2025 Stats
W-L
2-3
ERA
4.56
WHIP
1.30
K
37
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Elder reeked of pitchability in 2023 as he came out of nowhere to provide Atlanta with some much-needed innings and out-pitched his stuff. In 2024, he simply reeked. Elder is normally a high ground-ball rate pitcher, but he left too many balls up, and the league hit eight homers off him in 49.2 innings of work, which pushed his ERA up and pushed him up the road on I-85 to Gwinnett to work most of the season. Elder pitched better in Triple-A but will be coming to camp competing with multiple names who have better stuff. Since Elder's fastball is a poor pitch by both velocity and stuff measures, his success is wholly contingent upon his ability to keep the ball on the ground and to stay out of fastball counts. He showed that is possible in 2023 when he was at his best, but 2024 also reminded us how fine a line pitchers of this build must walk. NL Only leaguers should keep an eye on Elder for the depth purposes and spot starts, but not fill out a rotation with him as he is unlikely to work a big load this season with Atlanta. Read Past Outlooks
Falls to Red Sox in return
Elder (2-3) took the loss Sunday against the Red Sox, allowing three runs on six hits and three walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Elder got off to a rocky start Sunday, giving up a three-run, two-out triple to Trevor Story in the first inning. While the right-hander managed to limit the damage from there, Atlanta couldn't climb out of the early hole in an eventual 3-1 defeat. Elder pitched well in his first stint in the majors earlier this season, posting a quality start in four of his last five outings before returning to Triple-A. With AJ Smith-Shawver (elbow) slated for season-ending surgery, Elder figures to remain in Atlanta's rotation moving forward. His ERA sits at 4.56 with a 1.30 WHIP and 37:16 K:BB across nine starts (49.1 innings) this year.
Elder got off to a rocky start Sunday, giving up a three-run, two-out triple to Trevor Story in the first inning. While the right-hander managed to limit the damage from there, Atlanta couldn't climb out of the early hole in an eventual 3-1 defeat. Elder pitched well in his first stint in the majors earlier this season, posting a quality start in four of his last five outings before returning to Triple-A. With AJ Smith-Shawver (elbow) slated for season-ending surgery, Elder figures to remain in Atlanta's rotation moving forward. His ERA sits at 4.56 with a 1.30 WHIP and 37:16 K:BB across nine starts (49.1 innings) this year.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
Even Split
2025
-15%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .259 | 89 | 59 | 137 | 18 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .260 | 122 | 37 | 135 | 17 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .235 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 3 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .275 | 22 | 4 | 28 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .336 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .283 | 27 | 6 | 28 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .241 | 55 | 36 | 81 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .248 | 73 | 27 | 79 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-5%
ERA at Home
2025
-37%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.32 | 1.38 | 145.2 | 7.1 | 3.5 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.57 | 1.30 | 128.0 | 6.8 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.62 | 1.39 | 27.1 | 5.9 | 4.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.73 | 1.18 | 22.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 7.99 | 1.99 | 23.2 | 9.1 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 5.19 | 1.31 | 26.0 | 7.6 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.61 | 1.23 | 94.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.05 | 1.34 | 80.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.31K/9
6.8BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.5Fastball
91.6 mphERA
4.56WHIP
1.30BABIP
.281GB/FB
1.90Left On Base
73.9%Exit Velocity
82.5 mphBarrels/BBE
6.2%Spin Rate
2234 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.4%Swinging Strike
8.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach.
More Fantasy News
Promoted for Sunday's start
Atlanta recalled Elder from Triple-A Gwinnett to start Sunday's game against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Rejoining rotation
Atlanta will recall Elder from Triple-A Gwinnett to start Sunday's game against the Red Sox, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to Triple-A
Atlanta optioned Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Stuck with no-decision
Elder didn't factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and one walk with three strikeouts across six innings during the 5-4 loss to Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in loss
Elder (2-2) took the loss against the Pirates on Friday, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out eight across six innings. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected to rejoin rotation
AJ Smith-Shawver suffered an elbow injury during Thursday's doubleheader against the Phillies, reports Mark Bowman of MLB.com, which should give Elder a chance to re-enter Atlanta's starting rotation.
ANALYSIS
The specifics of the injury aren't clear, but Smith-Shawver could be facing a lengthy absence. Elder was demoted in mid-May when Spencer Strider returned from a hamstring issue, but the former has been adequate in eight starts with the big club this year, posting a 4.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 33:13 K:BB across 44 innings. Elder may not have significant fantasy upside given his lack of strikeouts, but he could have some streaming appeal.
The specifics of the injury aren't clear, but Smith-Shawver could be facing a lengthy absence. Elder was demoted in mid-May when Spencer Strider returned from a hamstring issue, but the former has been adequate in eight starts with the big club this year, posting a 4.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 33:13 K:BB across 44 innings. Elder may not have significant fantasy upside given his lack of strikeouts, but he could have some streaming appeal.