Andrew Chafin

Andrew Chafin

34-Year-Old PitcherRP
Detroit Tigers AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Andrew Chafin in 2025. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Tigers in February of 2025. Contract is worth $2.5 million at MLB level.
Bound for Triple-A
PDetroit Tigers  AAA
March 26, 2025
Chafin will report to Trriple-A Toledo after the Tigers informed him Wednesday that he won't be included on the Opening Day roster and will be reassigned to the minors, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Even though the Tigers unexpectedly had an extra spot in the bullpen available with Jason Foley surprisingly getting optioned to Triple-A coming off a 28-save season with Detroit, Chafin wasn't able to make the cut. While the 34-year-old lefty boasts a fairly long track record of success in the majors, a poor spring in which he yielded eight earned runs on seven hits and six walks over six Grapefruit League innings kept him from winning an Opening Day spot. Brenan Hanifee instead appears to have clinched the final opening in the Detroit bullpen.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .269 186 52 24 43 9 1 2
Since 2023vs Right .220 284 81 35 54 7 2 9
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .273 102 32 13 24 3 0 2
2024vs Right .228 144 38 18 28 2 0 3
2023vs Left .264 84 20 11 19 6 1 0
2023vs Right .211 140 43 17 26 5 2 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 5.04 1.72 55.1 4 7 4 11.7 5.7 0.7
Since 2023Away 3.10 1.17 52.1 3 0 5 10.5 4.1 1.2
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.23 1.73 27.2 2 3 0 12.0 5.5 0.3
2024Away 2.83 1.22 28.2 2 0 1 10.4 4.4 1.3
2023Home 5.86 1.70 27.2 2 4 4 11.4 5.9 1.0
2023Away 3.42 1.10 23.2 1 0 4 10.6 3.8 1.1
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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Chafin has pitched for six different teams over the last four seasons, as there's always a market for steady left-handed relievers. After inking a 1-year deal with Arizona last February, the 33-year-old was one of the D'Backs most trusted relievers early on. He even got some run as the team's closer, tallying eight saves over the first two months. Chafin continued to find success with his slider (.111 BA), which had the 6th-highest whiff percentage (55.8%) in the league for that pitch type. Unfortunately, the southpaw couldn't sustain his early-season success and was traded to Milwaukee at the deadline. He closed out 2023 with a 5.82 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 14:10 K:BB over his final 17 innings and had his $7.25 million club option for 2024 declined. Chafin should still find work this season based on his experience and handedness, but he may be entering the downswing of his career.
Chafin only threw 9.2 innings in 2020, so last season was his first pitching with the three-batter minimum rule. In 2019, Chafin faced lefthanders 60 percent of the time, but last year the southpaw faced lefties in just 39 percent of plate appearances. The shift didn't affect Chafin as his OPS against righthanders was a stingy .551 and an even more frugal .473 with the platoon edge. Normally, Chafin's groundball tilt limits homers, but renders a high BABIP. Lasts season, he yielded a customarily low four homers in 68.2 innings, while enjoying a fortunate .232 BABIP. Facing more righthanders did lower Chafin's strikeout rate, so he needed all the luck he could muster. Chafin's 1.83 ERA and .93 WHIP from last season may look enticing, but they are both due a steep correction. There are safer options in leagues where middle relievers are useful.
Chafin bears a resemblance to former closer Todd Jones. He pitches like him with the two-pitch mixture, but he has 317 fewer career saves than the former Tigers stopper. Chafin is a slider-first pitcher, as he throws the pitch 40% of the time with good reason. It is an excellent pitch which has generated a mid-20s whiff percentage the past few years. His fastball is decent enough, but the slider is the money maker for Chafin. That's the pitch that has helped him strike out at least 25% of the hitters he has faced in each of the past four seasons. The lefty does a decent enough job against righties so he can shed a LOOGY label, but he will pitch around righties to get to lefties which impacts his WHIP in a negative way. In NL-leagues, he's a quality source of reliever strikeouts but offers little value otherwise.
Chafin made 77 appearances and recorded a 3.10 ERA, overcoming a poor 11.9% walk rate with above-average strikeout (25.1%) and groundball (50.4%) rates. His role began to approach true-LOOGY territory, however, limiting his total innings to just 49.1 and putting a cap on his fantasy value. His average appearance was a career-low 0.64 innings, while a career-high 51% of the batters he faced were lefties. He actually fared better against righties, holding them to a .257 wOBA compared to .302 for lefties, though that's likely a one-season, BABIP-driven blip, as he's historically had fairly typical splits. The 28-year-old will likely remain a competent bullpen piece for the Diamondbacks this season, but he's unlikely to be considered in the closer conversation, and he doesn't have the high workload or dominant strikeout rate required to be a valuable fantasy asset without saves.
