Alexander Canario

Alexander Canario

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Mets AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Canario has seen a little time with the Cubs the last two seasons, but he's still waiting for the opportunity to seize a regular role. He appeared in 15 games last year after playing in six games in 2023, and he's posted a strong .857 OPS across 42 MLB at-bats. The 24-year-old has displayed some good offensive ability in the minors as well, including last year, when he sported an .850 OPS and popped 18 home runs across 64 games for Triple-A Omaha. The problem for Canario right now is finding his place with Chicago. He primarily plays the corner outfield spots, but that's where the Cubs have Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ. Youngster Pete Crow-Armstrong is also seemingly locked into center for the foreseeable future, and Cody Bellinger will be back in 2025 as well to play the outfield and serve as a DH. Until Canario can supplant any of those players, his best-case scenario is serving as a reserve outfielder at the MLB level, which isn't particularly appealing to fantasy managers. However, there is some upside here in case Canario is able to secure more playing time at any point. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2024. Traded to the Mets in February of 2025.
Dropped from 40-man
OFNew York Mets  AAA
March 27, 2025
The Mets designated Canario for assignment Thursday, Abbey Mastracco of the New York Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mets acquired Canario this offseason in a trade with the Cubs, and the 24-year-old did a nice job in spring training, logging a 1.030 OPS over 43 plate appearances. He'll ultimately miss out on being part of New York's Opening Day roster, but his age and consistent success at the plate are sure to draw attention from other clubs on the waiver wire.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2020
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+64%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .786 14 2 0 1 0 .357 .357 .429
Since 2023vs Right .894 31 3 2 7 1 .250 .323 .571
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .875 8 2 0 1 0 .375 .375 .500
2024vs Right .762 20 2 1 1 1 .235 .350 .412
2023vs Left .667 6 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333
2023vs Right 1.091 11 1 1 6 0 .273 .273 .818
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+55%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .786 28 4 2 6 1 .231 .286 .500
Since 2023Away .974 17 1 0 2 0 .375 .412 .563
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home .689 20 3 1 1 1 .222 .300 .389
2024Away 1.071 8 1 0 1 0 .429 .500 .571
2023Home 1.000 8 1 1 5 0 .250 .250 .750
2023Away .889 9 0 0 1 0 .333 .333 .556
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Alexander Canario See More
The Z Files: The Wisdom of Crowds and ATC Projections
38 days ago
Todd Zola explains how projected playing time and a skills-based approach helps him identify upside plays late in a draft, as well as leading him to put Aaron Judge at the top of his personal rankings.
Farm Futures: Rookie Outfielder Targets
129 days ago
James Anderson looks at the landscape of rookie outfielders who could provide 2025 fantasy value, including targets like Jasson Dominguez, Heston Kjerstad and Colby Thomas plus avoids like Chandler Simpson!
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
A hard-hitting righty slugger with some notable flaws, Canario has one minor-league option year remaining, which will likely assure he begins the year at Triple-A. He'll enter the year eligible at UT-only in most formats, but he's a solid right fielder who could gain outfield eligibility during the season or heading into 2025. Shoulder and ankle injuries limited him to 42 games at Triple-A and the majors in 2023. His .276/.342/.524 slash line at Triple-A was above league average (111 wRC+), but his 28 percent strikeout rate was a little higher than we'd like to see from a 23-year-old bat-first player at Triple-A. He's already with his second organization (traded from San Francisco along with Caleb Kilian at the 2021 trade deadline for Kris Bryant), and he would probably benefit from another trade, as he won't be displacing Seiya Suzuki or Ian Happ. There are some similarities to Nelson Velazquez - a righty slugger who was mostly limited to short-side platoon work with the Cubs but emerged as an everyday option late last season with the rebuilding Royals.
In 2021, Canario looked like a slugger with a very low probability of hitting enough to make it as a big-league regular. His 2022 was strong enough that he protected his place on the 40-man roster, but there are still significant questions about the hit tool. Unfortunately, he suffered a broken ankle and dislocated shoulder this offseason in the Dominican Winter League. The power-hitting corner outfielder will miss the start of the season, and he would likely benefit from a rehab assignment before getting back into action at Triple-A. Canario hit .252 with a 27.5 K% on the year, but his 0.62 BB/K in 20 games at Triple-A was his best mark since he was in the Dominican Summer League in 2017. Canario has 70-grade power and will hope to make enough contact to have a Franmil Reyes type of career arc.
