Erick Fedde

Erick Fedde

32-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Fedde is the latest example of a pitcher to remake his career after a stint overseas. The 32-year-old signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox last offseason following a dominating year in Korea with the NC Dinos. Fedde rode a revamped pitch mix which included a new sweeper to a 3.30 ERA over 31 starts for the White Sox and Cardinals. The right-hander's 21.2 percent strikeout rate wasn't ideal and that rate was just 19.7 percent from May on. Fedde's lack of swing and miss was offset somewhat by him accruing 177.1 innings, however, as his total of 154 punchouts was acceptable. The righty was less effective in 10 starts for the Cardinals (3.72 ERA) than he was in 21 starts for the White Sox (3.11 ERA), but a better ballpark and a better team in St. Louis should be a good thing for Fedde in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#323
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox in December of 2023. Traded to the Cardinals in July of 2024.
Having rough spring
PSt. Louis Cardinals
March 15, 2025
Fedde has permitted seven runs on 10 hits, three walks and four strikeouts over 10 innings during Grapefruit League action.
ANALYSIS
Much of the damage came in his last start against the Marlins, when Fedde served up three home runs and six runs over four frames. Fedde had just a 19.7 percent strikeout rate from May on last season, and the lack of whiffs has continued this spring. However, while fantasy managers shouldn't count on many strikeouts, Fedde showed last year that he is capable of providing useful ratios.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .224 372 75 34 75 16 2 13
Since 2023vs Right .242 354 79 18 79 14 2 7
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .224 372 75 34 75 16 2 13
2024vs Right .242 354 79 18 79 14 2 7
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 1.94 1.12 74.1 6 4 0 7.5 2.7 0.6
Since 2023Away 4.28 1.19 103.0 3 5 0 8.0 2.6 1.3
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 1.94 1.12 74.1 6 4 0 7.5 2.7 0.6
2024Away 4.28 1.19 103.0 3 5 0 8.0 2.6 1.3
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Prospect Rankings History
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Erick Fedde See More
Mound Musings: Life, the Universe and Everything
2 days ago
Brad Johnson discusses the relationship between fundamental player defense and quality of pitching, and pitchers like Erick Fedde returning from playing in Asia to have eye-catching pitching numbers at home.
Are We Any Good At Predicting Pitcher Injuries?
3 days ago
With supposed paragon of durability George Kirby opening the year on the injured list, it's time to ask whether or not we really have any idea about which pitchers are injury-prone.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: We Made It!
3 days ago
Tarik Skubal's Cy Young defense gets off to a tough start this weekend as he takes on the defending champions in Dodger Stadium. Where does he rank in Todd Zola's first pitcher rankings of the year?
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Fantasy Baseball Top-300 Rankings
8 days ago
The latest update to the RotoWire Roundtable Rankings sees Jackson Chourio move into the back of the first round.
RotoWire Roundtable Rankings: Bobby Witt Claims the Top Spot
15 days ago
With Shohei Ohtani set for more days off and fewer steals this season, Bobby Witt Jr. has moved into the top spot in our Roundtable Rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
A 31-year-old with a career 5.41 ERA who hasn't made a major-league start in over a year wouldn't ordinarily have any fantasy appeal. Fedde, however, made the most of his time away from the majors, making 30 starts for the KBO's NC Dinos and pitching to a 2.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers came with excellent supporting stats such as his 29.5 percent strikeout rate and 4.9 percent walk rate. A healthy dose of skepticism regarding those numbers is fair given the level of competition, but it's far from unheard of for pitchers to figure things out in Korea and return to some success stateside. Chris Flexen recorded a 3.01 ERA with similar strikeout and walk rates to Fedde in his lone KBO campaign in 2020 and then returned to post sub-4.00 ERAs in two straight seasons, while Merrill Kelly spent four years in Korea and returned to post a 3.80 ERA across five MLB campaigns. The White Sox will hope that Fedde can follow a similar path, and the fact that he reinvented his arsenal overseas (adding a sweeper and adjusting his grips on other pitches) gives reason to believe he has a chance.
Fedde received his most extensive run in the majors as a starter last season, but he struggled to a 5.47 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 128:48 K:BB over 133.1 innings. However, his 21.7 percent strikeout rate and 8.1 percent walk rate were the best figures of his career, and his xFIP of 4.06 indicates he may have deserved some better results. The right-hander should remain a regular rotation piece to open 2022, though his availability for Opening Day is in question due to an oblique issue. Fedde has a fairly low ceiling but could be a decent streaming or deep-league option.
Fedde has remained consistent in many areas over the past two seasons, even though he had a limited sample during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He worked mainly as a starter in 2020, posting a career-best 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 50.1 innings. His 5.22 xFIP and 5.44 SIERA suggest that some of his results were due to luck, but both marks were quite similar to his results from 2019. The right-hander averaged a strikeout rate over 20.0% during his first two years in the league, but he's been just above 12% over the past two seasons, while his walk rate has remained steady. Fedde posted a 54.2 GB% in 2020, and was relatively effective at limiting meaningful contact with a 32.5% hard-hit rate. The 28-year-old likely earned the chance to compete for a back-end starting role to begin the season. However, he could wind up serving as a swingman for Washington, which would limit his fantasy value in 2021.
