Erick Fedde

31-Year-Old PitcherSP

St. Louis Cardinals

2024 Stats

W-L

9-9

ERA

3.30

WHIP

1.16

154

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Fedde is the latest example of a pitcher to remake his career after a stint overseas. The 32-year-old signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox last offseason following a dominating year in Korea with the NC Dinos. Fedde rode a revamped pitch mix which included a new sweeper to a 3.30 ERA over 31 starts for the White Sox and Cardinals. The right-hander's 21.2 percent strikeout rate wasn't ideal and that rate was just 19.7 percent from May on. Fedde's lack of swing and miss was offset somewhat by him accruing 177.1 innings, however, as his total of 154 punchouts was acceptable. The righty was less effective in 10 starts for the Cardinals (3.72 ERA) than he was in 21 starts for the White Sox (3.11 ERA), but a better ballpark and a better team in St. Louis should be a good thing for Fedde in 2025. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 200

DOB 2/25/1993

Born Las Vegas, NV

College UNLV

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 WSH

Strikes out 10 batters Wednesday

PSt. Louis Cardinals

September 25, 2024

Fedde (9-9) earned the win over Colorado on Wednesday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 batters over seven innings.

ANALYSIS
Fedde racked up 14 whiffs en route to his 10 punchouts, his most since he fanned 11 batters against the Twins on April 23. The right-hander picked up his second straight quality start, and he gave up two earned runs or fewer in five of his final seven outings. If Fedde doesn't pitch again this season, as expected, he'll finish the campaign with career-best marks in wins (nine), ERA (3.30), WHIP (1.16) and strikeouts (154) while tallying a career-high 31 starts and 177.1 innings.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Erick Fedde generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Erick Fedde generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

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9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-11%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-7%

BAA vs LHP

2023

No Stats

2022

-13%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.244	651	115	61	142	31	2	21
Since 2022vs Right	.274	648	133	49	161	26	2	20
2024vs Left	.224	372	75	34	75	16	2	13
2024vs Right	.242	354	79	18	79	14	2	7
2023vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022vs Left	.272	279	40	27	67	15	0	8
2022vs Right	.313	294	54	31	82	12	0	13
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-33%

ERA at Home

2024

-55%

ERA at Home

2023

No Stats

2022

-18%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	3.43	1.32	136.1	8	10	0	7.7	3.2	1.1
Since 2022Away	5.09	1.39	168.0	7	12	0	7.1	3.3	1.3
2024Home	1.94	1.12	74.1	6	4	0	7.5	2.7	0.6
2024Away	4.28	1.19	103.0	3	5	0	8.0	2.6	1.3
2023Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022Home	5.23	1.56	62.0	2	6	0	7.8	3.8	1.6
2022Away	6.37	1.69	65.0	4	7	0	5.5	4.4	1.4
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Stat Review

How does Erick Fedde compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.96

K/9

7.8

BB/9

2.6

HR/9

1.0

Fastball

93.1 mph

ERA

3.30

WHIP

1.16

BABIP

.279

GB/FB

1.15

Left On Base

78.7%

Exit Velocity

81.8 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.5%

Spin Rate

2079 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

23.6%

Swinging Strike

9.3%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Erick Fedde Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2022

2021

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

A 31-year-old with a career 5.41 ERA who hasn't made a major-league start in over a year wouldn't ordinarily have any fantasy appeal. Fedde, however, made the most of his time away from the majors, making 30 starts for the KBO's NC Dinos and pitching to a 2.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers came with excellent supporting stats such as his 29.5 percent strikeout rate and 4.9 percent walk rate. A healthy dose of skepticism regarding those numbers is fair given the level of competition, but it's far from unheard of for pitchers to figure things out in Korea and return to some success stateside. Chris Flexen recorded a 3.01 ERA with similar strikeout and walk rates to Fedde in his lone KBO campaign in 2020 and then returned to post sub-4.00 ERAs in two straight seasons, while Merrill Kelly spent four years in Korea and returned to post a 3.80 ERA across five MLB campaigns. The White Sox will hope that Fedde can follow a similar path, and the fact that he reinvented his arsenal overseas (adding a sweeper and adjusting his grips on other pitches) gives reason to believe he has a chance.

Fedde received his most extensive run in the majors as a starter last season, but he struggled to a 5.47 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 128:48 K:BB over 133.1 innings. However, his 21.7 percent strikeout rate and 8.1 percent walk rate were the best figures of his career, and his xFIP of 4.06 indicates he may have deserved some better results. The right-hander should remain a regular rotation piece to open 2022, though his availability for Opening Day is in question due to an oblique issue. Fedde has a fairly low ceiling but could be a decent streaming or deep-league option.

