Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Don't be discouraged by Pfaadt's bloated 4.71 ERA; all the estimators peg it at least a run better. He was victimized by a low 64.5 percent left on base mark. The righty improved his strikeout and walk rates last season while fixing the gopheritis plaguing him in his rookie year. Pfaadt adjusted his pitch mix, throwing more sinkers at the expense of four-seam fastballs. In 2023, his change-up generated a negative Fangraphs Pitch Value, but last year it rated as Pfaadt's second best offering, though he used it only 11.2 percent of the time. His sweeper sported the highest swinging strike rate of his repertoire. Pfaadt has demonstrated willingness to adjust, and it appears he has the arsenal to fine tune even more. Last season's high ERA could drop his acquisition cost. Buy the floor, and dream on further tweaks elevating Pfaadt to the next level. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#194
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $45 million contract extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2025. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2031 and $25 million mutual option for 2032.
Embarrassed in Saturday's loss
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 31, 2025
Pfaadt (7-4) failed to record an out while taking the loss Saturday versus the Nationals, allowing eight runs on six hits and two hit batsmen.
ANALYSIS
Four of the six hits were doubles, which allowed the Nationals to keep the line moving during Pfaadt's brief outing. Scott McGough was unable to stop the bleeding immediately, and the Diamondbacks were down 10-0 before sending a batter to the plate themselves. The silver lining here is that it's tough for Pfaadt to ever have a worse appearance in his career. His ERA jumped from 3.90 to 5.05, and he's added a 1.32 WHIP and 49:15 K:BB across 62.1 innings over 12 starts. He's tentatively projected to make his next start on the road in Cincinnati.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Brandon Pfaadt generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brandon Pfaadt generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .283 753 152 49 195 39 6 30
Since 2023vs Right .252 697 176 34 164 33 3 28
2025vs Left .270 173 33 9 43 11 0 7
2025vs Right .273 96 16 6 24 5 0 5
2024vs Left .294 385 76 24 104 17 5 12
2024vs Right .224 375 109 18 79 14 1 12
2023vs Left .273 195 43 16 48 11 1 11
2023vs Right .290 226 51 10 61 14 2 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 5.30 1.40 164.2 13 12 0 9.1 2.4 1.1
Since 2023Away 4.83 1.20 175.1 8 11 0 8.3 2.1 1.9
2025Home 4.15 1.32 30.1 4 2 0 7.4 2.1 0.3
2025Away 5.91 1.31 32.0 3 2 0 6.8 2.3 3.1
2024Home 5.09 1.31 88.1 7 5 0 9.7 2.0 1.3
2024Away 4.34 1.17 93.1 4 5 0 8.7 2.1 1.1
2023Home 6.46 1.63 46.0 2 5 0 9.0 3.1 1.4
2023Away 5.04 1.20 50.0 1 4 0 8.6 1.8 2.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Pfaadt compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.27
 
K/9
7.1
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
5.05
 
WHIP
1.32
 
BABIP
.303
 
GB/FB
1.58
 
Left On Base
69.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.3%
 
Spin Rate
2539 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Many will point to Pfaadt's postseason and ignore the regular season. While those five starts can't be ignored, Pfaadt foreshadowed his playoff success with a strong second half. After his first six outings, Pfaadt recorded an ugly 9.82 ERA and 1.87 WHIP, with only 21 strikeouts in 25.2 frames. His issue was a 3.2 HR/9 mark. Pfaadt was recalled after the All-Star break and posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 73 punchouts in 70.1 innings, with a still high but improved 1.7 HR/9. Pfaadt is a fly ball pitcher, so he'll continue to be homer-prone, but his BABIP should be below average, especially with strong defenders chasing down fly balls in the desert. However, Pfaadt threw fewer four-seamers and more sinkers in the postseason, with a 1.23 HR/9. If he carries this over to his sophomore season, Pfaadt could keep more balls in the yard. The concern in redraft leagues is someone may chase last season's postseason exploits. Expecting a full season of what Pfaadt did over the second half is the sage approach.
Perhaps a sleeper in shallower redraft leagues, Pfaadt is now an in-demand pitching prospect in dynasty and draft and hold formats after he built up to 167 innings and had a very strong showing in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Among PCL pitchers with at least 50 innings, Pfaadt ranked third in ERA (2.63) and first in WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (24.8%). Nobody was all that close to him in WHIP or K-BB%, so it's safe to say that Pfaadt was the best pitcher in the league. The 6-foot-4 righty has a well-rounded pitch mix, featuring a mid-90s fastball with good ride, a plus slider with sharp bite and a solid changeup. Most scouts have him pegged as a No. 3 or No. 4 starter in real life, but the stats suggest there might be a little more here. He won't have any workload restrictions in 2023 and could crack the big-league rotation out of spring training.
More Fantasy News
Falls short of quality start
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 25, 2025
Pfaadt did not factor in the decision during Sunday's loss to St. Louis. He yielded three runs on five hits and a walk over 5.2 innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up three homers in win
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 19, 2025
Pfaadt (7-3) allowed three runs on three hits and a walk while failing to record a strikeout over six innings to earn the win over the Dodgers on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Yields four runs in loss
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 13, 2025
Pfaadt (6-3) allowed four runs on six hits and three walks while striking out three over four innings to take the loss versus the Giants on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Tames Dodgers for sixth win
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2025
Pfaadt (6-2) allowed four hits and three walks while striking out six over 6.1 scoreless innings to earn the win Thursday over the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up two homers in loss
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 3, 2025
Pfaadt (5-2) took the loss against the Phillies on Saturday, allowing seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade candidate
PArizona Diamondbacks
November 17, 2024
The Diamondbacks could trade Pfaadt during the offseason, per Will Sammon and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Pfaadt won't be eligible for his first year of arbitration until 2027, so he could be targeted as a cost-controlled starter. The 26-year-old righty had a 4.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 185:42 K:BB over 181.2 innings during 2024, though teams could view him more favorably due to a 3.58 xFIP.
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