Chafin was among the unheralded bullpen options who stepped up to provide the D-backs with quality innings in 2017. He was used in a variety of roles, logging 51.1 innings in 71 appearances, a workload considerably heavier than that of a LOOGY. Chafin missed bats at a good clip (27.6 percent) and managed to trim his walk rate from 11.2 to 9.5 percent, churning out an ERA (3.51) that was more in line with his FIP (3.39) than the 6.75 mark he pitched to in 32 appearances in 2016. Holding lefties to a .217/.281/.284 line, Chafin needs to continue improving against righties (.261/.354/.439) in order to take another step forward. Working frequently with a sinker and slider combo, Chafin continues to get a lot of outs on the ground (56.3 percent). If he can do that, more high-leverage opportunities may be on tap, but Chafin is unlikely to close with Brad Boxberger and Archie Bradley ahead of him in the pecking order for saves in the Arizona bullpen.
After a stellar 2015, Chafin endured a disappointing 2016. The lefty was slowed by shoulder and groin injuries, and he ended up only pitching 22.2 innings at the big league level. A year earlier, Chafin led Arizona relievers by appearing in 66 games and tossing 75 innings. That year, he posted a 2.76 ERA to go along with a 1.15 WHIP. Those numbers ballooned last year. There were some encouraging signs, however. Chafin bumped his K/9 rate to 11.1 -- a significant jump from the 7.0 figure he posted in 2015. And Chafin's 2.89 FIP last season indicates that he was the victim of some bad luck. If he can keep his strikeout rate up, Chafin should post good numbers as one of Arizona's top left-handed relievers. Look for Chafin to gobble up some more holds after he recorded six last season and 16 in 2015.
Chafin was a key contributor to the Arizona bullpen in 2015, leading the unit in games and innings. In his age-25 season the lefty posted a 2.76 ERA across 75 innings, while striking out 58. He was particularly tough on left-handed hitters, holding them to a .182 batting average (righties hit .225 off Chafin). Now entering his second full season with the Diamondbacks, Chafin is poised to once again be a big part of the bullpen. Brad Ziegler figures to return as the closer, meaning Chafin, who had 16 holds a season ago, could be the main setup guy, though his effectiveness against lefties might lead to him pitching earlier in games depending on matchups. Any ineffectiveness on Ziegler’s part could lead to a change at the back end of the Arizona bullpen, although Daniel Hudson is probably a more likely replacement option than Chafin.
Chafin enjoyed a measure of prospect status coming up with the Diamondbacks as a former first-round pick, but his stuff leveled out a bit in the high minors, giving him more of a back-end projection as opposed to someone who could be an impact starter. His command and control faltered at Triple-A, but he still earned three late-season starts that contained limited success. Chafin’s best-case scenario is to become a Patrick Corbin-lite by tightening up his command to curb the free passes and long balls. There is no room at the inn with the Diamondbacks' rotation right now so Chafin will likely have to hone his skills in Triple-A, which can be tricky given the PCL hitting environment. While the best-case scenario involves a rotation spot, the most likely scenario puts Chafin in the bullpen though not necessarily as just a lefty-killer.
The left-handed Chafin had a very good year at High-A and Double-A in 2013, showing improved control after the promotion while seeing his strikeout rate fall. He sports three very effective pitches, mixing a fastball, slider and changeup in his arsenal. Chafin will likely open the season at Triple-A Reno alongside Archie Bradley, and he sits in the same boat as many of the Diamondbacks' young pitching prospects: an injury, trade, or letdown away from a chance at a few starts in Phoenix.
More Fantasy News
Jockeying for MLB roster spot
PDetroit Tigers  AAA
March 23, 2025
Chafin is still in the mix for Detroit's final bullpen spot to begin the regular season, along with Brant Hurter and Brenan Hanifee, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Re-ups on MiLB deal
PDetroit Tigers  AAA
February 24, 2025
Chafin signed a minor-league contract with the Tigers on Monday that includes an invitation to spring training.
ANALYSIS
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Headed to free agency
PFree Agent  AAA
November 4, 2024
The Rangers declined Chafin's 2025 team option Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Dealt to Rangers
PTexas Rangers  AAA
July 30, 2024
The Tigers traded Chafin to the Rangers on Tuesday in exchange for Joseph Montalvo and Chase Lee, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Records first save
PDetroit Tigers  AAA
July 6, 2024
Chafin struck out the only batter he faced Saturday en route to earning a save in the Tigers' 5-3 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
No guarantees of roster spot
PDetroit Tigers  AAA
February 25, 2025
Manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Chafin won't be guaranteed a place on the Opening Day roster after signing a minor-league contract Monday, reports Evan Woodbery of MLive.com.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander is back for his third stint with the Tigers but will likely need a strong showing in spring training to earn a roster spot. Chafin has recorded double-digit holds in each of the past four seasons and has a 2.96 ERA across his two previous stints in Detroit.
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