Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A star is born. Carroll flashed tremendous potential as a late-season call-up in 2022 and then did nothing in 2023 to dissuade the notion that he is one of the brightest young players in the sport. He tallied 65 extra-base hits in 155 regular-season games, stole 54 bases in 59 attempts, and placed seventh among all major leaguers in runs scored (116) to help the Diamondbacks claim the final NL Wild Card spot and stage a run all the way to the World Series. The one legitimate knock against him is that he has a weak outfield arm, but fantasy managers have the luxury of simply ignoring that fact. At age 23 and absolutely dripping with category-spanning fantasy upside, Carroll is sure to be a first-round selection in every mixed-league draft this spring. He could even regularly come off the board within the first five picks. That eight-year, $111 million contract extension he signed with Arizona last March already looks incredibly team-friendly and gives the D-backs some leeway to build an even better supporting cast around him. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#5
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $111 million contact extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2023. Contract includes $28 million team option ($5 million buyout) for 2031.
Double, steal in loss
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 29, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-4 with a double and a stolen base in Saturday's 5-0 loss to the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Carroll had one of two hits for Arizona, but the team couldn't deliver a knock with runners in scoring position in a game that could prove to be crucial for its wild-card chances. He doubled to lead off the sixth inning and moved to third on a double steal but was stranded there. Carroll has hit safely in five straight, going 6-for-19 with a double, home runs, three walks, two steals, two RBI and three runs scored.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
85
10
5
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
28
9
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+55%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .703 413 56 12 37 19 .242 .309 .394
Since 2022vs Right .852 1031 194 39 127 72 .264 .352 .499
2024vs Left .706 209 32 8 24 9 .219 .296 .410
2024vs Right .769 475 89 14 50 26 .236 .333 .436
2023vs Left .721 174 23 4 10 9 .283 .339 .382
2023vs Right .921 471 93 21 66 45 .286 .369 .552
2022vs Left .590 30 1 0 3 1 .179 .233 .357
2022vs Right .917 85 12 4 11 1 .289 .365 .553
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+104%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .852 699 125 26 89 39 .270 .353 .499
Since 2022Away .769 745 125 25 75 52 .246 .328 .441
2024Home .856 324 61 12 41 18 .264 .358 .498
2024Away .654 360 60 10 33 17 .202 .289 .365
2023Home .902 322 57 13 41 21 .290 .368 .534
2023Away .834 323 59 12 35 33 .280 .355 .479
2022Home .540 53 7 1 7 0 .196 .226 .314
2022Away 1.099 62 6 3 7 2 .321 .419 .679
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Stat Review
How does Corbin Carroll compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.56
 
BB Rate
10.7%
 
K Rate
19.0%
 
BABIP
.256
 
ISO
.197
 
AVG
.231
 
OBP
.322
 
SLG
.428
 
OPS
.749
 
wOBA
.329
 
Exit Velocity
89.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.1%
 
Barrels/PA
5.0%
 
Expected BA
.247
 
Expected SLG
.403
 
Sprint Speed
24.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.1%
 
Line Drive %
16.7%
 
Fly Ball %
39.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Carroll was part of the new trend in 2022 of the game's best prospects in the upper levels debuting for the final month, rather than early the following season. He laid waste to every minor-league stop along the way, showcasing an extremely fantasy-friendly skillset. Carroll has played in some hitter-friendly environments, but his .240 ISO in the majors was his worst such mark since rookie ball in 2019. He may never hit 40 home runs, but power will be a strength (39.0 Hard% in the minors). His 100th percentile sprint speed will also be a strength - he stole 33 bases on 39 attempts last year. Carroll had a .777 OPS against lefties and a 1.062 OPS against righties in the minors in 2022, but considering he is already the Diamondbacks' best position player and a strong defender, it would be surprising if he fell into a strict platoon. His most common lineup spots were sixth, seventh and eighth, but he could assume a spot in the top third sometime this season. The trade of Daulton Varsho to Toronto also opens up center field in Arizona, with Lourdes Gurriel set to play left. Carroll had a plus-four DRS in just 32 games last year, and that strong level of defense in center field should afford him a longer leash if he struggles early in 2023.
Carroll entered the season as the No. 16 overall prospect for dynasty, and if he hadn't suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in May, he may have finished the year as a top-five prospect. He had a 53.3 Hard%, 20.7 BB%, .478 ISO and three steals in 29 plate appearances at High-A, so he couldn't have played much better before getting hurt. Carroll has a potentially special set of fantasy-relevant tools, including 70-grade speed, burgeoning power and a hit tool and approach that offer a level of safety with regards to projecting his performance as he moves up the ladder. Any hitter returning from a significant shoulder surgery carries at least some risk, and we don't know how long it will take Carroll to return to form. However, he is the type of prospect who could cement himself as a blue-chip building block in dynasty in short order. Look for Arizona's center fielder of the future to spend the bulk of his age-21 season at Double-A.
Height and weight are less predictive for future power than bat speed and swing plane, and Carroll has the latter aspects figured out, which allows him to project for 20-plus homer power despite being listed at 5-foot-10, 165 pounds. Traditional scouts love Carroll, the 16th overall pick in 2019, for his leadoff-hitting center fielder skill set and strong makeup. He is appealing in fantasy because he is a plus-plus runner who should be an everyday player who hits for average and power. In a normal year, Carroll would have spent his age-19 season at Low-A and High-A. Instead, he got to face a majority of pitchers at the alternate site who either have significant experience in the upper levels of the minors and/or experience in the majors. Carroll's ceiling is an Andrew McCutchen type of statistical profile, and even if the bat doesn't quite get to that level, he should still be a five-category contributor.
The Diamondbacks appear to have struck gold with Carroll, the No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 draft. From a tools perspective, he was worthy of a top-10 pick, but his size (5-foot-10, 165 pounds) scared some teams off. His plus-plus speed is his top tool (18-for-19 on stolen base attempts in 42 games), but he could also be a plus hitter and plus center fielder. His strong hands and wrists generate excellent bat speed and he is adept at using compact torque to produce surprising pop. His 22.0 K% and 15.6 BB% were strong marks for an 18-year-old, and after some early adjustments, he started lifting the ball more in his pro debut. Leadoff-hitting everyday center fielder seems like a median outcome, but there is a chance he gets to enough power to hit second or third. This is a deep draft class for impactful position players, but Carroll clearly belongs in the top-10 for fantasy purposes.
More Fantasy News
Homer, steal in loss
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 27, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-3 with a solo home run, two walks and a stolen base in Friday's 5-3 loss to the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Scores, delivers run
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 26, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-3 with a walk, an RBI and a run scored in Wednesday's 8-2 win over San Francisco. He was also caught stealing.
ANALYSIS
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Just resting Sunday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 22, 2024
Carroll is receiving a scheduled day off Sunday against the Brewers, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of lineup Sunday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 22, 2024
Carroll is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes three bags Saturday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 21, 2024
Carroll went 0-for-2 with three walks, three stolen bases and a run against the Brewers in Saturday's 5-0 win.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Named NL's best for August
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 4, 2024
Carroll was named the National League Player of the Month for August on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Carroll appeared headed in the right direction after he posted an .822 OPS in July, and he was even more productive in August as he posted a .280/.342/.700 slash line with 11 homers, two steals, 24 RBI and 30 runs in 27 games. The 24-year-old's .749 OPS for the season is still underwhelming following an ugly first half, but he's finally looking like the player that unanimously won NL Rookie of the Year in 2023.
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