Jarred Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Atlanta Braves
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kelenic failed to live up to the lofty expectations placed upon him in Seattle, but he will get a chance to start anew in Atlanta in 2024. The sixth overall pick in 2018, Kelenic was once viewed as a top prospect, if not the top prospect in all of baseball. Most Mets fans bemoaned his departure from the organization in the 2018 Edwin Diaz trade. After a disastrous first couple MLB seasons, Kelenic finally enjoyed a taste of big-league success in 2023, though he also missed a large portion of the year due to a fractured left foot, the result of kicking a water cooler in frustration. His poor luck on balls in play reversed and Kelenic finished above league average by many offensive measures. It's important to remember that he is still just 24 years old, and even with his strikeout issues (30.7 K%), he's shown some good things at the plate and on the bases. It's best to project a platoon role, but there may be upside from there in regards to playing time. His landing spot in Atlanta makes a post-hype gamble all the more intriguing. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#230
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $760,000 contract with Atlanta in March of 2024.
Losing work to Laureano
OFAtlanta Braves
September 18, 2024
Kelenic is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
The left-handed-hitting Kelenic has picked up just two starts in eight games, even while Atlanta has opposed six right-handed starters during that span. After previously occupying the strong side of a platoon in left field, Kelenic appears to have ceded everyday duties at the position to Ramon Laureano. Kelenic's reduction in playing time comes while he's managed a lowly .176/.240/.294 slash line with a 30.7 percent strikeout rate dating back to Aug. 10.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Batting Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Batting Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Batting Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
32
8
18
21
18
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
1
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+38%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+38%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .598 223 25 6 24 2 .208 .260 .338
Since 2022vs Right .703 823 88 27 87 23 .228 .299 .404
2024vs Left .516 72 7 1 6 0 .206 .236 .279
2024vs Right .711 377 42 14 39 7 .235 .295 .416
2023vs Left .774 92 12 4 15 1 .259 .315 .459
2023vs Right .738 324 32 7 34 12 .251 .330 .408
2022vs Left .426 59 6 1 3 1 .130 .203 .222
2022vs Right .587 122 14 6 14 4 .147 .230 .358
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .674 549 59 17 57 14 .224 .285 .389
Since 2022Away .688 497 54 16 54 11 .224 .298 .390
2024Home .735 232 27 9 24 4 .244 .299 .437
2024Away .619 217 22 6 21 3 .216 .272 .347
2023Home .700 210 21 4 23 7 .250 .310 .391
2023Away .795 206 23 7 26 6 .256 .345 .450
2022Home .487 107 11 4 10 3 .125 .206 .281
2022Away .601 74 9 3 7 2 .164 .243 .358
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jarred Kelenic compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
7.1%
 
