Brendan McKay

Brendan McKay

28-Year-Old PitcherP
Tampa Bay Rays AAA
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Brendan McKay in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#361
ADP
$Signed a two-year, minor-league contract with the Rays in December of 2022.
Shut down with another arm issue
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Elbow
May 14, 2024
McKay will be shut down for 5-to-6 weeks after he was diagnosed Tuesday with a flexor/pronator strain and an accompanying UCL sprain in his left elbow, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The Rays are hopeful that McKay will be able to build back up after the shutdown period and return to full baseball activities in three months. However, given the nature of the injury and McKay's history -- he missed all of 2023 while recovering from Tommy John surgery -- it's far from a guarantee that he'll pitch again in 2024. The lefty had pitched well at Double-A Montgomery this season before getting hurt, allowing just two runs (one earned) with a 17:1 K:BB over 18 innings. He was promoted to Triple-A Durham on May 3 but didn't appear in any games before being placed on the 7-day injured list that same day and then getting transferred to the 60-day IL on Saturday.
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2022
2019
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brendan McKay See More
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL East
236 days ago
Brad Johnson moves to pitching in the American League East, where in Baltimore, the Orioles signed pitching Ace Corbin Burnes to lead the team.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
May 2, 2022
Pitcher Shane McClanahan is one of a number of young players Erik Halterman believes is jumping to the next level.
Collette Calls: Chasing Wins
March 3, 2022
Much has been made of the changing saves market, but what about how wins are dispersed? Jason Collette looks at trends and beneficial conditions for starting pitching and relief wins.
Pitching Prospect Tiers for 2022
November 16, 2021
James Anderson puts 94 pitching prospects into tiers for 2022 value only, with Rays righty Shane Baz leading a tier of three at the top.
Bernie on the Scene: Trade Deadline Edition
July 26, 2021
Bernie Pleskoff looks at players who could be moved at the trade deadline. Will the Mariners trade Mitch Haniger?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
A shoulder injury that first popped up in February and ultimately required surgery wiped out McKay's 2020 season and his chance to progress from a rough rookie campaign. The brief time he did spend on the mound gives little insight into what might have been, as McKay balanced one impressive spring-training appearance in relief with one ugly start. His dominance in the minors (1.78 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 over 172 innings) oversells his realistic MLB upside moving forward. From a stuff standpoint, he looks much more like a No. 4 starter than a No. 2 starter, and he also has the shoulder surgery and the Rays' frustrating pitcher usage to contend with. Even if he gets back for part of spring training, it seems likely that he would open the year at Triple-A or in extended spring training. This is his final minor-league option year and there are more reasons than not to avoid McKay in redraft mixed leagues.
McKay, the No. 4 overall pick in 2017, had a 1.21 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and 88:15 K:BB in 66.2 innings at Double-A and Triple-A when he got the call for his MLB debut on June 29. He pitched OK in his first three outings, but logged a 7.34 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over his next 30.2 MLB innings, with a few trips back to Triple-A mixed in. The strikeouts and walks were fine for McKay. The big difference between the minors and majors was hard contact. His groundball rate plummeted from 47.1% at Triple-A to 35.2% and he gave up eight home runs after giving up just three in the minors. Touted as a big southpaw with command of a deep arsenal, McKay threw his four-seam fastball and curveball a combined 83.3% of the time in the big leagues, so perhaps working in his cutter and changeup more would help keep hitters off balance. There is strikeout upside, but he will have to earn a true starter's role for the free-thinking Rays.
The bulk of the MLB value McKay will provide will come as a starting pitcher, but he will continue to be developed as a two-way player, for now. The 6-foot-2 southpaw dominated across 78.1 innings, primarily at Low-A and High-A. McKay works with a plus fastball (92-94 mph) and plus cutter, mixing in a curveball and changeup that are solid third and fourth pitches. His advanced strike-throwing ability allows his arsenal to play up. He missed a month in the middle of the season with a strained oblique and his GB% plummeted from an elite 61.0% in the Midwest League to a below-average 37.7% in the Florida State League. Already 23 years old, McKay seems destined to be a No. 3 starter, as early as 2020. At the plate, he walks almost as much as he strikes out, but that passivity prohibits him from regularly getting to his plus power. He is no Shohei Ohtani, but could get some starts at first base or DH against righties when he is not pitching.
The dream of a true two-way player is alive with McKay, who received the second highest bonus in the 2017 draft. He was Hudson Valley's starting pitcher every Sunday, got Wednesday's off for his side session, and saw time at first base and DH in between. On the mound, the 6-foot-2 lefty has a quality four-pitch mix, led by his 93-94 mph fastball. He notched a 21:5 K:BB in 20 innings while holding hitters to a .147 average, looking the part of a future mid-rotation starter. As a hitter, he slashed .268/.374/.454 with four home runs in 97 at-bats against righties, but was completely overmatched in a small sample against lefties. The Rays have said they envisioned him as a hitter when they drafted him, so he may still end up as a full-time first baseman. He worked strictly as a hitter in fall instructs after reaching his innings limit on the mound, but given his relative success in both roles, he will probably go back out as a two-way player again this season.
More Fantasy News
Sent to minor-league camp
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 15, 2024
The Rays reassigned McKay to minor-league camp Friday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in short stints
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 7, 2024
McKay has thrown two scoreless innings while striking out three and walking one across two outings in Grapefruit League action.
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Making good impression
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Elbow
February 12, 2024
McKay (elbow) has impressed the Rays with how he looked toward the end of last season and early on this spring, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back with Rays
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Elbow
December 15, 2022
McKay (elbow) signed a two-year, minor-league contract with the Rays on Thursday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Headed to open market
PFree Agent  AAA
Elbow
November 14, 2022
The Rays released McKay (elbow) on Monday, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May have fourth option
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
November 2, 2021
The Rays are expected to be granted a fourth option year for McKay, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The standard rule is that a player can be optioned to the minors for three seasons without being subjected to waivers. However, when a player fails to accrue five seasons of service time combined between both the majors and minors and the team has already used all of its minor-league options on that player, a fourth option year is typically granted. That has been the case for McKay, as he was sidelined for all of the 2020 campaign with a shoulder injury and managed only seven starts in 2021 prior to being shut down by a flexor strain.
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