Carlos Estevez

Carlos Estevez

32-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Estevez was one of the top closers available at last year's trade deadline, posting an elite 2.38 ERA, 0.74 WHIP and 20 saves with the Angels before he was traded to Philadelphia. The 31-year-old tallied six more saves with the Phillies and ended 2024 with career-best marks in ERA (2.45) and WHIP (0.91). In addition, Estevez significantly improved his walk rate, lowering it by 5.3 percentage points to 5.7 percent overall. If his improved control sticks, Estevez could once again approach 30 saves, but it's not a given that the 2025 free agent will land a job as a closer. However, with 86 career saves, he should compete for ninth-inning duties wherever he lands. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a two-year, $20.2 million contract with the Royals in January of 2025. Contract includes $13 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2027.
Makes spring debut
PKansas City Royals
March 14, 2025
Estevez (back) made his first appearance of spring training Friday, giving up one unearned run and two hits over an inning. "I feel great," Estevez told MLB.com. "Everything is going well with my body, and I'm in a good spot. For me, it usually takes me three, maybe four outings to say, 'OK, this is it, this is the point I want to be at.'"
ANALYSIS
Estevez has been slowed in camp by lower-back tightness, but the Royals say they are confident he'll be ready for Opening Day. He'll make six appearances between major-league and minor-league games barring any setbacks before spring training ends, according to MLB.com. Estevez is expected to be the primary closer for the Royals, with Lucas Erceg also getting some save chances.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
15
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Carlos Estevez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Estevez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .232 357 80 37 74 12 1 13
Since 2022vs Right .211 371 102 29 70 12 3 6
2024vs Left .208 103 25 7 20 2 0 3
2024vs Right .176 109 25 5 18 3 2 2
2023vs Left .268 132 31 19 30 6 0 4
2023vs Right .242 149 47 12 32 4 0 3
2022vs Left .216 122 24 11 24 4 1 6
2022vs Right .204 113 30 12 20 5 1 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-51%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-63%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-1%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.05 1.17 95.2 8 7 31 8.3 3.0 1.1
Since 2022Away 2.40 1.25 78.2 5 7 28 10.8 3.9 0.8
2024Home 3.13 0.79 31.2 4 2 13 7.7 0.3 1.4
2024Away 1.54 1.07 23.1 0 3 13 8.9 4.2 0.0
2023Home 5.35 1.44 35.1 3 4 16 10.4 3.6 1.3
2023Away 2.00 1.56 27.0 2 1 15 12.3 5.7 0.7
2022Home 3.45 1.26 28.2 1 1 2 6.3 5.3 0.6
2022Away 3.49 1.09 28.1 3 3 0 10.8 1.9 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Estevez compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.17
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
96.8 mph
 
