Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
60-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan had a roller-coaster season for the Twins as he had a 2.98 ERA with a 9.65 K/9 and 0.91 WHIP through his first 15 starts of the season. He then seemingly ran out of gas by posting a 8.63 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over this next seven starts before he went on the injured list with a strained groin. His final eight starts after he returned were not much better (5.90 ERA) and the Twins limited him to one short two-inning start in the playoffs. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (92.3 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 29.3% K% and 14.2% swinging strike rate. His weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (31.6% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. Home runs were especially an issue last season with a career-worst 1.78 HR/9 driven by a high 14.9% HB/FB%. He usually limits the damage for home runs by typically having one of the lowest walk rates in baseball (5.1% BB%). Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park and improve one of his off-speed pitches, which all took a step backward last year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#97
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2022.
Won't return in regular season
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
August 27, 2024
The Twins transferred Ryan (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Ryan won't be eligible for activation until Oct. 9, which means he won't return before the end of the regular season or for the wild-card round of the playoffs. The right-hander is dealing with a Grade 2 teres major strain and could be available at some point later in the fall if the Twins make a deeper postseason run. The transaction opens up a spot on the 40-man roster for waiver pickup Michael Tonkin.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Joe Ryan generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ryan generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .210 869 197 58 167 30 6 26
Since 2022vs Right .241 945 298 46 213 52 3 45
2024vs Left .203 255 61 11 49 8 3 9
2024vs Right .229 283 86 12 61 16 3 10
2023vs Left .222 315 80 20 64 11 1 9
2023vs Right .269 357 117 14 91 19 0 23
2022vs Left .202 299 56 27 54 11 2 8
2022vs Right .219 305 95 20 61 17 0 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.57 1.02 232.0 19 11 0 10.6 2.1 1.2
Since 2022Away 4.29 1.17 211.2 12 14 0 9.5 2.1 1.7
2024Home 3.92 0.96 66.2 5 3 0 9.6 1.4 1.4
2024Away 3.29 1.01 68.1 2 4 0 10.0 1.7 1.2
2023Home 3.83 1.08 82.1 7 4 0 12.1 1.6 1.3
2023Away 5.22 1.26 79.1 4 6 0 9.8 2.2 2.3
2022Home 3.04 1.01 83.0 7 4 0 9.8 3.1 1.0
2022Away 4.22 1.22 64.0 6 4 0 8.6 2.5 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ryan compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.39
 
K/9
9.8
 
BB/9
1.5
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
3.60
 
WHIP
0.99
 
BABIP
.280
 
GB/FB
0.88
 
Left On Base
69.5%
 
Exit Velocity
81.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2266 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.4%
 
Swinging Strike
13.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Ryan showed his late season 2021 callup promise was not fluke as he had a strong rookie season with 13 wins and 3.55 ERA. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (91.5 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an above-average 9.2 K/9 and 12% swinging strike rate. As a fly-ball pitcher (27.7% GB%), home runs can be a worry (1.2 HR/9), but he limits the damage with a plus walk rate (2.88 BB/9). He missed three weeks with Covid-19 in late May/early June, but was otherwise healthy. He should provide a steady productive presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation.
As a minor-leaguer, Ryan had always logged very impressive statistics (career 2.67 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) thanks to an extremely deceptive 91-mph fourseam fastball he leaned on heavily (over 60% usage). The Rays opted to cash him out before he ever pitched in the majors, along with pitching prospect Drew Strotman, for 10 weeks of Nelson Cruz. The early returns suggest the Twins landed a long-term rotation anchor. He struck out more than five in only one of his five starts (11 K's against a very weak Cubs lineup), but Ryan was stingy with baserunners (13 in 22 IP) prior to a blowup outing in his final start of the year against the Tigers. There are dozens of pitching prospects with more exciting repertoires, but given the fact that Ryan has good command and is locked into a big-league rotation spot, he is arguably more valuable than all but a handful of pitchers who have yet to make their big-league debuts. The 25-year-old righty threw 92.2 innings last season, so look for him to be limited to around 150 frames this year.
A seventh-round pick in 2018, Ryan didn't get a chance to follow up on his breakout 2019 with another strong statistical season, but he might have been better served getting major-league instruction at the Rays' alternate training site. The 24-year-old right-hander has a plus fastball, strong command and a looping delivery that hitters have a hard time picking up, a package that was enough to dominate hitters in the low minors, but any hope of a future in the rotation would likely require a dramatic expansion of his arsenal. Working with better coaching last year might have helped unlock his embryonic curve, slider and changeup, however. Ryan might make his major-league debut in 2021 if he baffles Triple-A hitters the way he did A-ball opposition, but the repertoire he showed in 2019 could lead to early struggles.
Ryan led all qualified minor-league pitchers in FIP (1.91) and K-BB% (32.4) and finished second in strikeouts (183). Unfortunately, we can't point to a bevy of plus pitches and say that this breakout pitcher has frontline upside. He has one dominant pitch that he threw 75% of the time -- a 70-grade mid-90s fastball -- that is aided by a deceptive delivery and good command. His secondary pitches are so underdeveloped that we can't even say with confidence which offspeed pitches will be a part of his arsenal when he gets to the majors. Ryan's changeup probably has the most potential, but it is still in its nascent stages. He has tried several breaking balls, with his curveball showing the most potential. Ryan will return to Double-A and should reach Triple-A, but as a one-pitch flyball pitcher, his minor-league numbers greatly oversell his readiness to have success in a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Exam confirms shoulder issue
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
August 16, 2024
A second opinion on Ryan's shoulder showed a Grade 2 teres major strain, Stephen Hawkins of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to IL with teres major strain
PMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
August 9, 2024
The Twins placed Ryan on the 15-day injured list Friday with a Grade 2 right teres major strain, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoing MRI on Thursday
PMinnesota Twins
Triceps
August 8, 2024
Ryan will undergo an MRI on his injured right triceps Thursday, Darren Wolfson of SKOR North reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nursing triceps tightness
PMinnesota Twins
Triceps
August 7, 2024
Ryan was lifted from Wednesday's start versus the Cubs in the third inning due to right tricep tightness, Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits start due to injury
PMinnesota Twins
Undisclosed
August 7, 2024
Ryan was removed from Wednesday's start against the Cubs in the bottom of the third inning with an undisclosed injury, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May hit innings limit
PMinnesota Twins
August 19, 2022
Ryan exceeded 100 innings pitched for the season in his last start and is closing in on a new career-high total as a professional.
ANALYSIS
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.
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