Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#326
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $46 million extension with the Red Sox in April of 2024. Contract includes $16 million team option ($4 million buyout) for 2032.
Getting rest Saturday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 28, 2024
Rafaela isn't in Boston's lineup Saturday versus the Rays.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela is just 5-for-35 with five RBI over his last 10 games and will grab a seat on the bench to begin Saturday's contest. Vaughn Grissom will get the nod to start at second base and bat ninth.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
3
14
82
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
11
29
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .610 179 26 4 14 5 .208 .253 .357
Since 2022vs Right .684 481 55 13 66 17 .259 .283 .401
2024vs Left .603 152 21 3 11 4 .211 .258 .345
2024vs Right .685 419 49 12 64 15 .259 .280 .405
2023vs Left .645 27 5 1 3 1 .192 .222 .423
2023vs Right .675 62 6 1 2 2 .263 .306 .368
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .684 332 40 8 36 8 .250 .287 .397
Since 2022Away .644 328 41 9 44 14 .241 .263 .381
2024Home .661 286 32 6 32 7 .247 .281 .380
2024Away .667 285 38 9 43 12 .245 .268 .399
2023Home .838 46 8 2 4 1 .268 .326 .512
2023Away .494 43 3 0 1 2 .214 .233 .262
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.10
 
BB Rate
2.6%
 
K Rate
26.4%
 
BABIP
.312
 
ISO
.143
 
AVG
.246
 
OBP
.274
 
SLG
.390
 
OPS
.664
 
wOBA
.290
 
Exit Velocity
86.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.6%
 
Barrels/PA
5.3%
 
Expected BA
.235
 
Expected SLG
.380
 
Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
42.0%
 
Line Drive %
21.1%
 
Fly Ball %
36.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ceddanne Rafaela See More
Super Early 2025 Top 300 Rankings
33 days ago
James Anderson ranks the top 300 players for 2025 fantasy baseball leagues, in which Brewers' phenom Jackson Chourio is pushing towards the first round!
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Last Ups
45 days ago
Ryan McMahon and the Rockies finish the season with six straight home games.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
49 days ago
Trevor Story is back from a long injury layoff and back in an everyday role, but he's yet to hit his way into the top half of the Boston lineup.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: The Playoff Push
52 days ago
Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers are one of 14 teams with a seven-game schedule from September 16-22. Todd Zola highlights the matchups and unveils his weekly hitter rankings.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Scoring is Way Down
59 days ago
The Cleveland Guardians are one of six teams with seven games the week of September 9 to September 15. See how they and the rest of the MLB rank in Todd Zola's weekly hitter rankings.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela put up impressive offensive numbers in 2022 that oversold his realistic MLB upside, but his center field defense is so good that he should have no problem carving out a big-league career. He doesn't hit the ball very hard and is prone to chasing, but Rafaela still managed a .301/.342/.540 slash line despite an ugly 4.8 BB%. Thankfully, he has plus speed to go with his plus-plus defense, so the 28-for-35 success rate on the bases could translate as he continues to climb. If he can just hit .230 or .240, Rafaela could be allowed to play every day in center field while hitting at the bottom of the order and chipping in 10-to-20 home runs with 20-plus steals. He is on the 40-man roster but may not debut until 2024.
More Fantasy News
Absent from lineup
OFBoston Red Sox
September 25, 2024
Rafaela is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game in Toronto, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Thursday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 19, 2024
Rafaela is absent from the lineup for Thursday's contest in Tampa Bay, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Saturday's lineup
OFBoston Red Sox
September 14, 2024
Rafaela isn't in the Red Sox's lineup for Saturday's game against the Yankees, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Plays second base
OFBoston Red Sox
September 12, 2024
Rafaela started at second base and went 1-for-4 with an RBI in Wednesday's 5-3 extra-inning win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks in four in win
OFBoston Red Sox
September 10, 2024
Rafaela started in center field and went 2-for-4 with a double, four RBI and a run scored in Monday's 12-3 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to start 2024 in minors
OFBoston Red Sox
October 31, 2023
Rafaela is likely to start next season as the center fielder at Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.
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