ERA
2.45
 
WHIP
0.91
 
BABIP
.239
 
GB/FB
0.82
 
Left On Base
74.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.3%
 
Spin Rate
2103 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.3%
 
Swinging Strike
12.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2017
Despite only recording two of the Angels' first seven saves, Estevez went on to convert a career-best 31 of the team's 43 total saves for a 72.1% team share that was ninth-highest among relievers. The hard-throwing right-hander quickly put a disastrous spring behind him to record a 1.50 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the first two months of the season. He maintained solid ratios through the end of July, even earning his first All-Star selection, but he posted abhorrent numbers over the final two months to finish the year with a disappointing 3.90 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. The 31-year-old produced a career-best 27.8% strikeout rate thanks to his upper-90's fastball, but he also struggled with his command and control, as his 11% walk rate was his worst since his rookie season. Estevez is a wild card for fantasy purposes since he's in the final year of his contract with the Angels. He may open 2024 as LA's closer, but performance risk and/or a possible trade do not inspire much confidence.
Estevez signed a 2-year, $13.5 million deal with the Angels after logging a career-best 3.47 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 57 innings during his final season in Colorado. The right-hander throws his 98 mph fastball roughly 71% of the time, while occasionally mixing in a slider (15%) and changeup (14%) that were more effective in 2022 than they have been in recent years. Estevez's stock should improve a bit now that he's away from Coors Field, where he had a 5.57 ERA and 1.54 WHIP for his career compared to a 3.51 ERA and 1.26 WHIP elsewhere. Save opportunities are likely with his new club, though manager Phil Nevin may deploy a closer committee to start the 2023 season. If Los Angeles does not contend this season, look for the club to trade away veteran Ryan Tepera, who is a free-agent after the season. This would potentially open up more save chances for Estevez in the second half.
Estevez ranked 20th among 2021 qualified relievers with a 1.69 gmLI, which also made him Colorado's highest-leverage reliever last season. He didn't open the year in the closer role, but went 11-for-17 in save chances while posting a 4.38 ERA and 1.49 WHIP over 61.2 innings (64 appearances). He also recorded three wins and a career-high 15 holds while posting the second-best walk rate (7.8%) of his career. Estevez brings upper-90s heat with his fastball, but his changeup and slider have been really ineffective the past two seasons. If he improves those secondary offerings, or gets out of Colorado -- Estevez owns a career 3.51 ERA away from Coors Field compared to a 6.04 ERA otherwise -- he could improve his stock considerably. Estevez remains in the mix to close for Colorado, but Alex Colome is likely the favorite for the job after signing in March.
Estevez was dominant to begin the season as he allowed just one run over 9.1 innings during the season. However, he struggled mightily over the second half of the campaign as he finished the year with a career-worst 7.50 ERA and 1.75 WHIP over 24 innings. The Rockies' closer role was up for grabs for most of the season, and Estevez had several chances to work out of the ninth inning in 2020. However, he converted on just one of his four save chances and failed to secure the job. Many of his struggles came via the long ball, as his 2.25 HR/9 ranked ninth-worst among qualified relievers last season, and he had a 44.2% hard-hit rate that was seventh-worst among qualified relievers. Estevez could have the chance to compete for the closing gig again in 2021 if he can turn things around during the offseason, but his past results suggest that the Rockies could be better off turning toward other options.
Estevez spent the entire 2019 season in the big leagues and had his best season so far, finishing with a 3.75 ERA in 72 innings. That's not a particularly impressive number in a vacuum, but given Coors Field and the juiced ball, it was good for an ERA- of 74. It was also good for second-best on the team among pitchers who threw at least 11 innings, trailing only Scott Oberg. His performance was backed up by a solid 26.3% strikeout rate and 7.5% walk rate. The Rockies are likely to have some uncertainty in the back of their bullpen again this season, so Estevez's 2019 numbers make him a decent candidate for save speculation during draft season. That speculation should probably be limited to drafts in leagues that are quite deep, however, given that Estevez has only had one good season and still calls Coors Field home.
Coming into 2016, Estevez hadn't seen any action above the Double-A level. By the end of the season, however, he was one of the most heavily-used relievers in the Rockies' bullpen. The right-hander made his first appearance in the majors in April, and although his ERA was nothing spectacular, he came out of the gate striking out over a batter per inning. This success led manager Walt Weiss to designate him as the Rockies' closer after Jake McGee got injured, a role he retained into early August. The wheels began to come off, though, as the 23-year-old stumbled to the finish line to conclude the season with a 5.24 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. However, Estevez showed plenty of promise this season, so if he can maintain his high K/9 (9.7 in 2016) and stay sharp over the entire course of the season, he could work his way back into a fairly prominent position in the bullpen hierarchy.
More Fantasy News
Slated for Cactus League debut
PKansas City Royals
Back
March 12, 2025
Estevez (back) is scheduled to make his Cactus League debut Friday against the Angels, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Live BP on tap
PKansas City Royals
Back
March 9, 2025
Estevez (back) is scheduled to throw a live bullpen session Tuesday before potentially making his Cactus League debut Friday against the Angels, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Progressing in bullpen sessions
PKansas City Royals
Back
March 6, 2025
Estevez (back) said he threw his "best bullpen" yet in Thursday's session and is scheduled for another Saturday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nursing lower-back tightness
PKansas City Royals
Back
February 27, 2025
Royals manager Matt Quatraro said Thursday that Estevez has not appeared in a Cactus League game yet due to mild lower-back tightness, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Signing with Kansas City
PKansas City Royals
January 29, 2025
Estevez agreed to a two-year, $20.2 million contract with the Royals on Wednesday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could still find closer job
PFree Agent
January 24, 2025
Estevez is drawing interest from teams looking to use him as a traditional closer, Travis Sawchik of TheScore reports.
ANALYSIS
Estevez's market has been heating up of late, although Sawchik notes that no deal is imminent. The Tigers, Reds, Blue Jays and Cubs are among the clubs that have been connected to the free-agent reliever. Estevez collected a 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 50:12 K:BB over 55 regular-season innings between the Angels and Phillies in 2024.
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