2025 Stats
W-L
4-3
ERA
3.14
WHIP
1.08
K
41
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
Fantastic finish to May
Falter (4-3) allowed two hits and a walk while striking out one over 6.1 shutout innings to earn the win Saturday over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Falter went 3-0 with just four runs allowed (three earned) over 35.2 innings across his six starts in May. The one downside was his 19:13 K:BB, though Falter has never been one to rack up strikeouts. On the year, he's at a 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 41:22 K:BB through 66 innings over 12 starts. He is tentatively projected to next take the mound at home against his former team, the Phillies, next weekend.
Falter went 3-0 with just four runs allowed (three earned) over 35.2 innings across his six starts in May. The one downside was his 19:13 K:BB, though Falter has never been one to rack up strikeouts. On the year, he's at a 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 41:22 K:BB through 66 innings over 12 starts. He is tentatively projected to next take the mound at home against his former team, the Phillies, next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-43%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .310 | 38 | 13 | 75 | 11 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .244 | 160 | 74 | 206 | 29 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .316 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .180 | 34 | 18 | 31 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .277 | 19 | 6 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .255 | 78 | 39 | 105 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .364 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .269 | 48 | 17 | 70 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-23%
ERA at Home
2025
-39%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.83 | 1.12 | 150.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.00 | 1.44 | 138.2 | 5.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.45 | 0.82 | 36.2 | 5.4 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.99 | 1.40 | 29.1 | 5.8 | 4.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.98 | 1.25 | 74.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.92 | 1.33 | 67.2 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.85 | 1.18 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.83 | 1.63 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.86K/9
5.6BB/9
3.0HR/9
0.8Fastball
92.0 mphERA
3.14WHIP
1.08BABIP
.229GB/FB
1.03Left On Base
68.7%Exit Velocity
83.4 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
1995 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.7%Swinging Strike
7.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
More Fantasy News
Falls short of quality start
Falter did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits and three walks over 5.2 innings in a 6-5 loss against the Brewers. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Cincy for third win
Falter (3-3) picked up the win in Tuesday's 1-0 victory over the Reds, scattering four hits over seven scoreless innings. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Runs up pitch count Wednesday
Falter did not factor into Wednesday's decision against the Mets, allowing three hits and five walks while striking out three across 3.2 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses six scoreless frames in win
Falter (2-3) earned the win against Atlanta on Friday, allowing two hits and two walks while striking out three over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in quality start
Falter did not factor into the decision of Saturday's game against the Padres, allowing one run on two hits and two walks while striking out six over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Makes Pirates history
Falter's 0.76 ERA across six starts in June is the lowest mark by a Pirates pitcher that made at least six starts in a month since 1920.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander's fantasy upside continues to be limited due to his low strikeout numbers, but he was dominant in May with just three earned runs allowed and a 19:13 K:BB across 35.2 innings. Falter was a decent rotation piece for Pittsburgh last year with a 4.43 ERA in 28 starts, but he's looking like a borderline All-Star early in 2025 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 66 innings.
The left-hander's fantasy upside continues to be limited due to his low strikeout numbers, but he was dominant in May with just three earned runs allowed and a 19:13 K:BB across 35.2 innings. Falter was a decent rotation piece for Pittsburgh last year with a 4.43 ERA in 28 starts, but he's looking like a borderline All-Star early in 2025 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 66 innings.