15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 8/12/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
2-5
ERA
5.73
WHIP
1.54
K
39
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2025.
Rehab assignment to begin Friday
Miller (elbow) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Tacoma on Friday, per MLB.com.
Analysis
Friday is set to mark Miller's first game action in nearly two months, and the Mariners are targeting a pitch count in the neighborhood of 55 for the right-hander. Right elbow inflammation has kept Miller on the injured list since June 7, and he figures to make two or three rehab starts before re-entering Seattle's rotation. Once Miller is ready return, it's likely that Logan Evans will be optioned back to the minor leagues.
Friday is set to mark Miller's first game action in nearly two months, and the Mariners are targeting a pitch count in the neighborhood of 55 for the right-hander. Right elbow inflammation has kept Miller on the injured list since June 7, and he figures to make two or three rehab starts before re-entering Seattle's rotation. Once Miller is ready return, it's likely that Logan Evans will be optioned back to the minor leagues.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-29%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .243 | 149 | 61 | 158 | 28 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .215 | 180 | 33 | 149 | 16 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .222 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .313 | 22 | 10 | 36 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .207 | 85 | 32 | 72 | 15 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .192 | 86 | 13 | 59 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .303 | 47 | 16 | 70 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .200 | 72 | 10 | 54 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-37%
ERA at Home
2025
-20%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.00 | 1.03 | 195.0 | 9.1 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.79 | 1.22 | 165.1 | 7.2 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.11 | 1.46 | 24.2 | 7.3 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 6.38 | 1.63 | 24.0 | 7.1 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.96 | 0.87 | 96.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.07 | 1.10 | 84.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.65 | 1.08 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.18 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.70K/9
7.2BB/9
4.3HR/9
0.9Fastball
94.4 mphERA
5.73WHIP
1.54BABIP
.324GB/FB
0.98Left On Base
64.7%Exit Velocity
84.2 mphBarrels/BBE
4.3%Spin Rate
2248 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.0%Swinging Strike
9.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it.
More Fantasy News
Another live BP on Friday
Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Monday that Miller (elbow) will throw another live batting practice session Friday before beginning a rehab assignment, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Facing hitters Saturday
Miller (elbow) will throw live batting practice Saturday, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Hopes to throw live BP in mid-July
Miller (elbow) resumed a light throwing program last week in Arizona, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Likely out 4-to-6 weeks
Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said that Miller received a platelet-rich plasma injection in his right elbow Tuesday after meeting with Dr. Keith Meister and will be shut down from throwing for at least the next two weeks, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports. Hollander noted that Miller could be available to pitch in 4-to-6 weeks if all goes smoothly once he starts throwing again.
Analysis
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Shelved again with inflamed elbow
The Mariners placed Miller on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with right elbow inflammation.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finding success with new splitter
Miller has induced a swing-and-miss on 33 percent of the swings on his new splitter through four starts, per Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times.
Analysis
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.