This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
MLB Best Bets for Sunday April 27th
Previous article 3-1 (+2.19 units)
Season 28-35-1 (-9.48 units)
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Sunday's MLB Slate Observations
Road Favorites - Reds -150 at Rockies, Mets -145 at Nationals, Astros -132 at Royals
Home Favorites (Largest) - Dodgers -325 vs Pirates, Athletics -215 vs White Sox, Tigers -198 vs Orioles
Totals - Reds/Rockies 11.0-11.5, White Sox/Athletics 9.0-9.5
Marlins/Mariners 7.0, Orioles/Tigers 7.0 -114
Weather
Wind blowing out at Coors Field at 20 mph is reflected in the 11.0-11.5 game total along with the 80-degree game time temperatures. Most of the outdoor games are showing temperatures between 50-60 degrees.
MLB Line Movement
Totals
Astros/Royals from 8.5 to 7.5
Moneyline
Dodgers from -350 to -325
Bullpen Rankings (updated 4/24/25)
Top 5 (Mets, Astros, Padres, Blue Jays, Diamondbacks). These are teams you can feel confident betting in full-game situations.
Bottom 5 (Reds, Angels, Marlins, Rockies, Nationals). These are teams you can feel confident betting against in full-game situations. If you want to bet on them, focus on F5s.
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Best MLB Bets Today
Houston Astros 
at Kansas City Royals 
Picks
My man Hunter Brown is on the mound again today, and if you have been following this article, you know I have been riding him for quite some time. Since June 2024, Brown has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, yet he is still is flying under the radar. On the Royals side, Kris Bubic might end up as the "Hunter Brown" of 2025 as he has put up solid numbers on a team that does not score very much right now.
The Royals have taken the first two games of the series by identical 2-0 scores, and both teams are in the bottom five in runs scored per game.
MLB Best Bets: Astros ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -132); Astros/Royals UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -105)
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New York Mets 
at Washington Nationals 
Picks
Now I have been targeting spots for the Nationals at home getting plus-money, but this will not be one of them. The Mets are playing some great baseball right now going 8-2 over their last 10 games, and Tylor Megill is 3-2 with a 1.83 ERA in his last 7 starts dating back to last year. Mitchell Parker is also 3-1 with a 1.39 ERA, but if you look into the numbers he stands in for some serious regression. He has just 20 strikeouts in 32.1 innings, and also 11 walks.
Parker had two starts versus the Mets in 2024 and got rocked in both of them for a 9.31 ERA allowing 4 home runs.
MLB Best Bet: Mets -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +120)
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Baltimore Orioles 
at Detroit Tigers 
Picks
The season has gotten off to a slow start for the Orioles and the main reason is their starting pitching woes along with their struggles against left-handed pitching. Well, now they get to face the reigning American League Cy Young winner in Tarik Skubal who is 2-2 with a 2.83 ERA. Skubal got off to a tough start, but he has been locked in over his last 3 starts.
Meanwhile, Dean Kremer has a 6.84 ERA, and he has allowed a whopping 7 home runs in 5 starts.
This one could have the makings of a 5-1 or 6-1 type of game and things could get ugly for the O's.
MLB Best Bet: Tigers -1.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -100)
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MLB Picks Recap
- Astros ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -132)
- Astros/Royals UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -105)
- Mets -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +120)
- Tigers -1.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -100)
