2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors. Read Past Outlooks

Dominant in second Triple-A start
Burns struck out seven over seven innings while allowing one run on three hits and zero walks Wednesday for Triple-A Louisville.
ANALYSIS
Burns, arguably the top pitching prospect in baseball, has allowed more than one earned run in just two of his 13 starts this year. Wednesday's outing was his second start at Triple-A and one of his best starts of the season. Wade Miley is currently operating as the Reds' fifth starter while Hunter Greene (groin) is on the 15-day injured list. It's unclear when the Reds might promote Burns, but he's a must-stash in fantasy leagues where possible.
Burns, arguably the top pitching prospect in baseball, has allowed more than one earned run in just two of his 13 starts this year. Wednesday's outing was his second start at Triple-A and one of his best starts of the season. Wade Miley is currently operating as the Reds' fifth starter while Hunter Greene (groin) is on the 15-day injured list. It's unclear when the Reds might promote Burns, but he's a must-stash in fantasy leagues where possible.
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Minor League Game Log

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Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
-58%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-58%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .238 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Since 2023vs Right | .100 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
2025vs Left | .238 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
2025vs Right | .100 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Fans seven in first Triple-A start
Burns gave up two earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven in 5.1 innings Thursday for Triple-A Louisville.
ANALYSIS
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Moving up to Triple-A
The Reds will promote Burns from Double-A Chattanooga to Triple-A Louisville on Monday, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in Double-A shutout
Burns allowed three hits and struck out six in a complete-game, seven-inning shutout victory for Double-A Chattanooga on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Thriving at Double-A
Burns allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits and one walk while striking out eight over five innings for Double-A Chattanooga on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Heading to Double-A
Burns is being promoted to Double-A Chattanooga, Charlie Goldsmith of the Dayton Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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