Grayson Rodriguez

Grayson Rodriguez

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 5/1/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
The right-hander was in the midst of an impressive sophomore campaign when he suffered a lat strain in early August, which sidelined him for the rest of the season. He was fully recovered by November and shouldn't enter spring training with any restrictions. Prior to the injury, Rodriguez had a 13-4 record through 20 starts with a 3.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 130:36 K:BB across 116.2 innings. Now entering his third season in the big leagues, the 25-year-old is primed to take a significant step forward in 2025 and could be serving as Baltimore's ace. The injury-shortened season could affect his ceiling if the Orioles decide to exercise caution this season, but Rodriguez should be able to handle a full starter's workload after building up to 165 innings during 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#183
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in March of 2025.
Throws bullpen session
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 28, 2025
Rodriguez (elbow) threw a bullpen session Friday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Rodriguez revealed afterward that it was the second time he's thrown from the mound since he received a cortisone shot for his right elbow inflammation. The right-hander is still relatively early on in a ramp-up process that is likely to take several more weeks, but he is moving in a positive direction.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2025
2024
2023
2025 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2024 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .239 462 118 44 99 19 3 15
Since 2023vs Right .261 544 141 34 131 23 3 16
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .205 241 68 20 45 10 1 6
2024vs Right .279 250 62 16 64 14 1 9
2023vs Left .277 221 50 24 54 9 2 9
2023vs Right .246 294 79 18 67 9 2 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.98 1.31 124.1 10 4 0 8.8 2.9 1.3
Since 2023Away 4.25 1.27 114.1 10 4 0 10.8 3.0 1.0
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 3.32 1.17 59.2 6 2 0 9.4 2.4 1.5
2024Away 4.42 1.32 57.0 7 2 0 10.7 3.2 0.8
2023Home 4.59 1.44 64.2 4 2 0 8.4 3.3 1.1
2023Away 4.08 1.22 57.1 3 2 0 10.8 2.8 1.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Grayson Rodriguez See More
Are We Any Good At Predicting Pitcher Injuries?
3 days ago
With supposed paragon of durability George Kirby opening the year on the injured list, it's time to ask whether or not we really have any idea about which pitchers are injury-prone.
Spring Training Job Battles: Final AL Update
4 days ago
Catch up on the players who won jobs in the final days of camp around the American League, including Cam Smith of the Astros.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Fantasy Baseball Top-300 Rankings
8 days ago
The latest update to the RotoWire Roundtable Rankings sees Jackson Chourio move into the back of the first round.
Spring Training Job Battles: American League Update
9 days ago
Several job battles have been settled around the American League, including the Royals' fifth starter job, which appears to have been won by Kris Bubic.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL East
9 days ago
Brad Johnson completes his pitching staff wrap up with the New York Yankees, who could be one of the best staffs this season with the addition of Max Fried.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Rodriguez's overall numbers were not impressive, but you see a better story once you break down his season. He surprisingly opened the season with Baltimore, but went 2-2 in 10 starts with a 7.35 ERA as he struggled with homers allowing 13 home runs in 45.1 innings around 56 strikeouts and 21 walks. The front office sent him down to AAA Norfolk where he shoved to a 4-0 record with a 1.96 ERA over 8 starts with improved command, which earned him a recall to the big leagues during the All-Star break. From there, all he did was go 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA over his final 13 starts while allowing 3 homers in 76.2 innings with 73 strikeouts and 21 walks. Rodriguez ramped up his fantasy stock with his summer performance, but it comes at a cost as he increased his workload 118% from 2022 to 2023 jumping from 75.2 innings to 165 when factoring in his regular and postseason work. His previous season high was 103 innings in 2021, so keep that in mind as you consider reaching for his upside on draft day.
Rodriguez, likely the most famous prospect-eligible pitcher, exited his 11th Triple-A start June 1 with a Grade 2 lat strain. Up to that point, the revered 6-foot-5 righty logged a 2.09 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 80:14 K:BB in 56 innings. By all accounts, Rodriguez would have made his big-league debut in June had he stayed healthy. He missed exactly three months and returned for a rehab assignment and three more Triple-A starts to close the season. Understandably rusty, Rodriguez posted a 4.12 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and walked as many batters (14) in 19.2 innings as he did in the 56 innings before he got hurt. At full health, Rodriguez's arsenal is beyond reproach, boasting several pitches that grade as at least plus. The shoulder injury and subsequent middling performance to close the year represented his first major road bump as a pro. It remains to be seen how he will bounce back, but the market already views him as a borderline top-200 pick in super early drafts. The Orioles' team context is much better than it once was, as the home park is now a good place to pitch and Rodriguez will be throwing to all-world catcher/leader Adley Rutschman. Rodriguez totaled 75.2 innings in 2022 so targeting him in fantasy is a quality over quantity bet in 2023.