K Rate
29.6%
 
BABIP
.300
 
ISO
.163
 
AVG
.231
 
OBP
.286
 
SLG
.393
 
OPS
.679
 
wOBA
.298
 
Exit Velocity
89.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
39.6%
 
Barrels/PA
6.2%
 
Expected BA
.243
 
Expected SLG
.418
 
Sprint Speed
22.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
35.1%
 
Line Drive %
24.8%
 
Fly Ball %
40.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jarred Kelenic See More
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Monday, September 30
35 days ago
Monday's top MLB DFS picks on FanDuel's single-game contest include Francisco Lindor, as the Mets try to book their tickets to the postseason.
The Z Files: Strategy and Rankings for the Underdog Fantasy Playoff Contest
39 days ago
Todd Zola examines strategies for the Underdog postseason contest, and notes that while Shoehi Ohtani may be the best player, you may not want to take him first overall.
Lineup Lowdown: National League
41 days ago
Ozzie Albies has temporarily given up switch hitting after returning from a broken left hand, but he's Atlanta's No. 2 hitter against both righties and lefties nonetheless.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
43 days ago
Jan Levine closes his column for the season by highlighting a few last-minute pickups while including a couple pitchers to stash for next year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Kelenic's sophomore season was worse than his rookie campaign. A strong spring finish earned him a starting job, but Kelenic was soon demoted to Triple-A Tacoma. He earned another callup in late July but was again overmatched by MLB pitching so the visit was again short-lived and he rejoined the Rainers before a final promotion in late September. This time, Kelenic impressed with a 1,107 OPS in seven games before he was hit by a pitch on the hand. While Kelenic's career .758 OPS and 19.1% strikeout rate facing hard stuff isn't great, it's Ruth-ian compared to his .418 OPS and 41.5% strikeout rate versus break balls and changeups. Be it pitch recognition or timing, Kelenic clearly has an issue, but it should be fixable. The catch is Seattle is in win now mode and has depth in the outfield, so Kelenic must hit to play. The talent to turn things round is there, the opportunity is in jeopardy.
We've been spoiled by some incredible prospect debuts in recent years. Kelenic does not fit in that category as his rookie year was nothing short of a colossal letdown. He finished with a miserable .181/.265/.350 line in 377 PA. Kelenic showed a pulse with an .854 OPS and seven homers over the final month of the season, and he swiped double-digit bags between Triple-A and the majors, but for a large portion of the year he was simply not doing damage on hittable pitches in the strike zone. His struggles in that regard are reflected in a bottom-eighth percentile xBA and middling 87.5 mph avgEV. Nobody these days is foolish enough to extrapolate his September over a full season, but somebody in your draft room is going to bet aggressively on a bounce-back from a player considered a top prospect in the game this time last year. It may be wise to wait another season and invest in a more proven option with that draft capital.
There was a stretch during summer camp in July where Kelenic was not only the prospect du jour, but the talk of the entire baseball world. Videos of his sweet left-handed home run swing were going viral and people were clamoring for him to make the big-league roster. He would have debuted in a 162-game season, but the rebuilding Mariners kept him at the alternate training site throughout the shortened season. With a good spring training, Kelenic will set himself up for a service-time manipulating April call-up or a long-term extension that would facilitate an Opening Day debut. He should assume a prominent spot in the lineup from day one and has five-category upside as a rookie. He could very reasonably go 25/15 during his age-21/22 season, but projecting his batting average and OBP is a more difficult assignment. The draft day price tag figures to only increase as we near the start of the season.
Kelenic has lived up to his billing as the top prep hitter from the 2018 draft, and after climbing from Low-A to Double-A in his first full season, he will soon be knocking on the door of the majors. Acquired from the Mets in last offseason's Robinson Cano/Edwin Diaz trade, Kelenic was supposed to be an average runner with a hit-over-power profile, but he seems faster (20-for-27 on SB attempts) and more intent on pulling the ball out to right field. His 17.9 LD% and 52.2 Pull% at Double-A would be concerning marks if it weren't his third level of his age-19/20 season. Still, it is worth tracking how he performs against upper-level pitching now that he can't just hunt fastballs in hitter's counts. A back injury limited him to three games in the Arizona Fall League. The Mariners had an overly aggressive promotion schedule for him last year and there's no reason to expect that to stop in 2020 if he performs.
The Mets cashed out Kelenic before his full-season debut -- if they had not, Seattle reportedly would not have included Edwin Diaz in the deal. Through 12 games in the GCL, he looked like the best player from the 2018 draft. That production was unsustainable (.514 BABIP, 58.3 Pull%), but it made him the talk of the prospect community. The No. 6 overall pick was promoted to the Appy League, where his production normalized and we got a better sense of his true talent. He showed plus speed (11-for-12 on SB attempts), hit for power (.178 ISO) and demonstrated a good handle of the strike zone (11.0 BB%, 19.5 K%). The rep on Kelenic coming into the draft was that he may be the best prep hitter in the class. He had reverse splits (.256/.340/.426 in 200 PA vs. RHP, .409/.490/.636 in 51 PA vs. LHP), which will be something to track at Low-A. Using the whole field more often will allow him to reach his ceiling as a five-category OF2.
More Fantasy News
Sitting versus southpaw
OFAtlanta Braves
September 17, 2024
Kelenic is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game in Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Not in Monday's lineup
OFAtlanta Braves
September 16, 2024
Kelenic is not in the lineup for Monday's game versus the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sitting Friday
OFAtlanta Braves
September 13, 2024
Kelenic is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Hitting bench against righty
OFAtlanta Braves
September 11, 2024
Kelenic is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sitting against lefty
OFAtlanta Braves
September 10, 2024
Kelenic is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receives vote of confidence
OFAtlanta Braves
October 4, 2024
Manager Brian Snitker said Friday that Kelenic has promise and a role with Atlanta entering 2025, reports Lindsay Crosby of AthlonSports.com.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old had a reduced role down the stretch and didn't start any of Atlanta's final 13 games, including the playoffs, as Ramon Laureano served as the primary left fielder. The club isn't ready to cut its losses, however, and Kelenic should begin next season with at least the role of backup center fielder. The availability of Ronald Acuna, who is returning from a torn ACL, will likely impact the outlooks for both Kelenic and Laureano, if he's still with the team, to start the 2025 campaign.
See All MLB Rumors