Fedde has remained consistent in many areas over the past two seasons, even though he had a limited sample during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He worked mainly as a starter in 2020, posting a career-best 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 50.1 innings. His 5.22 xFIP and 5.44 SIERA suggest that some of his results were due to luck, but both marks were quite similar to his results from 2019. The right-hander averaged a strikeout rate over 20.0% during his first two years in the league, but he's been just above 12% over the past two seasons, while his walk rate has remained steady. Fedde posted a 54.2 GB% in 2020, and was relatively effective at limiting meaningful contact with a 32.5% hard-hit rate. The 28-year-old likely earned the chance to compete for a back-end starting role to begin the season. However, he could wind up serving as a swingman for Washington, which would limit his fantasy value in 2021.

Fedde made 11 starts for the Nationals when not in the minors or on the shelf with a shoulder injury. He wasn't particularly effective when called upon, finishing the season with a 5.54 ERA. His underlying numbers were in line with those of a back-end starter, matching his prospect reports. The righty's 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate were each worse than league average, though neither by a large amount, and he kept the ball on the ground fairly well at a 53.1% clip. He was hurt by the long ball when batters did manage to hit it in the air, however, giving up a 22.2% HR/FB rate, nearly double the league average. If that number regresses this season, Fedde should be able to eat innings at the back of the rotation without hurting the Nationals too much. He looks to be the team's sixth starter heading into the year.

Fedde has the best shot to break camp as Washington's No. 5 starter as of early January, but the Nationals would undoubtedly prefer a better option. Fedde is entering his age-25 season and has made just 21 starts above High-A. His limited experience as a starter in the upper levels is due largely to the Nationals using him as a reliever at Double-A and Triple-A for a good chunk of last season. His slider grades out as a plus pitch, but his 93-mph fastball and improved changeup are just average offerings. Fedde's development brings flashbacks to the days when A.J. Cole was seen as a potential mid-rotation arm, then hit a wall against upper-level hitting and now projects to be a permanent member of the Nationals' bullpen. Fedde will continue to be developed as a starter for now, but he is more likely to develop into a No. 5 starter or setup man than a No. 3 starter.

Few prospects have seen their stock rise more in the last 12 months than Fedde. The 2014 first-round pick continued recovering from Tommy John surgery with flying colors, throwing 121 innings between High-A and Double-A while posting combined 9.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates. His fastball returned to the mid-90s with excellent life, his slider flashed as a true out pitch, and he even showed improvement with his changeup. As he's already 23 years old, the Nats have little reason to continue babying him, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him fire his last few frames in the majors. The development of that changeup remains key to his long-term value, as without it Fedde could find himself trying to find a role as a dominant late-inning reliever instead of a starter, but with Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez now in Chicago, the path is cleared for Fedde to challenge for a full-time rotation spot as soon as 2018.

The 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Fedde slid out of the top 10 after undergoing Tommy John surgery to close an outstanding career at UNLV. Making his pro debut in late June with short-season Auburn, the right-hander made eight strong starts before a promotion to Low-A Hagerstown to finish the year, and scouting reports had him back in his pre-surgery form with a mid-90s fastball that can touch higher as well as a developing slider and changeup that both have the makings of plus pitches. The Nationals have done very well in handling Lucas Giolito's development following his TJ surgery, and while the college-trained Fedde is older than Giolito, the organization won't likely rush him through the system. Expect the 22-year-old to return to Low-A in 2016 and get a possible midseason promotion if he's earned it, with his major league debut coming no earlier than late 2017.

The Nationals selected Fedde in the first round of the 2014 first-year player draft knowing that he would be rehabbing from Tommy John surgery performed just a month earlier, but given their track record with players like Lucas Giolito, you have to give them some credit for knowing what they're doing. In college, Fedde displayed a low-90s sinking fastball that he could crank up to 96 mph when he needed to, along with a sharp slider and the makings of a useful changeup. If he returns from surgery without a hitch, and used his time off the mound to improve his strength and fitness as well as rehabbing his elbow, he could advance through the Nats' system as quickly as their ultra-cautious plan will allow him. The earliest he'll realistically be knocking on the door of the major league roster is 2018, but keeper league owners who aren't deterred by that timetable could wind up with a gem if they grab him now.

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Registers quality start Thursday

PSt. Louis Cardinals

September 19, 2024

Fedde allowed one run on four hits and one walk while striking out three batters over six innings in a no-decision against Pittsburgh on Thursday.