Bobby Miller

Bobby Miller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Following a promising rookie campaign, Miller was slated to be a key piece of the Dodgers' rotation in 2024, but after a dominant six-inning, 11-strikeout, scoreless first start, he took a big step back and ended the year in the minors. Injuries played a part in his rough campaign, as the right-hander missed over two months early with a shoulder issue and later dealt with a minor knee injury. All told, the right-hander posted an ugly 8.52 ERA and 1.77 WHIP while serving up 17 homers over just 56 innings. Miller's Statcast numbers tell the story of a hurler who didn't fool many hitters and was continuously pounded -- while his 97.5 mph average fastball velocity ranked in the 94th percentile among pitchers, he ranked in just the 27th percentile with a 20.2% strikeout rate and in the first percentile in allowing a 91.5 mph average exit velocity. Miller looked so great as a rookie that Los Angeles is likely to give him a chance to turn things around, but he may have to compete with Tony Gonsolin, Dustin May, Landon Knack and possibly others for the sixth spot in what projects to be a deep Dodgers rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#382
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in March of 2025.
Ready to pitch at Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
March 26, 2025
Miller (concussion) is listed as a projected starter for Triple-A Oklahoma City's third game of the season Sunday versus Sugar Land.
ANALYSIS
Miller was unable to make a push for a spot on the Dodgers' Opening Day roster after he took a comebacker to the head in his Cactus League debut Feb. 20, resulting in him being placed in concussion protocol. Though he didn't make any other appearances in spring training, Miller was cleared to resume throwing a few days after suffering the injury and was able to get stretched out through simulated games and minor-league games on the back fields of camp. Miller should make regular turns through the Oklahoma City rotation as he keeps himself ready for a potential starting opportunity with the Dodgers later on in the season.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .234 391 93 37 82 12 4 14
Since 2023vs Right .271 372 78 25 92 17 0 15
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .303 123 28 14 33 2 1 9
2024vs Right .308 135 24 16 36 5 0 8
2023vs Left .202 268 65 23 49 10 3 5
2023vs Right .252 237 54 9 56 12 0 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.63 1.11 83.2 7 3 0 8.7 2.8 1.4
Since 2023Away 5.77 1.48 96.2 6 5 0 8.4 3.4 1.5
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.78 1.18 26.1 2 0 0 9.9 3.8 2.1
2024Away 11.83 2.29 29.2 0 4 0 7.0 5.8 3.3
2023Home 4.55 1.08 57.1 5 3 0 8.2 2.4 1.1
2023Away 3.09 1.12 67.0 6 1 0 9.0 2.3 0.7
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Prospect Rankings History
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bobby Miller See More
Spring Training Job Battles: National League Update
4 days ago
Much has been decided in the National League over the last few days, including the Giants' fifth starter job, which was won by Landen Roupp.
Spring Training Job Battles: NL West
16 days ago
Every team in the National League West has a battle at the back of its rotation this spring, though the Dodgers' contest has just been won by Dustin May.
The Z Files: Normalizing the ATC Pitching Projections
17 days ago
Todd Zola tries to remove volume from the equation when determining the value of pitchers, and finds that the market may have over-corrected on Logan Webb.
Three Ways to Lose Your Fantasy League
25 days ago
Erik Halterman takes a look at three major mistakes he made in last year's Tout Wars NL-Only league in an attempt to avoid the same pitfalls this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
There is no other way to say it; Miller is going to be one of the most highly sought after pitchers in fantasy baseball this season after his successful rookie debut. He won half his 22 starts at the big league level showcasing elite velocity as well as six different offerings - five of which had at least a 20% whiff rate attached to them. It is impossible not to be excited about Miller's fantasy future as long as his right arm avoids the surgeon's table after watching so many talented pitchers run into that unfortunate future in recent seasons and especially last season. The only area where Miller could stand to improve is generating more strikeouts as his current production is not limited by his stuff but more by the fact opposing batters do not chase his stuff out of the zone. Once he is able to get hitters into protect mode more frequently, the sky is the limit for him. Miller's upside is staff ace, but it is unlikely he will provide the same volume of other aces in 2024.
Miller's pure stuff and ability to miss bats has not been in question since he was drafted by the Dodgers at the end of the first round in 2020. Inconsistency has been an issue for most of his pro career, but he finished 2022 with his best run to date. From July on, the 6-foot-5 righty logged a 3.56 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an 82:16 K:BB in 55.2 innings across 11 starts between Double-A and Triple-A. Even in this impressive stretch, Miller failed to make it out of the third inning in three of his 11 starts and he struck out double-digit batters in four of 11 starts, so inconsistency remains. However, when he was on, he looked like a potential high-strikeout No. 2 starter whose power arsenal (fastball/slider/changeup) should make up for imperfect command and mechanics. The Dodgers have fifth starter candidates Ryan Pepiot and Michael Grove on the 40-man roster while the more exciting duo of Gavin Stone and Miller remain off the 40-man roster entering the year. This may not be a meritocracy right away, and the team could still trade for or sign another starter to further crowd the picture.
The No. 29 pick in the 2020 draft, Miller made his pro debut in 2021, logging 66.1 innings across High-A, Double-A and the Arizona Fall League. An oblique strain limited his innings, but his 7.2 BB% and 28.9 K% across his three stops were strong marks. He has good size at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, and he can touch 100 mph with his mid-90s fastballs -- he throws both a four-seamer and a sinker. He throws three secondaries, all of which have above-average to plus potential. Miller was babied for most of the year, throwing less than four innings in 12 of his 17 pre-AFL starts. It might even be a stretch for Miller to get up over 100 innings in his age-23 season. There's a high ceiling to dream on, but there's also still plenty of risk that he doesn't make it as a true 160-plus inning starter.
The Dodgers have had success getting the most out of pitching prospects, and they have a lot to work with in Miller, the No. 29 overall pick in last year's draft. Despite a big frame (6-foot-5, 220 pounds) and a quality four-pitch repertoire, he carries some bullpen risk, as he had an 11.2 BB% in 2019 and a 9.7 BB% in four starts as a junior at Louisville. His mid-90s sinker touches 99 mph, but he might be better served emphasizing his fourseamer more in pro ball. He also has a plus slider that can touch the low-90s along with a changeup and curveball that have above-average potential. He has an unusual delivery and worked as a reliever for parts of his first two campaigns, only logging 20 starts across two-plus seasons. All of his shortcomings are potentially correctable, and the quality and depth of his arsenal suggests he could develop into a No. 2 starter if he can improve his command.
More Fantasy News
Optioned to Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
Head
March 11, 2025
The Dodgers optioned Miller (head) to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Facing hitters Friday
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
Head
March 7, 2025
Miller (head) will throw a live batting practice session Friday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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No longer in concussion protocol
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
March 2, 2025
Miller is out of concussion protocol and has returned to throwing bullpen sessions, per MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for bullpen session
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
Concussion
February 26, 2025
Miller (concussion) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to resume throwing
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
Head
February 24, 2025
Miller (head) will resume throwing Monday, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Ride the wave
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
August 21, 2023
Miller owns a 1.15 ERA in his last three outings and is slated for a two-start week ahead.
ANALYSIS
Miller will likely face Boston and Cleveland in coming days. Boston ranks 18th in total home runs but third in team batting average, while Cleveland ranks last in all power metrics but strikes out the least of any team in baseball. Miller's 3.70 ERA aligns with his 3.73 xERA through 14 starts, symbolizing the reliability the 24-year-old brings to the table.
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