Carmen Mlodzinski

Carmen Mlodzinski

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinski began the 2024 season on the injured list with an elbow injury, but he emerged as one of Pittsburgh's most reliable relievers by season's end. Across his final 35 appearances, he surrendered zero earned runs 27 times and maintained a 2.30 ERA in that span. While it took some time, the Pirates did take note of Mlodzinski's success and pushed him into a high-leverage role in the final two weeks the season, and he delivered two wins and a hold while working exclusively in the seventh and eighth innings. It's dangerous to draw conclusions from such a short sample, but the back end of Pittsburgh's bullpen is uncertain after David Bednar's struggles in 2024, with Mlodzinski a potential option for saves if Bednar's downturn carries over into 2025. The primary problem with considering Mlodzinski as a potential source of saves is that he has a relatively modest strikeout rate (22.2 percent in 86.2 career innings) and is instead reliant on keeping batted balls on the ground to get outs (career 46.7 percent groundball rate). Overall, Mlodzinski is more likely to be relevant in leagues that reward holds, but he's a name to keep on the radar as a potential source of saves. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#364
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2025.
Opening season as fifth starter
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 24, 2025
Pirates manager Derek Shelton said Monday that Mlodzinski will begin the season as the team's fifth starter, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
All 75 of Mlodzinski's appearances in the majors to this point have either been in relief or opener assignments, but he was being stretched out during spring training and was used mostly as a starting pitcher in the minors prior to 2023. The 26-year-old's workload figures to be relatively limited, at least initially, and the Pirates also have top prospects Bubba Chandler and Thomas Harrington looming at Triple-A Indianapolis if Mlodzinski falters.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2023
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .216 159 34 15 30 6 0 2
Since 2023vs Right .222 202 46 22 39 6 0 4
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .217 94 18 7 18 4 0 1
2024vs Right .228 115 28 12 23 4 0 2
2023vs Left .214 65 16 8 12 2 0 1
2023vs Right .213 87 18 10 16 2 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
-68%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 2.41 1.22 41.0 5 5 0 7.5 3.3 0.0
Since 2023Away 3.35 1.23 45.2 3 3 1 9.1 4.3 1.2
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 3.38 1.29 24.0 2 3 0 7.5 3.0 0.0
2024Away 3.38 1.09 26.2 3 2 0 8.8 3.7 1.0
2023Home 1.06 1.12 17.0 3 2 0 7.4 3.7 0.0
2023Away 3.32 1.42 19.0 0 1 1 9.5 5.2 1.4
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinksi was a competitive balance pick for the Bucs in the 2020 draft, after he saw his draft stock spike due to his performance in the Cape Cod League. Unfortunately, he's found it difficult to stay on the mound, as he struggled to rack up innings both while at South Carolina and in his first season in the pros. That changed in 2022, as he threw 105.1 innings with Double-A Altoona while serving as a starter. He likely has the stuff to stick in that role thanks to a solid, albeit not standout, fastball-changeup-slider mix to turn to. His control doesn't grade out well on most scouting scales around the industry, but Mlodzinski managed a passable 9.4 and 8.7 BB% in his two seasons as a pro. Given the lack of impact arms at the big-league level under team control in Pittsburgh, Mlodzinski will likely get the chance to prove he can be a big-league starter and that journey will almost certainly begin with Triple-A Indianapolis in 2023. If he can stay healthy and show some improved control, he could rise quickly within the Pirates' system.
More Fantasy News
Ramps up to three innings
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 20, 2025
Mlodzinski allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks while striking out three across three innings in a Grapefruit League game March 15 against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Working toward starting role
PPittsburgh Pirates
February 22, 2025
Mlodzinski said Saturday that he is building volume this spring to become a starter, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will open Tuesday
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 9, 2024
Mlodzinski will serve as the Pirates' opening pitcher for Tuesday's game against the Marlins, Andrew Destin of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back from injured list
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 27, 2024
The Pirates activated Mlodzinski (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list Tuesday, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Beginning rehab assignment
PPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
August 20, 2024
Mlodzinski (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Indianapolis on Tuesday, Danny Demilio of PittsburghBaseballNow.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Higher-leverage role in 2025?
PPittsburgh Pirates
October 27, 2024
According to John Perrotto of Pittsburgh Baseball Now, Mlodzinski could step into a high-leverage role in 2025.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has spent most of the past two seasons in the big leagues and has a 2.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 80:37 K:BB over 86.2 frames in his first 86 appearances. David Bednar pitched his way out of the closer role in 2024, and Aroldis Chapman is headed for free agency, which leaves Pittsburgh with some question marks for the ninth inning heading into the offseason. Even if Mlodzinski doesn't end up in the mix for saves, he should see more high-leverage chances in 2025.
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