This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
A bad week for most of us, though Erickson managed to go 8-6. Pianowski still has a commanding and no doubt insurmountable eight-game lead with only eight weeks to play. We have a whopping five consensus picks this week, and the Bills are both Pianow's and Stopa's best bet.
Enjoy the games.
| Erickson | Pianowski | Liss | Stopa | Del Don | |
| Raiders +7 at Chargers | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders |
| Jaguars -3 at Colts | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Broncos +3 at Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs |
| Steelers -3 at Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Steelers | Steelers |
| Bills +5.5 at Cowboys | Cowboys | Bills | Bills | Bills | Bills |
| Saints pick 'em at Falcons | Falcons | Falcons | Saints | Falcons | Falcons |
| Rams +2.5 at Browns | Rams | Browns | Browns | Rams | Browns |
| Redskins +4 at Dolphins | Dolphins | Redskins | Redskins | Redskins | Redskins |
| Texans -3 at Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Texans | Texans |
| Titans +3 at Panthers | Panthers | Titans | Panthers | Titans | Panthers |
| Cardinals +14 at Eagles | Eagles | Cardinals | Cardinals | Eagles | Cardinals |
| Ravens -7 at Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Lions +2.5 at Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears |
| Giants +3.5 at 49ers | 49ers | Giants | Giants | Giants | Giants |
| Patriots +1 at Jets | Jets | Patriots | Jets | Patriots | Patriots |
| Vikings +13.5 at Packers | Vikings | Packers | Vikings | Packers | Vikings |
| Best Bet | Jets | Bills | Chiefs | Bills | Giants |
| Last Week's Record | 8-6 | 6-8 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| 2011 Record | 62-63-5 | 70-55-5 | 61-64-5 | 60-65-5 | 62-63-5 |
| Best Bet Record | 6-3 | 5-3-1 | 5-4 | 7-2 | 3-5-1 |
| Consensus Pick Record | 14-11-1 | ||||
| 2010 Record | 129-122-5 | 134-117-5 | 126-125-5 | 136-115-5 | 134-117-5 |
| 2009 Record | 123-130-3 | 132-121-3 | 131-122-3 | 130-123-3 |
A bad week for most of us, though Erickson managed to go 8-6. Pianowski still has a commanding and no doubt insurmountable eight-game lead with only eight weeks to play. We have a whopping five consensus picks this week, and the Bills are both Pianow's and Stopa's best bet.
Enjoy the games.
| Erickson | Pianowski | Liss | Stopa | Del Don | |
| Raiders +7 at Chargers | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders | Raiders |
| Jaguars -3 at Colts | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Broncos +3 at Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs |
| Steelers -3 at Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Steelers | Steelers |
| Bills +5.5 at Cowboys | Cowboys | Bills | Bills | Bills | Bills |
| Saints pick 'em at Falcons | Falcons | Falcons | Saints | Falcons | Falcons |
| Rams +2.5 at Browns | Rams | Browns | Browns | Rams | Browns |
| Redskins +4 at Dolphins | Dolphins | Redskins | Redskins | Redskins | Redskins |
| Texans -3 at Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Texans | Texans |
| Titans +3 at Panthers | Panthers | Titans | Panthers | Titans | Panthers |
| Cardinals +14 at Eagles | Eagles | Cardinals | Cardinals | Eagles | Cardinals |
| Ravens -7 at Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Lions +2.5 at Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears | Bears |
| Giants +3.5 at 49ers | 49ers | Giants | Giants | Giants | Giants |
| Patriots +1 at Jets | Jets | Patriots | Jets | Patriots | Patriots |
| Vikings +13.5 at Packers | Vikings | Packers | Vikings | Packers | Vikings |
| Best Bet | Jets | Bills | Chiefs | Bills | Giants |
| Last Week's Record | 8-6 | 6-8 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| 2011 Record | 62-63-5 | 70-55-5 | 61-64-5 | 60-65-5 | 62-63-5 |
| Best Bet Record | 6-3 | 5-3-1 | 5-4 | 7-2 | 3-5-1 |
| Consensus Pick Record | 14-11-1 | ||||
| 2010 Record | 129-122-5 | 134-117-5 | 126-125-5 | 136-115-5 | 134-117-5 |
| 2009 Record | 123-130-3 | 132-121-3 | 131-122-3 | 130-123-3 | 126-127-3 |
| 2008 Record | 132-114-10 | 128-118-10 | 124-122-10 | 125-121-10 | 130-116-10 |
| 2007 Record | 127-120 | 118-129 | 127-120 | N/A | 130-117 |
| 2006 Record | 118-129 | N/A | 139-108 | N/A | N/A |
| 2005 Record | 121-126 | N/A | 127-120 | N/A | N/A |
| 2004 Record | 124-124 | N/A | 130-118 | N/A | N/A |
| 2003 Record | 121-126 | 118-129 | 124-123 | N/A | N/A |
| 2002 Record | 113-136 | 123-126 | 141-108 | N/A | N/A |
| 2001 Record | 124-113 | 117-120 | 118-119 | N/A | N/A |
| 2000 Record | 123-117 | 134-106 | 141-99 | N/A | N/A |
Consensus Picks
This week we have five consensus picks: the Raiders, Jaguars, Chiefs, Seahawks and Bears. We went 1-2 on consensus picks in Week 9 to put us at 14-11-1 on the year. We went 32-21-1 on consensus picks in 2010.
Comments:
| Writer | Comment |
| Erickson | Regarding my pick of the Eagles, why yes, my favorite shape is a square, why do you ask?... I keep picking Seattle, perhaps one of these days I'll be right... I'm profoundly disturbed that I'm continually wrong in picking Bengals games, and ... uh-oh, I'm picking them *this* week? This seems like an Admiral Ackbar line ("it's a trap!"), but I'll take them getting points at home. It's their first big test opponent-wise (retroactively, at least) since Week 4 against Buffalo. |
| Pianowski | The Buffalo-New York result, to me, said more about New York's strengths than Buffalo's weaknesses. The Bills will score and stay competitive in Dallas, with an upset possible. |
| Liss | I found this slate easier to pick than most. Hated taking Carolina because I've been going the other way all year, but hated the prospect of taking Tennessee even more. Surprised the Jags were a consensus pick - I thought I'd be out on an island with them, but apparently the Jim Caldwell factor is overwhelming. |
| Stopa | Call me a homer, but I don't understand why the Bills are getting more than three. Yes, the Jets dismantled them, but that's the only game they've lost by more than three all year, and the Jets are one-of-a-kind, so it's not like the Cowboys can duplicate that blueprint. If the Bills don't win outright, they'll lose by a FG... (Disclaimer: I've been on fire with my Best Bet, winning handily several weeks in a row, but crapping my pants with other picks, so read on at your peril.)... The home-road splits for the Falcons and Saints are as pronounced as any two teams in the league, so when it's Saints at Falcons, the impact is doubled... The Panthers are becoming a public team for betting purposes because of Cam Newton - the Titans shouldn't be receiving the full three in Carolina... Fading the Browns AND getting points? Sign me up. Steelers/Bengals should be more like a push, but does the three points really matter much when I believe the Steelers are going to win? |
| Del Don | A whopping 11 games have a spread of four points or fewer this week. Tough slate. |
The players:
•Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.
•Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.
•Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.
•Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.
•Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.
