Dylan Cease
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
14-11
ERA
3.47
WHIP
1.07
K
224
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Cease finished second in voting for the AL Cy Young in 2022 after he posted a 2.20 ERA in 32 starts, but he stumbled to a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 214:79 K:BB over 177 innings last season. Some regression wasn't surprising since the elite campaign had some underwhelming peripherals, but much like the White Sox in general, his fall in 2023 was steeper than anticipated. The underlying numbers flipped in the opposite direction, with a 3.72 FIP indicating he had some poor luck. Cease's strikeout rate dropped over three points to 27.3 percent, though he improved his walk rate slightly to 10.1 percent. A .330 BABIP and 41.5 percent hard-hit rate were both career worsts, the former of which was certainly affected by Chicago's horrid defense (minus-59 DRS). His true self likely falls somewhere in between the results of the past two seasons, making him somewhat of a volatile option for fantasy managers in 2024, though his strikeout floor is strong. Cease has also been regularly mentioned in trade rumors over the past year, and a move elsewhere would likely only improve his immediate outlook. Read Past Outlooks
Confirmed for Game 4
Cease will start Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Dodgers, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Cease had a hard time keeping the Dodgers' bats quiet during a loss in Game 1 on Saturday, giving up five earned runs on six hits and two walks over just 3.1 innings. The 28-year-old righty had better luck against Los Angeles during the regular season, turning in a 3.37 ERA across 10.2 frames, so a bounce-back performance Wednesday isn't out of the question.
Cease had a hard time keeping the Dodgers' bats quiet during a loss in Game 1 on Saturday, giving up five earned runs on six hits and two walks over just 3.1 innings. The 28-year-old righty had better luck against Los Angeles during the regular season, turning in a 3.37 ERA across 10.2 frames, so a bounce-back performance Wednesday isn't out of the question.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-11%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .234 | 286 | 107 | 237 | 30 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .194 | 379 | 115 | 198 | 23 | |||
2024vs Left | .212 | 97 | 33 | 71 | 11 | |||
2024vs Right | .189 | 127 | 32 | 66 | 7 | |||
2023vs Left | .268 | 91 | 30 | 96 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 123 | 49 | 76 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .219 | 98 | 44 | 70 | 6 | |||
2022vs Right | .163 | 129 | 34 | 56 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-14%
ERA at Home
2024
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.16 | 1.15 | 287.2 | 10.7 | 3.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.67 | 1.24 | 262.2 | 11.1 | 3.9 | ||||
2024Home | 3.03 | 1.01 | 86.0 | 10.8 | 2.4 | ||||
2024Away | 3.83 | 1.11 | 103.1 | 10.5 | 3.7 | ||||
2023Home | 4.20 | 1.44 | 94.1 | 9.9 | 4.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.01 | 1.39 | 82.2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | ||||
2022Home | 2.35 | 1.02 | 107.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 2.00 | 1.24 | 76.2 | 10.9 | 4.7 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.45K/9
10.6BB/9
3.1HR/9
0.9Fastball
96.9 mphERA
3.47WHIP
1.07BABIP
.277GB/FB
1.07Left On Base
69.0%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2648 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.7%Swinging Strike
15.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Cease followed up 2021's breakthrough campaign with an even better season, finishing a distant second to Justin Verlander in the AL Cy Young voting. Cease started 32 games for the second straight season, finishing with a career-high 184 innings. It wasn't by much, but Cease's K% ticked down while his BB% inched up. A .260 BABIP and 82.3% LOB mark resulted in a 2.20 ERA, over a run below the associated 3.50 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA. Cease is being drafted ahead of starters with similar or better skills, but with a longer track record. If he can lower his 10% walk rate, Cease could be one of the best pitchers in the league. There is a pathway as Cease uses his fastball 47% of the time but throws it for a strike at a low 62% rate. Cease is a prime example of how pitchers can be both lucky and good. Dreaming of a lower walk rate is tempting, but the regression monster is looming with nightmare intentions.
More Fantasy News
Game 4 on short rest possible
Padres manager Mike Shildt on Monday didn't dismiss the possibility of Cease starting Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLDS versus the Dodgers on short rest, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Getting NLDS Game 1 start
Cease will start Saturday in Game 1 of the NLDS against the Dodgers, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three runs in no-decision
Cease did not factor into the decision in a loss to the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Dominates Houston
Cease (14-11) picked up the win Wednesday against the Astros, allowing two hits and no walks with five strikeouts across 8.1 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out 10 in win
Cease (13-11) allowed four hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six shutout innings to earn the win Friday over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Named NL's best for July
Cease was named the National League Pitcher of the Month for July on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander surrendered six runs over 3.2 innings July 2 at Texas, but he allowed just four earned runs in his final five starts of the month and threw a no-hitter against the Nationals during that stretch. Cease had a 2.35 ERA and 49:13 K:BB over 38.1 innings during July, and he's having a career year in his first season in San Diego with a 3.42 ERA and 0.99 WHIP through 23 starts.
The right-hander surrendered six runs over 3.2 innings July 2 at Texas, but he allowed just four earned runs in his final five starts of the month and threw a no-hitter against the Nationals during that stretch. Cease had a 2.35 ERA and 49:13 K:BB over 38.1 innings during July, and he's having a career year in his first season in San Diego with a 3.42 ERA and 0.99 WHIP through 23 starts.