some may label him as Luiz Arraez lite whereas it would be more prudent to call him an Arraez knockoff. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#420
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rays in March of 2024.
Sitting versus Skubal
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 24, 2024
Aranda is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game in Detroit.
ANALYSIS
The left-handed hitter has homered in three straight contests, but with southpaw ace Tarik Skubal on the bump for the Tigers in this one, Aranda will take a seat. Brandon Lowe will be at first base for the Rays in the series opener.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
18
4
4
1
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+57%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+121%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+119%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .457 35 2 0 0 0 .133 .257 .200
Since 2022vs Right .718 298 43 10 33 0 .232 .315 .403
2024vs Left .557 19 1 0 0 0 .176 .263 .294
2024vs Right .765 124 21 6 14 0 .243 .315 .450
2023vs Left .333 9 1 0 0 0 .000 .333 .000
2023vs Right .735 94 12 2 13 0 .247 .340 .395
2022vs Left .286 7 0 0 0 0 .143 .143 .143
2022vs Right .626 80 10 2 6 0 .197 .288 .338
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+59%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+71%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .727 157 24 5 19 0 .226 .318 .409
Since 2022Away .660 176 21 5 14 0 .218 .301 .359
2024Home .879 56 10 4 10 0 .269 .321 .558
2024Away .641 87 12 2 4 0 .211 .299 .342
2023Home .542 50 7 0 5 0 .167 .280 .262
2023Away .863 53 6 2 8 0 .289 .396 .467
2022Home .725 51 7 1 4 0 .233 .353 .372
2022Away .424 36 3 1 2 0 .143 .167 .257
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jonathan Aranda compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
22.4%
 
BABIP
.264
 
ISO
.195
 
AVG
.234
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.430
 
OPS
.737
 
wOBA
.324
 
Exit Velocity
91.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
47.4%
 
Barrels/PA
11.2%
 
Expected BA
.260
 
Expected SLG
.523
 
Sprint Speed
23.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
50.5%
 
Line Drive %
14.4%
 
Fly Ball %
35.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Last year saw Luis Arraez surprise many with his hitting prowess at the plate that helped them, and Minnesota, gloss over his defensive struggles in the field. Aranda is that same story, but at the minor league level. Since graduating from the lower levels of the minors, he has hit .330 in High-A, .325 in Double-A, and .318 in Triple-A over the course of nearly 900 plate appearances with over a .400 OBP. Simply put, the young man can hit and he does so to all fields. He does not have Arraez's same incredible contact rate, but he does share the defensive challenges in that Aranda does not have a full-time defensive home. He lacks the range a modern day second baseman needs with the shift rules in place and he is not terribly quick either. The crowded depth chart in Tampa Bay with many players currently out of options could have Aranda right back in Durham if the club does not trade him first to a club more forgiving of his defensive shortcomings.
Aranda was 62 percent better than the average Double-A hitter and 70 percent better than the average High-A hitter during his breakout age-23 season. His exploits earned him a spot on the Rays' 40-man roster this offseason. While at Double-A, he played 48 games at first base, 17 games at second base and 10 games at third base. It will be his bat that earns him a look either this year or next, as he hit .330/.418/.543 with an 18.5 K% on the season. His 25.2 LD% and 39.0 FB% at Double-A were particularly encouraging marks. At 5-foot-10, 173 pounds, Aranda looks more like a second baseman than a first baseman, but it's just a matter of getting his left-handed bat in the lineup somewhere, so he will also likely get starts at designated hitter. He should spend most of the year at Triple-A.
More Fantasy News
Goes deep in third straight
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 23, 2024
Aranda went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run Sunday against the Blue Jays.
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Homers again in win
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2024
Aranda went 2-for-3 with two-run home run, a walk and an additional run scored in Saturday's 3-2 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Pops fourth homer
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2024
Aranda went 1-for-3 with a solo home run Friday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Getting regular look in lineup
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 14, 2024
Aranda went 1-for-4 with a solo home run Friday against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Swats second homer
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 12, 2024
Aranda went 2-for-3 with a walk and a solo home run in Wednesday's 3-2 loss to the Phillies.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could have prominent role in 2024
1BTampa Bay Rays
October 30, 2023
Aranda "seems likely to get a decent 2024 opportunity," Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Aranda has nothing left to prove in the minors, having dominated at Triple-A Durham for the second year in a row in 2023 with a 1.063 OPS. The 25-year-old has just a .656 OPS in 190 plate appearances at the big-league level, but playing time has been sporadic. It's possible Aranda might not have a set starting position heading into 2024, but he could still see regular at-bats across multiple infield spots and also designated hitter.
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