The best pitcher who has yet to pitch in the majors, Rodriguez has a chance to join Baltimore's rotation sometime in the first half of the season. He didn't belong at High-A, where he opened the season, so we can essentially ignore what he did there in five starts as a 21-year-old with a bevy of monster pitch offerings and plus control. His 18-start run at Double-A was a tour de force, as he logged a 2.60 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 31.9 K-BB% in 79.2 innings. Rodriguez only threw more than five innings in a start once, as the Orioles limited him to 103 innings on the season. The 6-foot-5 righty's mid-to-high 90s fastball, low-80s slider and changeup grade out as borderline 70-grade offerings, and his fourth pitch is an above-average curveball. We have to be careful not to get too carried away with a pitching prospect of his ilk, as there's not much difference between his scouting report and the peak scouting reports of players like Alex Reyes, Forrest Whitley and MacKenzie Gore. That said, if Rodriguez stays healthy, he has a shot to be one of the best young pitchers in the game as early as 2023. Risk averse dynasty managers may want to explore cashing him out this offseason.
Rodriguez looks the part of a front-of-the-rotation horse, sitting in the mid-to-upper-90s with his fastball while standing an imposing 6-foot-5, 220 pounds. Selected out of a Texas high school with the 11th overall pick of the 2018 draft, not much about Rodriguez's profile has changed since then, but he has stayed healthy and has improved on the finer points of pitching. He projects to have three average or better secondary pitches, but there isn't a clear hierarchy in terms of which offspeed pitch (or pitches) will emerge as putaway offerings at the highest level. He has steadily improved his changeup and his slider might be his best current offspeed pitch, but it all hinges on his dominant fastball. If he locates that pitch consistently, he should develop into at least a mid-rotation starter, and if his secondary offerings trend up, Rodriguez could be the Orioles' Opening Day starter in a couple years.
Rodriguez passed his full-season debut with flying colors, leading the Sally League in K% (34.2) and K-BB% (24.7). The 6-foot-5, 220-pound righty was the third-youngest pitcher on the circuit and dominated Low-A hitters with a complete four-pitch arsenal that he commands well for a young pitcher his size. His mid-90s fastball (touches 98 mph) is a heavy offering with late life, while his curveball and slider each have a chance to be plus pitches. Rodriguez's changeup improved in pro ball and could be an above-average fourth pitch. The No. 11 overall pick in the 2018 draft had three five-inning starts with 10 strikeouts, illustrating just how dominant he can be when everything is working. It would be nice if his command improved a little, but realistically the main obstacle to him becoming at least a No. 2 starter will just be dodging a significant injury on his march to the big leagues.
For over a decade, the Orioles were the butt of jokes when it came to drafting and developing pitching prospects. They earned it. However, over the last two years they appear to be on the right track to shedding that notoriety. DL Hall, their 2017 first-round pick, and Rodriguez, their 2018 first-round pick, exhibit frontline starter traits and neither has suffered a catastrophic injury since entering Orioles custody. Rodriguez, who received a $4.3 million bonus after the Orioles selected him with the No. 11 overall pick, showcased a mid-90s fastball with late life as a Texas high schooler, but was sitting in the low-90s after signing. Velocity swings of a couple mph are not unusual for teenagers, but he will need to recapture his amateur velocity to reach his ceiling. He features a couple distinct breaking balls that could each become plus pitches down the road, and a developing changeup. At 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, he is equipped to eat innings.
More Fantasy News
IL move made official
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 27, 2025
The Orioles placed Rodriguez on the 15-day injured list Thursday with right elbow inflammation, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Bullpen session coming soon
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 25, 2025
Rodriguez (elbow) said Tuesday that he intends to throw a bullpen session later this week, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Building up throwing distance
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 24, 2025
Rodriguez (elbow) played catch from out to about 90 feet Monday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Throws from 75 feet
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 18, 2025
Rodriguez (elbow) began his throwing program by playing catch from 75 feet Tuesday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Throwing progression starts Tuesday
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
March 17, 2025
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said that Rodriguez (elbow) will play catch Tuesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Pushing for another chance
PBaltimore Orioles
July 7, 2023
Rodriguez has a 1.83 ERA and 37.8 percent strikeout rate in six starts for Triple-A Norfolk since being sent down in late May, per Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun, and it's possible the right-hander could rejoin the big-league rotation shortly after the All-Star break.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old was called up for his first taste of the big leagues in early April but was demoted after he posted a 7.35 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 10 starts. Rodriguez illustrated his potential with an 11.1 K/9, but he had difficulty keeping the ball in the park with a 2.6 HR/9. Cole Irvin and Dean Kremer haven't been anything special at the back end of Baltimore's rotation, so Rodriguez's next MLB opportunity could come sooner rather than later.
See All MLB Rumors