2025 Stats
W-L
14-6
ERA
3.87
WHIP
1.27
K
139
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mize has yet to fully live up to his potential as the first pick of the 2018 draft, and injuries have played a big role in slowing him down. The righty missed all of the 2023 campaign due to Tommy John surgery and again spent a chunk of the season on the injured list in 2024. This time around it was a hamstring strain that cost Mize about two months and limited him to 102.1 innings overall. That's actually the second-highest mark of Mize's career, behind the 150.1 innings he logged back in 2021. The 27-year-old has shown flashes of being a strong MLB starter, though he's yet to maintain it over long stretches of time, and he has a middling 4.36 ERA and 1.30 WHIP for his career, along with an uninspiring 6.99 K/9. The Tigers undoubtedly want to see Mize take the next step forward as a staff anchor alongside ace lefty Tarik Skubal, so the former should once again have a rotation spot heading into 2025. However, at some point Mize needs to turn his upside into actual production, and he's hard to trust in fantasy until that happens. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $2.34 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2025.
Starting Game 4, if needed
Mize will draw the start on the mound in Wednesday's Game 4 matchup with Seattle, if needed, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
Mize will toe the rubber for the second time in the postseason if the Tigers' series against Seattle in the ALDS reaches a Game 4 on Wednesday. The right-hander pitched three innings, allowing one run on one hit and two walks, while striking out a batter in the team's 6-1 loss to the Guardians in Game 2 of the wild-card round. Mize will look to last longer in his next outing, whether it comes Wednesday or later down the road in the playoffs.
Mize will toe the rubber for the second time in the postseason if the Tigers' series against Seattle in the ALDS reaches a Game 4 on Wednesday. The right-hander pitched three innings, allowing one run on one hit and two walks, while striking out a batter in the team's 6-1 loss to the Guardians in Game 2 of the wild-card round. Mize will look to last longer in his next outing, whether it comes Wednesday or later down the road in the playoffs.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-100%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .268 | 46 | 18 | 57 | 6 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .304 | 33 | 13 | 65 | 6 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .111 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .275 | 45 | 16 | 56 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .305 | 33 | 13 | 65 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-15%
ERA at Home
2025
-18%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.94 | 1.25 | 130.1 | 7.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.66 | 1.63 | 48.1 | 6.1 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.68 | 1.21 | 73.1 | 7.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.26 | 1.30 | 57.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.76 | 1.68 | 45.1 | 6.4 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.86K/9
8.4BB/9
2.2HR/9
1.3Fastball
94.6 mphERA
3.87WHIP
1.27BABIP
.319GB/FB
1.09Left On Base
75.8%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2043 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.0%Swinging Strike
0.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
When healthy, Mize has looked like a solid MLB pitcher. However, an elbow injury cut his 2022 campaign short after only two starts, and then he missed all of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery. Back in 2021, Mize posted a 3.71 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 118 strikeouts across 150.1 innings in his first full season as starter for Detroit. The 26-year-old should have a rotation spot locked up heading into 2024, though the Tigers will undoubtedly limit his workload, and it's fair to expect some rust. Mize was drafted first overall back in 2018, so the talent is certainly there, and fantasy managers will be keeping a watchful eye on how he looks early in the season. However, the best bet for now is to temper expectations and probably not count on Mize for consistent production right away. He's still only made 39 starts at the MLB level, so even if he wasn't returning from a major surgery, the young righty would probably be a volatile option anyways.
More Fantasy News
Short Game 2 outing
Mize took a no-decision in Wednesday's game versus the Guardians, allowing one run on one hit and two walks over three-plus innings.
Analysis
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Concedes two runs in no-decision
Mize did not factor into the decision in Friday's 4-3 loss at Boston, allowing two runs on six hits while striking out eight over 6.1 innings. He did not issue a walk.
Analysis
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Falls to Atlanta
Mize (14-6) took the loss Sunday against Atlanta, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Takes no-decision Tuesday
Mize allowed three runs on seven hits across 5.1 innings and did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's 7-5, 10-inning loss to the Guardians. He walked one and struck out eight.
Analysis
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Plenty of run support in 14th win
Mize (14-5) allowed two runs on four hits across six innings of work to earn the win in Tuesday's 12-2 victory over the Yankees. He struck out eight.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to be non-tendered
Mize could be non-tendered by the Tigers before Friday's roster deadline, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Analysis
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.