Canario could be a Jorge Soler type of producer in real life and in fantasy, hitting plenty of home runs with too many strikeouts while shifting between right field and designated hitter. However, he is still several years away from potentially realizing that best-case scenario. He did a ton of damage at the plate in 2019, but he struck out too much and didn't walk enough. This past summer at the alternate training site, Canario worked on making better swing decisions in an effort to improve his hit tool. He moves well for his size, but will likely slow down to the point that he is not much of a threat on the bases by the time he reaches the majors. The right-handed slugger dealt with recurring left shoulder injuries in 2019 and 2020, culminating in surgery to repair a torn labrum and dislocation that will sideline him through spring training this year. He should open his age-21 season at High-A.
When evaluating Canario's 2019 season, we should largely overlook his 10-game obliteration of the AZL. A 19-year-old hitter repeating that level is a knock in and of itself. Once he got to the Northwest League, he still posted gaudy numbers, but some flaws started to show. Canario gets to his 70-grade raw power with ease. His groundball rate was below 28% at both stops -- only Mike Trout (24.3 GB%) did that last year among qualified MLB hitters. His grooved swing and poor ball/strike recognition led to a 33.6 K% (including NWL playoffs). Strikeouts are his clear weakness, and if he doesn't make necessary adjustments, he will get exposed as he climbs the ladder (think Seuly Matias). Of course, if he improves his command of the zone, he would easily profile as a cleanup-hitting right fielder. An average runner, Canario still saw time in center field last year, but figures to outgrow that position.
Those anxiously trying to add a prospect who dominated in the Dominican Summer League this past season should look at Canario's 2018 as a dose of reality. He logged a 147 wRC+ as a 17-year-old in the DSL in 2017, showcasing a combination of power and speed that was difficult to ignore. However, the DSL is a very unique league. Players who excel there are not guaranteed to have similar success in stateside rookie leagues. Take Canario, whose K% jumped from 14.6% to 24.5% after the jump to the AZL. The quality of his contact also suffered, as he struggled to take what pitchers were giving him (often selling out for power), and saw fewer mistakes to crush. He struck out 14 times in his first eight AZL games, but hit .277/.380/.468 with six home runs and six steals in his final 167 PA. Canario still has a chance to develop into a five-category force (above-average power and speed), but needs to work on using the whole field while letting his power come naturally.
More Fantasy News
Dealt to New York
OFNew York Mets  AAA
February 24, 2025
The Mets acquired Canario from the Cubs on Monday in exchange for cash considerations, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Removed from 40-man roster
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
February 20, 2025
The Cubs designated Canario for assignment Thursday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Getting reps at first
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
February 12, 2025
Canario received reps at first base Tuesday as the Cubs explore their reserve options behind starter Michael Busch, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of options
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
February 10, 2025
Canario has a good chance at making Chicago's Opening Day roster in a bench role, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with hamstring strain
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
Hamstring
August 5, 2024
Triple-A Iowa placed Canario on its 7-day injured list Friday with a right hamstring strain, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Bound for waivers
OFNew York Mets  AAA
March 25, 2025
The Mets are expected to place Canario, who is out of minor-league options, on waivers ahead of Opening Day, reports Mike Puma of the New York Post.
ANALYSIS
Canario was acquired from the Cubs after being designated for assignment in late February, and he crushed the ball in 17 spring games with three homers and a 1.030 OPS, though he also had a 34.9 percent strikeout rate. The 24-year-old's only real path to a roster spot was for New York to make a trade or have an outfielder suffer an injury during camp, but Brandon Nimmo, Juan Soto, Tyrone Taylor, Jose Siri and Jesse Winker are all still with the club and healthy. It wouldn't be surprising for another club to take a chance on Canario given his power potential, and any realistic landing spot would likely provide an improved path to playing time.
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