2025 Stats
AVG
.254
HR
5
RBI
23
R
34
SB
7
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the Opening Day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove-level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard-hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, and now it's up to him to translate them to better quality of contact. Read Past Outlooks
Plays hero with another homer
Rafaela went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 11-9 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
With the score tied 9-9 in the ninth inning, Rafaela sliced a Brock Burke changeup down the right-field line and tucked it just inside Pesky's Pole for the game-winner homer. Rafaela has gone yard in three straight games, accounting for half his home runs on the season, while Wednesday's clutch blast extended the 24-year-old's hitting streak to eight games -- a stretch in which he's batting .412 (14-for-34).
With the score tied 9-9 in the ninth inning, Rafaela sliced a Brock Burke changeup down the right-field line and tucked it just inside Pesky's Pole for the game-winner homer. Rafaela has gone yard in three straight games, accounting for half his home runs on the season, while Wednesday's clutch blast extended the 24-year-old's hitting streak to eight games -- a stretch in which he's batting .412 (14-for-34).
Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
35
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
12
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+4%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .637 | 240 | 6 | 23 | .215 | ||||
| Since 2023vs Right | .686 | 633 | 16 | 80 | .260 | ||||
| 2025vs Left | .720 | 61 | 2 | 9 | .236 | ||||
| 2025vs Right | .692 | 152 | 3 | 14 | .261 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .603 | 152 | 3 | 11 | .211 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .685 | 419 | 12 | 64 | .259 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .645 | 27 | 1 | 3 | .192 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .675 | 62 | 1 | 2 | .263 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
| Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+8%
OPS at Home
2025
+13%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .699 | 436 | 11 | 46 | .254 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | .647 | 437 | 11 | 57 | .242 | ||||
| 2025Home | .745 | 104 | 3 | 10 | .266 | ||||
| 2025Away | .657 | 109 | 2 | 13 | .243 | ||||
| 2024Home | .661 | 286 | 6 | 32 | .247 | ||||
| 2024Away | .667 | 285 | 9 | 43 | .245 | ||||
| 2023Home | .838 | 46 | 2 | 4 | .268 | ||||
| 2023Away | .494 | 43 | 0 | 1 | .214 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.24BB Rate
4.7%K Rate
19.2%BABIP
.296ISO
.147AVG
.254OBP
.299SLG
.401OPS
.700wOBA
.307Exit Velocity
90.1 mphHard Hit Rate
33.3%Barrels/PA
9.4%Expected BA
.266Expected SLG
.470Sprint Speed
25.6 ft/secGround Ball %
44.6%Line Drive %
15.3%Fly Ball %
40.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready.
More Fantasy News
Belts fifth homer
Rafaela went 3-for-5 with a double and a two-run home run in Tuesday's 4-3 extra-inning loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves the yard
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with a solo home run during Monday's 7-6 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Pops third homer
Rafaela went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 6-5 extra-inning loss to the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Monday
Rafaela isn't part of Boston's lineup for Monday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Two extra-base hits Saturday
Rafaela went 2-for-5 with a double, a triple and two runs scored in Saturday's 10-1 win over Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Position shift on tap?
Christopher Smith of MassLive.com posits that the Red Sox could shift Rafaela from center field to shortstop to make space in the outfield for top prospect Roman Anthony.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela is sitting at a .646 OPS in 165 plate appearances this season, but the 24-year-old has been better at the plate in May with a .281/.305/.421 slash line with a triple and three RBI across 61 plate appearances. Considering how well Anthony has been playing in Triple-A Worcester, Smith believes the Red Sox could make room for Anthony in left field by moving Rafaela to shortstop in place of Trevor Story while shifting Jarren Duran to center field. A promotion to the majors doesn't appear to be in the cards just yet for Anthony, with manager Alex Cora saying Wednesday that the team "hasn't made that decision."
Rafaela is sitting at a .646 OPS in 165 plate appearances this season, but the 24-year-old has been better at the plate in May with a .281/.305/.421 slash line with a triple and three RBI across 61 plate appearances. Considering how well Anthony has been playing in Triple-A Worcester, Smith believes the Red Sox could make room for Anthony in left field by moving Rafaela to shortstop in place of Trevor Story while shifting Jarren Duran to center field. A promotion to the majors doesn't appear to be in the cards just yet for Anthony, with manager Alex Cora saying Wednesday that the team "hasn't made that decision."