Fedde made 11 starts for the Nationals when not in the minors or on the shelf with a shoulder injury. He wasn't particularly effective when called upon, finishing the season with a 5.54 ERA. His underlying numbers were in line with those of a back-end starter, matching his prospect reports. The righty's 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate were each worse than league average, though neither by a large amount, and he kept the ball on the ground fairly well at a 53.1% clip. He was hurt by the long ball when batters did manage to hit it in the air, however, giving up a 22.2% HR/FB rate, nearly double the league average. If that number regresses this season, Fedde should be able to eat innings at the back of the rotation without hurting the Nationals too much. He looks to be the team's sixth starter heading into the year.
Fedde has the best shot to break camp as Washington's No. 5 starter as of early January, but the Nationals would undoubtedly prefer a better option. Fedde is entering his age-25 season and has made just 21 starts above High-A. His limited experience as a starter in the upper levels is due largely to the Nationals using him as a reliever at Double-A and Triple-A for a good chunk of last season. His slider grades out as a plus pitch, but his 93-mph fastball and improved changeup are just average offerings. Fedde's development brings flashbacks to the days when A.J. Cole was seen as a potential mid-rotation arm, then hit a wall against upper-level hitting and now projects to be a permanent member of the Nationals' bullpen. Fedde will continue to be developed as a starter for now, but he is more likely to develop into a No. 5 starter or setup man than a No. 3 starter.
Few prospects have seen their stock rise more in the last 12 months than Fedde. The 2014 first-round pick continued recovering from Tommy John surgery with flying colors, throwing 121 innings between High-A and Double-A while posting combined 9.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates. His fastball returned to the mid-90s with excellent life, his slider flashed as a true out pitch, and he even showed improvement with his changeup. As he's already 23 years old, the Nats have little reason to continue babying him, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him fire his last few frames in the majors. The development of that changeup remains key to his long-term value, as without it Fedde could find himself trying to find a role as a dominant late-inning reliever instead of a starter, but with Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez now in Chicago, the path is cleared for Fedde to challenge for a full-time rotation spot as soon as 2018.
The 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Fedde slid out of the top 10 after undergoing Tommy John surgery to close an outstanding career at UNLV. Making his pro debut in late June with short-season Auburn, the right-hander made eight strong starts before a promotion to Low-A Hagerstown to finish the year, and scouting reports had him back in his pre-surgery form with a mid-90s fastball that can touch higher as well as a developing slider and changeup that both have the makings of plus pitches. The Nationals have done very well in handling Lucas Giolito's development following his TJ surgery, and while the college-trained Fedde is older than Giolito, the organization won't likely rush him through the system. Expect the 22-year-old to return to Low-A in 2016 and get a possible midseason promotion if he's earned it, with his major league debut coming no earlier than late 2017.
The Nationals selected Fedde in the first round of the 2014 first-year player draft knowing that he would be rehabbing from Tommy John surgery performed just a month earlier, but given their track record with players like Lucas Giolito, you have to give them some credit for knowing what they're doing. In college, Fedde displayed a low-90s sinking fastball that he could crank up to 96 mph when he needed to, along with a sharp slider and the makings of a useful changeup. If he returns from surgery without a hitch, and used his time off the mound to improve his strength and fitness as well as rehabbing his elbow, he could advance through the Nats' system as quickly as their ultra-cautious plan will allow him. The earliest he'll realistically be knocking on the door of the major league roster is 2018, but keeper league owners who aren't deterred by that timetable could wind up with a gem if they grab him now.
More Fantasy News
Getting ball for first spring game
PSt. Louis Cardinals
February 20, 2025
Fedde is scheduled to start the Cardinals' Grapefruit League opener Saturday versus the Marlins, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out 10 batters Wednesday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 25, 2024
Fedde (9-9) earned the win over Colorado on Wednesday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 batters over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Registers quality start Thursday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 19, 2024
Fedde allowed one run on four hits and one walk while striking out three batters over six innings in a no-decision against Pittsburgh on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision against Jays
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 13, 2024
Fedde allowed three runs on six hits and a walk over five innings in a no-decision Friday. He struck out three during the extra-innings loss to Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Stuck with tough loss Friday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 7, 2024
Fedde (8-9) took the loss Friday, allowing one run on five hits and three walks over 4.2 innings as the Cardinals fell 6-1 to the Mariners. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Available for trade?
PSt. Louis Cardinals
February 23, 2025
According to Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, several teams believe the Cardinals are open to trading Fedde.
ANALYSIS
It's been a drama-filled offseason quiet on substantial roster moves for St. Louis, with the failed efforts to trade Nolan Arenado casting a shadow for much of the winter. Fedde was also a prime candidate to be dealt since he's making just $7.5 million and is set to hit free agency after the season, but the organization indicated in January it will likely hold out for a trade at the summer deadline. The Cardinals have made clear their preference is to clear some money by trading Arenado and retaining their rotation pieces like Fedde, but that thinking may have changed with it seeming less and less likely that Arenado is actually dealt, with his no-trade clause representing a significant hurdle.
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