2025 Stats
W-L
3-1
ERA
2.22
WHIP
0.95
K
18
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mize has yet to fully live up to his potential as the first pick of the 2018 draft, and injuries have played a big role in slowing him down. The righty missed all of the 2023 campaign due to Tommy John surgery and again spent a chunk of the season on the injured list in 2024. This time around it was a hamstring strain that cost Mize about two months and limited him to 102.1 innings overall. That's actually the second-highest mark of Mize's career, behind the 150.1 innings he logged back in 2021. The 27-year-old has shown flashes of being a strong MLB starter, though he's yet to maintain it over long stretches of time, and he has a middling 4.36 ERA and 1.30 WHIP for his career, along with an uninspiring 6.99 K/9. The Tigers undoubtedly want to see Mize take the next step forward as a staff anchor alongside ace lefty Tarik Skubal, so the former should once again have a rotation spot heading into 2025. However, at some point Mize needs to turn his upside into actual production, and he's hard to trust in fantasy until that happens. Read Past Outlooks
Sharp in third win
Mize (3-1) picked up the win Saturday in a 3-1 victory over the Royals, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over seven innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander took a shutout into the seventh inning before serving up a solo shot to Freddy Fermin. Mize delivered his second quality start in four outings on 88 pitches (63 strikes), and he'll take a 2.22 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 18:7 K:BB through 24.1 innings into his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home next weekend against the Orioles.
The right-hander took a shutout into the seventh inning before serving up a solo shot to Freddy Fermin. Mize delivered his second quality start in four outings on 88 pitches (63 strikes), and he'll take a 2.22 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 18:7 K:BB through 24.1 innings into his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home next weekend against the Orioles.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-57%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .245 | 59 | 21 | 61 | 6 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .297 | 37 | 15 | 76 | 8 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .111 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .256 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .275 | 45 | 16 | 56 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .305 | 33 | 13 | 65 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-16%
ERA at Home
2025
-57%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.73 | 1.23 | 70.0 | 7.1 | 1.9 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.45 | 1.54 | 56.2 | 6.5 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.38 | 0.92 | 13.0 | 6.2 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.18 | 0.97 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.26 | 1.30 | 57.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.76 | 1.68 | 45.1 | 6.4 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.57K/9
6.7BB/9
2.6HR/9
1.1Fastball
94.7 mphERA
2.22WHIP
0.95BABIP
.204GB/FB
0.93Left On Base
90.4%Exit Velocity
85.8 mphBarrels/BBE
2.9%Spin Rate
2053 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.1%Swinging Strike
11.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
When healthy, Mize has looked like a solid MLB pitcher. However, an elbow injury cut his 2022 campaign short after only two starts, and then he missed all of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery. Back in 2021, Mize posted a 3.71 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 118 strikeouts across 150.1 innings in his first full season as starter for Detroit. The 26-year-old should have a rotation spot locked up heading into 2024, though the Tigers will undoubtedly limit his workload, and it's fair to expect some rust. Mize was drafted first overall back in 2018, so the talent is certainly there, and fantasy managers will be keeping a watchful eye on how he looks early in the season. However, the best bet for now is to temper expectations and probably not count on Mize for consistent production right away. He's still only made 39 starts at the MLB level, so even if he wasn't returning from a major surgery, the young righty would probably be a volatile option anyways.
More Fantasy News
Takes first loss Sunday
Mize (2-1) allowed four runs on seven hits across 5.2 innings to take the loss Sunday against the Twins. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises to easy win
Mize (2-0) yielded one run on four hits and three walks over six innings Monday, striking out six and earning a win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Mariners for first win
Mize (1-0) picked up the win Tuesday, allowing one hit and three walks over 5.2 scoreless innings in a 4-1 victory over the Mariners. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Appears locked into rotation
Mize is expected to open the 2025 season as Detroit's No. 4 starter, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another strong outing
Mize tossed three scoreless innings in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Phillies. He walked one and struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to be non-tendered
Mize could be non-tendered by the Tigers before Friday's roster deadline, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.