Francisco Alvarez
22-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.237
HR
11
RBI
47
R
39
SB
1
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average. Read Past Outlooks
Breather in second game
Alvarez is out of the lineup for the second game of Monday's doubleheader in Atlanta, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Perhaps Alvarez would have gotten the start had the Mets failed to capture the first game, but since they did win that contest it makes it an easy decision to rest him for this one. Luis Torrens will catch and bat eighth.
Perhaps Alvarez would have gotten the start had the Mets failed to capture the first game, but since they did win that contest it makes it an easy decision to rest him for this one. Luis Torrens will catch and bat eighth.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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23
6
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10
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+19%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .668 | 234 | 11 | 37 | .191 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .737 | 545 | 26 | 74 | .233 | ||||
2024vs Left | .806 | 82 | 5 | 15 | .239 | ||||
2024vs Right | .680 | 260 | 6 | 32 | .236 | ||||
2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
2022vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
2022vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .714 | 379 | 17 | 53 | .213 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .719 | 400 | 20 | 58 | .228 | ||||
2024Home | .727 | 166 | 7 | 23 | .221 | ||||
2024Away | .694 | 176 | 4 | 24 | .252 | ||||
2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
2022Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
2022Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.35BB Rate
8.8%K Rate
25.1%BABIP
.291ISO
.166AVG
.237OBP
.307SLG
.403OPS
.710wOBA
.313Exit Velocity
88.8 mphHard Hit Rate
29.7%Barrels/PA
4.4%Expected BA
.222Expected SLG
.368Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/secGround Ball %
52.2%Line Drive %
16.1%Fly Ball %
31.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Generally considered a top-10 real-life prospect - although more divisive on fantasy rankings - Alvarez is best known for his impressive age-to-level advancement through the minors and huge raw power. He got his first MLB cup of coffee as a 20-year-old after slashing .260/.374/.510 with a 24.8 K%, 14.1 BB% and 36.3 Hard% across Double-A and Triple-A. Alvarez, who turned 21 in November, is well ahead of the typical catcher his age on the developmental path. He is also an oddity from a physical standpoint, as he is generously listed at 5-foot-10 and a similarly favorable 233 pounds. We've seen boxy catchers have success, but there's no denying he is a 20-grade athlete who figures to get even less agile over the coming years. His hard-hit data and in-game performance suggest he could hit double-digit homers as a rookie, but it seems like a neutral batting average would be a best-case scenario. He will always be more valuable in OBP leagues. Alvarez underwent ankle surgery in October but is expected to be ready to compete for the starting catcher job in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Back in lineup
Alvarez (back) is starting at catcher and batting eighth for Sunday's game against the Brewers, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Saturday
Alvarez (back) isn't in the Mets' lineup Saturday against Milwaukee, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits early Friday
Alvarez was removed from Friday's game against the Brewers with back spasms, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Power surge continues
Alvarez went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI in Saturday's 6-3 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
Alvarez is absent from the lineup for Friday's game versus the Phillies, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Slumping in second half
Alvarez has a .433 OPS with just one homer in his past 30 games and admitted in late August that he "doesn't feel powerful," per Tim Healey of Newsday.
ANALYSIS
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.