Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
7-7
ERA
3.60
WHIP
0.99
K
147
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan was on track for the best season of his career with a 3.60 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 115 ERA+ before suffering a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (93.9 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 27.3% K% and 13.1% swinging strike rate. Meanwhile, his off-speed pitches graded blow overage. His real weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (35.7% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. However, he improved last season with 1.27 HR/9 from 1.78 HR/9 in 2023. Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park, improve his off-speed repertoire and stay healthy (he also struggled late in 2023 after missing time with a groin injury). Read Past Outlooks
Shoulder injury recovery on track
Ryan has made good progress in his recovery from a shoulder injury that ended his season in early August, Twins president of baseball operations Derek Falvey told MLB.com. "Reports on him have been nothing but positive, kind of exactly what we expect for this to recover," Falvey said. "So that's good news."
ANALYSIS
Ryan suffered a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 and missed the rest of the regular season. While no details were given about Ryan's progress, it sounds like he'll be ready for the start of spring training. He'll return to work at the top of the Minnesota rotation after going 7-7 with a 3.60 ERA and 9.8 K/9 in 23 starts last season.
Ryan suffered a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 and missed the rest of the regular season. While no details were given about Ryan's progress, it sounds like he'll be ready for the start of spring training. He'll return to work at the top of the Minnesota rotation after going 7-7 with a 3.60 ERA and 9.8 K/9 in 23 starts last season.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Joe Ryan generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ryan generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-11%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .210 | 197 | 58 | 167 | 26 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .241 | 298 | 46 | 213 | 45 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .203 | 61 | 11 | 49 | 9 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .229 | 86 | 12 | 61 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .222 | 80 | 20 | 64 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .269 | 117 | 14 | 91 | 23 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .202 | 56 | 27 | 54 | 8 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .219 | 95 | 20 | 61 | 12 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-17%
ERA at Home
2024
-16%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.57 | 1.02 | 232.0 | 10.6 | 2.1 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.29 | 1.17 | 211.2 | 9.5 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.92 | 0.96 | 66.2 | 9.6 | 1.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.29 | 1.01 | 68.1 | 10.0 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.83 | 1.08 | 82.1 | 12.1 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.22 | 1.26 | 79.1 | 9.8 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.04 | 1.01 | 83.0 | 9.8 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 4.22 | 1.22 | 64.0 | 8.6 | 2.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Joe Ryan compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
6.39K/9
9.8BB/9
1.5HR/9
1.3Fastball
93.9 mphERA
3.60WHIP
0.99BABIP
.280GB/FB
0.88Left On Base
69.5%Exit Velocity
81.6 mphBarrels/BBE
5.4%Spin Rate
2266 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.4%Swinging Strike
13.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Ryan had a roller-coaster season for the Twins as he had a 2.98 ERA with a 9.65 K/9 and 0.91 WHIP through his first 15 starts of the season. He then seemingly ran out of gas by posting a 8.63 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over this next seven starts before he went on the injured list with a strained groin. His final eight starts after he returned were not much better (5.90 ERA) and the Twins limited him to one short two-inning start in the playoffs. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (92.3 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 29.3% K% and 14.2% swinging strike rate. His weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (31.6% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. Home runs were especially an issue last season with a career-worst 1.78 HR/9 driven by a high 14.9% HB/FB%. He usually limits the damage for home runs by typically having one of the lowest walk rates in baseball (5.1% BB%). Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park and improve one of his off-speed pitches, which all took a step backward last year.
More Fantasy News
Won't return in regular season
The Twins transferred Ryan (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Exam confirms shoulder issue
A second opinion on Ryan's shoulder showed a Grade 2 teres major strain, Stephen Hawkins of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to IL with teres major strain
The Twins placed Ryan on the 15-day injured list Friday with a Grade 2 right teres major strain, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoing MRI on Thursday
Ryan will undergo an MRI on his injured right triceps Thursday, Darren Wolfson of SKOR North reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nursing triceps tightness
Ryan was lifted from Wednesday's start versus the Cubs in the third inning due to right tricep tightness, Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May hit innings limit
Ryan exceeded 100 innings pitched for the season in his last start and is closing in on a new career-high total as a professional.
ANALYSIS
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.