2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan was on track for the best season of his career with a 3.60 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 115 ERA+ before suffering a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (93.9 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 27.3 K% and 13.1% swinging-strike rate. Meanwhile, his off-speed pitches graded below average. His real weakness is as a flyball pitcher (35.7 GB%), he can be prone to the long ball. However, he improved last season with 1.27 HR/9 from 1.78 HR/9 in 2023. Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park, improve his off-speed repertoire and stay healthy (he also struggled late in 2023 after missing time with a groin injury). Read Past Outlooks

Looks sharp in spring debut
Ryan threw two scoreless innings with four strikeouts and a walk in his spring training debut in Thursday's win over the Yankees. "Great introduction to the season for Joe. He looked good," manager Rocco Baldelli told the Minnesota Star Tribune. "He even threw a nice slider or two, that little sweepy pitch that he throws, and showed a little feel for it. He's out there facing a good lineup, and he goes right at them."
ANALYSIS
Ryan reached 93-94 mph with his fastball and faced most of the starters in the Yankees lineup. Ryan suffered a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 and missed the rest of the regular season, but he had an MRI in November that showed a "complete resolution" of the shoulder strain and entering spring training health. It looks like he'll be full speed for Opening Day.
Ryan reached 93-94 mph with his fastball and faced most of the starters in the Yankees lineup. Ryan suffered a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 and missed the rest of the regular season, but he had an MRI in November that showed a "complete resolution" of the shoulder strain and entering spring training health. It looks like he'll be full speed for Opening Day.
Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .214 | 141 | 31 | 113 | 18 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .252 | 203 | 26 | 152 | 33 | |||
2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | .203 | 61 | 11 | 49 | 9 | |||
2024vs Right | .229 | 86 | 12 | 61 | 10 | |||
2023vs Left | .222 | 80 | 20 | 64 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .269 | 117 | 14 | 91 | 23 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-11%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.87 | 1.03 | 149.0 | 11.0 | 1.5 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 4.33 | 1.14 | 147.2 | 9.9 | 2.0 | ||||
2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Home | 3.92 | 0.96 | 66.2 | 9.6 | 1.4 | ||||
2024Away | 3.29 | 1.01 | 68.1 | 10.0 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Home | 3.83 | 1.08 | 82.1 | 12.1 | 1.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.22 | 1.26 | 79.1 | 9.8 | 2.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Ryan had a roller-coaster season for the Twins as he had a 2.98 ERA with a 9.65 K/9 and 0.91 WHIP through his first 15 starts of the season. He then seemingly ran out of gas by posting a 8.63 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over this next seven starts before he went on the injured list with a strained groin. His final eight starts after he returned were not much better (5.90 ERA) and the Twins limited him to one short two-inning start in the playoffs. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (92.3 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 29.3% K% and 14.2% swinging strike rate. His weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (31.6% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. Home runs were especially an issue last season with a career-worst 1.78 HR/9 driven by a high 14.9% HB/FB%. He usually limits the damage for home runs by typically having one of the lowest walk rates in baseball (5.1% BB%). Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park and improve one of his off-speed pitches, which all took a step backward last year.
More Fantasy News

No shoulder issues as spring begins
Ryan (shoulder) threw 36 pitches without any discomfort Thursday in his first bullpen session of the spring, MLB.com reports. "He came back from [the injury] the way we hoped he would. It gave him virtually pretty close to a normal offseason, which is what you're hoping for," said manager Rocco Baldelli.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing bullpen sessions
Ryan had an MRI in November that showed a "complete resolution" of the shoulder strain that ended his 2024 season in August, Phil Miller of the Minnesota Star Tribune reports. He's thrown three bullpen sessions this winter.
ANALYSIS
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Settles at $3 million
The Twins and Ryan (shoulder) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3 million contract Thursday, Darren Wolfson of Channel 5 Saint Paul reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shoulder injury recovery on track
Ryan has made good progress in his recovery from a shoulder injury that ended his season in early August, Twins president of baseball operations Derek Falvey told MLB.com. "Reports on him have been nothing but positive, kind of exactly what we expect for this to recover," Falvey said. "So that's good news."
ANALYSIS
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Won't return in regular season
The Twins transferred Ryan (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

May hit innings limit
Ryan exceeded 100 innings pitched for the season in his last start and is closing in on a new career-high total as a professional.
ANALYSIS
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.