Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#382
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.22 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2025.
Logs quality start in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 29, 2025
Falter did not factor into the decision in Saturday's 5-4 extra-innings loss to the Marlins, allowing two runs on seven hits and no walks with four strikeouts over six innings.
ANALYSIS
Falter started strong with four scoreless innings but exited in a 2-2 tie after giving up runs in the fifth and sixth frames. The 27-year-old was efficient, throwing 56 strikes on 87 pitches and generating nine whiffs. He's slated for a tough matchup with the Yankees next weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .309 198 31 9 58 14 0 9
Since 2023vs Right .262 763 130 56 181 41 2 25
2025vs Left .333 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
2025vs Right .300 22 4 0 6 4 0 0
2024vs Left .277 126 19 6 33 9 0 3
2024vs Right .255 463 78 39 105 25 1 14
2023vs Left .364 69 12 3 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .269 278 48 17 70 12 1 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.28 1.22 113.2 7 7 0 7.0 2.3 1.3
Since 2023Away 5.15 1.43 115.1 3 11 0 5.7 2.8 1.3
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 3.00 1.17 6.0 0 0 0 6.0 0.0 0.0
2024Home 3.98 1.25 74.2 5 4 0 6.5 2.7 1.2
2024Away 4.92 1.33 67.2 3 5 0 5.7 3.1 0.9
2023Home 4.85 1.18 39.0 2 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2023Away 5.83 1.63 41.2 0 6 0 5.6 2.8 2.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
6.0
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
3.00
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.351
 
GB/FB
1.60
 
Left On Base
71.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.3%
 
Spin Rate
1978 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
40.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
Good to go Monday
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 16, 2025
Falter (general soreness) is scheduled to start Monday's split-squad game against the Tigers, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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No longer pitching Thursday
PPittsburgh Pirates
Undisclosed
March 13, 2025
Falter did not recover well from his catch session Wednesday and is no longer scheduled to pitch in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should have rotation spot
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 12, 2025
Falter is projected to begin the season in the Pirates' rotation, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets $2.22 million for 2025
PPittsburgh Pirates
January 9, 2025
Falter and the Pirates avoided arbitration by agreeing Thursday to a one-year, $2.22 million contract, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in final outing
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 29, 2024
Falter did not factor into the decision in Sunday's loss to the Yankees, allowing four earned runs on four hits and three walks in three innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
June 28, 2022
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
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